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dailylurker

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Posts posted by dailylurker

  1. 6 hours ago, Jrlg1181 said:

    0.14 

    Monthly total 1.84

    Exactly 3.50 since the end of January.... Should start seeing abornomaly dry showing up on the drought monitor soon along the 81 corridor... Hate the word fire but now there is a elevated wildfire risk out here again this evening - NWS statement...

    Tropical rainforest here. I guess we'll be smelling the wildfires burning out in the high desert in a couple weeks. 

  2. 1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said:

    Cold low of 29 and high of 49

    our -10 to -15 now come from Mid March thru April 

    It's basically the same weather for 6 months of the year. Flash Flood watch posted for my area. Perfect track rain storm lol

  3. 22 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

    Low of 29. No frost because its so dry

    It's been super low humidity. My plants are in the last 2 weeks of flower in my greenhouse. I haven't had to use my dehumidifier hardly at all for the second half of flower. If anything, it's been to low. The humidity yesterday got down to 10% in the greenhouse. I put bowls of water in there and it's been up around 30%. The plants are beautiful and 100% mold free lol

  4. 8 hours ago, Jebman said:

    All the rain is moving away. Rain hates Austin like ebola. We will get used to it, because La Nina will not spare. It probably won't rain again til 2036. Goodbye most plants. Goodbye most of us too. Been really nice knowing you all.

    Dude. Save every penny you can so you can travel to Mammoth and run around digging tunnels and smoking weed in 8 feet of snow. 

    • Like 1
  5. 1 hour ago, uncletim said:

    (Getting off-topic here, mods please move this to banter if appropriate…)

    Here’s the the operative question: do you ski at all - and by “ski” in this case, I mean downhill as opposed to x-country? Have you ever been skiing? If you haven’t, and I get the feeling that’s the case, then I think many members of this forum, including me, would be happy to give advice on the best approach to getting started. Skiers tend to be evangelists for the sport, and the thing we most want to avoid is for first-timers to have a bad first day and get turned off, which can easily happen. Having a fun first day, even if you’re falling all over the place, is the key. 

    I went to the top of Whiteface Mountain NY, the first time I went skiing. I almost died in the -12 degree temp and -46 degree windchill, and whiteout conditions. I had a bad time and loved it. Ski patrol and my parents weren't so happy lol. I was probably 13.

    • Like 1
  6. 15 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    Our mesonet sites on the eastern shore are showing at least 1/2" of rain for the day. The speed of the system seems a bit faster than modeled maybe?

    I feel like it's a little west on the first round. Euro had this round cut off over the bay. It seems about 40 miles further west. 

  7. Moderate rain here. Looks like another soaker coming up the bay. It's going to be a wet day and night. I'm actually thinking about doing a rain hike this afternoon. 

    • Like 1
  8. 4 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

    Mist.  Great to see the usual areas inundated with rain, while we again are dry.

    Swampy down here in the lowlands. Another tropical rainstorm here. I haven't looked, but probably an inch overnight. I have the opposite problem here than you have. 

    • Like 1
  9. 3 hours ago, katabatic said:

    This sure has been one hell of an adventure. I don’t have power, I don’t have Internet although my phone still works thankfully. The snowblower that the condo uses to dig us out is broken and they don’t think we’re gonna get any back up until at least Monday. I estimate we’ve had about 7 feet with another 4 to 6 to come. If I don’t get out on Monday which is when my flight is, Tuesday and Wednesday we’re going to get another 2 feet.

    IMG_1612.jpeg

    This is amazing. I've been watching Webcams up there. It looks pretty crazy today. Do you have a shovel? I'd be digging that entrance out for fun. 

    • Like 1
  10. It's another tropical flooding rainstorm. One thing we do great in our new climo is tropical rain. It's killing off our oak trees at an alarming rate. Our forest are going to be full of invasive plants and trash trees. Forget the lack of snow. This shit is killing our forest. 

    Heavy tropical rain and probably 50 degrees. 

    • Like 2
    • Confused 2
    • Sad 1
  11. 13 hours ago, George BM said:

    Forecast Discussion

    Saturday, March 16, 2024 3:28PM EDT

    Blizzard Warning in effect from 8AM EDT Sunday, March 17, 2024 until 3PM EDT Monday, March 18, 2024

    High Wind Warning in effect from 9AM EDT Sunday, March 17, 2024 until 6PM EDT Monday, March 18, 2024

    Hurricane-Force Wind Warning in effect from 2PM EDT Sunday, March 17, 2024 until 6AM EDT Monday, March 18, 2024 (for tidal-Potomac and Chesapeake Bay)

     

    Life-Threatening Late-Winter Storm to cripple the region.

    Temps are currently holding in the mid-50sF across the DC metro area but are already starting to fall in far northern Maryland as the cold front associated with the strong northern stream system drops south through the region. Temps will plummet out of the 50s and through the 40s and 30s through the evening and reach the lower 20s in many areas by morning as the unusually cold airmass pushes in. As this occurs through the late afternoon and evening hours skies will become overcast both from lift associated with the southward moving cold front and from the strong southern stream system to our south/southwest. There may be enough lift and moisture associated with the front for some light sprinkles and/or a few flurries/light snow showers to develop through the evening before precip slips to the southeast. Northerly winds will become quite gusty during this time with gusts of 25 to 40 mph.

    As the strong southern storm system moves toward the coastal Carolinas tonight it will begin to phase with a second powerful northern stream vort diving south from the eastern Great Lakes/ Toronto region leading to strong diffluence over the surface low leading to rapid deepening. The two will pinwheel around each other as they phase bringing the southern storm and associated surface low northwards as rapid deepening takes place allowing snow to overspread the region by morning from southeast to northwest. The snow will quickly become heavy as NE winds increase with gusts to over 50 mph across the region likely by midday. Temperatures during this time will be in the lower 20sF leading to windchills in the single digits. By the late afternoon/evening the surface low will slow down and eventually stall over the Virginia peninsula/ southern Chesapeake Bay area. The surface pressure could be as low as the mid-950s in millibars breaking monthly low-pressure records in that area. Meanwhile, the areas northwest of the surface low (the greater Washington DC and Baltimore metros) will be getting the worst of this storm with blinding snowfall and widespread 60-75+ mph wind gusts w/ 80-90+ mph gusts along the coast of the Bay. In fact, snowfall rates in the heaviest bands will likely be in the 4-6”+/hr range leading to visibilities as low as 50 feet (effectively zero visibility for the sake of argument) from the late afternoon hours through the night and into Monday morning. Temperatures will remain in the 20s throughout the duration of this event with upper teens possible in the higher elevations north and west and temperatures closer to 32F in far southern MD and along the bay where warmer air will be located near the surface low. Windchills during the duration of the event will stay in the single-digits for most w/ negative single-digits in the mountains and lower teens in southern MD and along the bay.

    Near-whiteout and conditions and severe wind gusts will still be ongoing by dawn Monday as the low-pressure system slowly pulls northeastwards. Heavy snow will continue through the late morning to midday hours before tapering off from west to east. When all is set and done with total liquid-equivalent precipitation of 4-7”+ across the region, snowfall totals of 4 to 6 FEET will likely be commonplace with snow drifts of as high as 30 feet possible. Areas in southern MD and near the Bay may end up with slightly less (roughly 2 to 4 feet) as the warmer air associated with the low-pressure center cuts down on totals in that area.

    This will be the worst blizzard, by far, to impact the region since weather records started in the later 1800s. It will essentially be a high-impact hurricane with snow instead of rain as the main precip-type. People who venture outside during this time may get disoriented and lost in the whiteout conditions and/or get seriously injured by flying debris. Emergency services may not be able to reach you for days should something happen to you outside. This is the DC and Baltimore urban corridor not Lake Tahoe or the Japanese Alps. We’re not equipped with the snow removal equipment that they have. So, if you absolutely must venture outside during the storm no caution that you use would be too extreme given the circumstances.

    Temperatures will only rebound to the lower 30s as skies start clearing by mid to late afternoon on Monday.

     

    Forecaster Wannabe: George BM

    Can we take the part out about lower totals near the bay? How about CAPE gets screwed and gets 6" of rain while AA county is in the extreme snowfall rates due to R/S line of Kent Island.  Lollies to 6' along the PG/AA county line. Can I also get some thunder in there?

    • Like 2
  12. 50 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

    I think its made worse by perception bias...because winter is so much warmer than "normal" lately...I think there is just this expectation it will get warmer as we head into early spring...but it doesn't necessarily work that way since the water which is a big part of why its so warm in winter is cooling by then due to the lag effect in water temps.  So often when we get a very warm Feb-mid March...late March and early April might not really end up much warmer and that "feels wrong".  

    So basically we have fall for 7 months now. I'm glad I got one week of winter lol

  13. 35 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    She told me she’s out as of an incident in late January 

    That's a shame. She was a regular the entire time I've been here. Let's try to be nicer to each other. There's lots of weird and interesting people here. Let's just let people be weird. I saw a dude dressed like a fox in Walmart last week. I just barked like a dog at him. I suddenly identified as a dog. Shit was fun. I'm not gonna lie lol

    • Haha 3
  14. 5 minutes ago, stormy said:

    Weak low pressure over southern Ohio will move southeast across west/central Va. this afternoon and evening. NAM/GFS/ECM and GEM all give accumulating  snow across portions of Augusta late afternoon and evening. Surface temps. below 2000 ft. will be marginal though column temps. look fine. Accumulation expectations range from 2 - 6 inches. This will be an elevation event for accumulations.  2000- 4000' 2 - 6 inches,  1000 - 2000 ft. a dusting - 1 inch.

    image.thumb.png.0f6d2a6f04743191d077f2e9b6b2356d.png

    If I were to drive out there this afternoon. Where would you go to see this happen? I was kinda thinking about hiking today. I'm near Annopoils but can drive out there.

  15. 10 hours ago, Ji said:


    If you had a good winter than I had a good winter because 90% of my winter enjoyment is tracking and digital. The actual event is so short and stressful that it’s not that enjoyable unless we are performing or over performing. And post storm is super depressing. I’m wired a bit different I guess

    You're definitely weird but that's ok. My first thought is to give you some wisdom filled response about living in the moment and being grateful for the positive things in your life. Then I thought about how you probably have heard that kinda stuff your entire life. We all find joy in our own little weird way. Just because you don't think like I do, doesn't mean I need to help you think differently. A lot of people think im weird for wondering around smoking joints in the woods all day while its snowing. I hope you get lots of digital blue and exciting PBP's in your future. Stay weird, my friend.

    • Like 1
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