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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. That pattern for the past month or so has strongly resembled the phase 6 la nina composite...don't think that is a coincidence.
  2. Maybe it doesn't do much in phase 8, but it should clear 6 and take on a more phase 7 like look at the least.
  3. I think obessesing over every nuance of nina at this point is losing sight of the forest through the trees....just watch that forcing and make sure it moves east.
  4. Region 4 is in la nina territory...coldest anomalies are centered eastern half of region, but that is not strongly east based...its still basin wide. Take a look at years like 2005, that had negative anomalies relegated to eastern zones. I wish the modoki site would open back up...it assigns EMI index.
  5. Now? No way....manageable assaults during December...just like I said. PV will be fine this month, though
  6. I'll say this...we are going to get a SSW in the second half that will rock typical nina climo..you can take that to the bank. Remember I said this when all the natural gas trading groupies start to scramble later this season because it will happen. Pretty big failure on my part if it doesn't.
  7. Looks like that weakens it in phase 7, which I would be fine with.
  8. Bamwx is really backtracking on the punt idea, but by the way...we could be wrong and it be still mild lol Way to say zero
  9. Way too much focus on la nina at this point...its basin wide and centered slightly east. Not a ton to be gleaned from that, but its not going to become purely east based anytime soon. As for the MJO, I am certainly no expert on that, but everything I have seen seems to imply that it will be on the move, which favors my wintery expectation later this month. Even if its weak...certainly won't hurt.
  10. Yea, that's why I didn't get the punting notion....its not a slam dunk snowy month, but shouldn't be punted, either.
  11. They all are except for F5 Narcan maps...but SV is better than wxbell
  12. You need to request not to sit in your cruiser refreshing the euro on your cell browser?
  13. Looking forward to an event where I don't have to worry about CJs or subby zones, which I never fail to end up in as of late.
  14. No guidance currently....even the GFS is pretty snowy now in this area.
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