40/70 Benchmark

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Garbage outside SE zones and not really much outside outer Cape . Later development is killing this 

My favorite nuance is the hole of less than 2" over NE MA.

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

mm I thought this storm storm had a reasonable chance be more prolific than that - full disclosure    :/
 

Likewise.

2 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Inching up slowly, 31F. Driveway is a disaster

31.3 at home.

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

Me too. 

I'd still get more snow than this.

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

If it wasn't there it would be congrats albany, But yeah, Its causing problems.

I think I'd rather an Albany jackpot scenario.

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Wow.  That was more than 4 years ago?   My brain is fried...   Amesbury is awesome, but I don't know how they do for snow.   Cape Anne can do well for some events

4 years ago in March.

Just now, dryslot said:

Where would you like it? Models don't even know.

Need to make sure we get a consolidated low first.

Just now, HoarfrostHubb said:

Except when you get a 31" monster

Talking about the past 4 years.

I think if I don't move back to Wilmington, I may go to the Amesbury area...nice city, and in a perfect spot to always have the CF just to the east, due to the shape of the coast to the north.

5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

But easy to see the whiners.

Very small percentage of this place never does it. Its a frustrating hobby, but I think the real issue is those that clog up threads with that without ever adding anything of value.

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Somewhere. Someone mentioned that track a day or two ago 

Scott did.

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

That's what I've been seeing as heights lift out ahead of this.  Allows the storm to amplify and curl left.

I'm gonna need that.

4 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Scooter wins.

The rest of us hope

Uncanny how my area is the anti ORH in the sense that I'm never far enough in a given direction....always too far north or south. North early in the year, now south for Monday and Friday. Going to add to the frustration if that comes to fruition.

Just now, dryslot said:

I'm not even taking the RGEM seriously either until its inside 24hrs and that's a reach, It has been horrendous all year this year and the past 3 or 4 yrs and finally catches on the last 24 hrs when who cares.

The 06z EURO looked reasonable.

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

RGEM crushes here 

Great....gee, I wonder where the cut off is...

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

 

Yea, unreal.

Just now, dryslot said:

If folks keep tossing we won't have any models left.

I'm not sure how you can take the NAM seriously after that 00z-06z-12z sequence.

1 minute ago, DavisStraight said:

I see a small 4-6 circle over Ginxys head.

I think he is north of that.

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Another model with CTE.

Unfortunately, we'll never be able to properly diagnose it until its decomissioned.

I will say that the 3km NAM seems to align pretty well with the 06z EURO.

7 minutes ago, eduggs said:

Not a big surprise the NAM shifted towards model consensus. Subtle changes aloft make big differences at the surface.

I'm not sure you can discern any sustained trend from the Antonio Brown of the NWP suite.

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Definitely se through 31

Tossed pending rest of 12z suite...IDK how anyone can take its seriously after the inconsistency of the past 12 hours.

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Do you mean what some of the experience meteorologist were saying yesterday that you were pooh-poohing?  Sorry.

I’ve been listening to them all along and it looks like this scenario they talked about it while we’re headed to. Are you don’t give up until Will give it up lol, Even though my best case scenario is probably 4 to 6

Well, to be fair he said it was more aimed at me, not Will. I think he respectfully questioned Will, though perhaps implying that even he maybe human and prone to some emotional bias.

4 minutes ago, Lava Rock said:

nah. I would assume 4-6"

Considering my last three seasons, that is about what I would expect.

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Ya lets hope at least for the lower range, with some good mid levels and banding, and hopefully no east shifts should be ok.. 

Happens every time, but if you drop a 6-12" range, everyone perceives it as a forecast for a regionwide 12" lol

3 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Maps?

SREFS are always like that.