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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    You're right. I need a break from posting unless I feel there's a reason to.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    1-4"/360 hr rates.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You're right, Will....I guess I should be appreciative of the 5.5" I have....hey, better than a shut-out.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think that's it...STJ doesn't matter if the pattern isn't aligned to allow the moisture up the coast. ...you can have a firehose off of the Baja all season, if you have a PV sitting on your face it won't snow.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    1976 was a great snow year for this area....tons of late-blooming Miller B systems. This year is like 1978-1979 and 1979-1980.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    The storm track has been vastly different than 2010-2011....but what's 90" in SNE between friends.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh yea....plenty of that...but just pain-stakingly boring. Colder version of this year. The -PNA that year saved NE....but +PNA/-NAO combo this year has been a death-knell.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't even looked at that...just so meteorologically demoralized and resigned to failure. Something is just off-
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Better shot of me blogging about Kev's next colonoscopy.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, I can't stand him. ...although I don't disagree that February has a decent shot at featuring above normal snowfall.....thing is that if I only get several more inches throughout January, a good February would still result in a near ratter type of season. Whiffing on December sucked, but it was manageable considering I expected a mild December...but whiffing on January snowfall is a game-changer.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wouldn't worry about it. I smell a rat...just saying....
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    It does, but its a matter of when...probably not this year.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree 100% and focused on that same period in my outlook, however, not feeling great about it right now.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I certainly do not. January 2004 was very dry up here and the peak of the cold was more severe than Feb 2015...which of course was out snowmageddon.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I never had high hopes for that.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro had it for a few runs, but they weren't consecutive.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    We aren't there yet IMO....you also have to factor in that this year has in fact deviated from the prohibitively warm regime.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think we have already stated to see the beginning of the end of this longer term Pacific pattern, and will continue to see big changes throughout the 2nd half of this decade.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think if we get a modest El Niño next season, it would bode very well for us.....TBH, 2014-2015 maybe a good analog. (Not implying 100").
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nope.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nice sucker-hole right where its been since 2018.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I just calculated my mean seasonal snowfall for the 2012-2013 through 2023-2024 season (last year)...60.5". Regression is over for me, so if this season blows, it should begin going back in the other direction.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends which day....
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think in general people get too invested in long range guidance, but I thought it was warranted last week.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Dude, I have 5.5" halfway through winter and I average 62-63". That Jan 11 potential was not just modelology.....that was an incredibly prominent signal that had enormous tele connector support...many pro mets compared it to March 1993-east.
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