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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. You seemed to imply it was bad for eastern areas....not at this point IMO. We all needed things to trend back.
  2. It also limits the ceiling for other spots, which obviously you don't care about. I'd like to tighten it up....
  3. NAM looks like most other guidance now....I normally agree with Jeff, but not sure what the concern is at this point...unless "eastern areas" means the cape and far southeast MA.
  4. My point is the NAM went NW at 12z, then to Bermuda...now NW. Most models we needed to go NW bc of the previous se trend.
  5. Great working for the state, bc you get to stay home without burning a day in the biggies.
  6. Just about the same as me, except I has a swath of 6-10" in the valley.
  7. The west slope of ORH hills have sneaky screw potential IMO....near Dave.
  8. I don't think that we will have the usual subby area away from the low level convergence associated w coastal front....the easterly flow should nix that. I think the subby will be brutal just west of where ever that ends...probably just west of ORH, since immunity to porkings are built into their climo....plus terrain should augment precip on easterly fetch. I feel like Steve to ORH best....Kev will be okay, but once you get west of him and lower in elevation...oof.
  9. There was one EPS run on Wednesday, I think, that was that intense....otherwise, that is the best.
  10. I don't think you get as low QPF as some guidance suggests...I understand how banding works. It's the CTRV I am concerned about.
  11. I may need to take a few wknd shifts to keep renting all that space in his grape, hey at least I have a bit of elevation
  12. GFS, GEM, EURO and UK all look to place deformation in same general spot.
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