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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    55. Feels great out there.
  2. CAPE
    Mount Holly also mentioned the possibility for severe in their morning AFD- Convective details remain unclear at this time, but the medium range guidance continues to indicate potential for at least some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms along and ahead of the front Friday afternoon and evening. With the approaching trough, there will be at least modest shear and forcing for convection. These could also be sufficient enough for a severe threat as well, however the limiting factor for severe currently appears to be the less-than-impressive instability thanks to the poor mid-level lapse rates. In any case, we`ll need to keep a close eye on Friday`s heat and severe weather threats.
  3. CAPE
    Yeah we gonna cook pretty good next week. With the flow around that High, dewpoints will be well into the 60s with a couple days in the low 70s maybe.
  4. CAPE
    The 0z Euro has an even more pronounced dig to the shortwave energy and even develops a bit of a surface low off the MA coast.
  5. CAPE
    The 0z GFS digs the h5 energy a bit further south than previous runs and doesn't mix out the higher dewpoints as quickly, resulting in an increase in showers/storms along the front Friday evening.
  6. CAPE
    Got in on one overnight. Brief downpour produced a meager 0.13". Looked better on radar to my south, as usual lately.
  7. CAPE
  8. CAPE

    Drought

    CAPE replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic

    Less than a quarter inch here for the month, and doesn't appear there will be any significant rain over the next week. Abnormally dry showing up. Those areas will be expanding. https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?MD
  9. CAPE
    Super nice outside. 74 with a DP of 50, and breezy. Low of 59 this morning.
  10. CAPE
    .01" here. Getting pretty damn dry. Grass doing its usual thing this time of year.
  11. CAPE
    DFH WWS + Sativa for Friday HH. I'm not going anywhere.
  12. CAPE
    0.15" Looking at radar it will be done in about 5 mins. Maybe a bit more later, but probably not gonna make the 1/2- 3/4" that was forecast yesterday.
  13. CAPE
    Agreed. Ninas have been better here overall since 2016, save for the third in the trifecta the winter before last, which was historically bad for all the major cities/burbs from Richmond to NYC.
  14. CAPE
    That's inevitable. I was talking about a Nina.
  15. CAPE
    I'll roll with it over here.
  16. CAPE
    In three weeks the days begin to get shorter, as we head towards winter. It will be a Nina.
  17. CAPE
    0.11" here today. Probably not much more to come. 4.36" for the month.
  18. CAPE
    Looks like -NAO/ +PNA.
  19. CAPE
    When the line came through here is was just heavy rain with some thunder and mild wind. Picked up another 0.53". Total of 1.63".
  20. CAPE
    Sun here finally. Temp up tp 77. DP 73. Got the juice.
  21. CAPE
    Cloudy and 72 here.
  22. CAPE
    18z 3km NAM has a nice bowing segment moving over and just south of the DC area.
  23. CAPE
    A bit odd, but makes sense why SPC went with a T-storm watch here(mid upper shore) and a Tornado watch just north(Cecil) and also for the lower shore. Very little sun today with these showers rolling through.
  24. CAPE
    Filtered sun earlier has given way to more clouds and another brief heavy downpour here. Hopefully this is it and some legit clearing occurs after this passes by. I just want a nice clear shot of a shelf with some gusty, cool downdraft wind. Nothing severe. Been a couple years.
  25. CAPE
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