Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    74,494

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have had measurements derived from 6 hour clears tossed by the NWS in larger events, so he is incorrect, whether or not he chooses to acknowledge it or not. Others have also cited instances in which it was apparent that Central Park significantly under reported snowfall in mixed events. Its like we can sit here and see that the sky is blue, but I'm sure Chris or anyone else can scour the internet for a peer reviewed arcitcle that argues that isn't blue...not going to change my mind, sorry.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I thik the jury is still out for the NE interior coastal plane, which is where I am.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can use precipitation rate for the middle one..I use it before the other tool updates when I do monthly recaps.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely agree....this is where I am at.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a start....express yourself Rain for he, she, they them and all on MMD weekend.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, 3-6 panic attacks for Scooter with a 50% chance of MDD.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    We always get perect winter patterns in spring now. Memorial Day 2005 redux.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Bodies reburied?
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    We were referring to NE coastal areas when the 7 year comment was made. Like I have said previously, modern snowdfall is undermeasured more often today than you imply due to mixed precipitation events and many observers not utilizing the 6 hour swipe method.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Like I said to Chuck, can't say confidently we are switching to +PDO yet, but I think its close...within the next few years.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I fininished 2014-2015 with 115" and 2017-2018 was 88.5"....my long term average is in the lower 60s.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is pure nonsense....I don't care that you can dig up articles supporting it. My statement about 7 years was in relation to CC drastically lowering snowfall....what I said was 7 years ago I had just had two months of over 60" of snow within a 3 year window, so I'm not sure how on earth one could confidently conclude that CC was lowering my snowfall at that point.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seriously, though...its as plausible a theory as anything else. Just going to have to let things play out into the next decade.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    You mean to tell me you think we will remain in a -PDO pattern as a result of CC for all of eternity? I never would have guessed that....in other news, I have a hunch the sun angle will begin to lower in about 5 weeks
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, maybe we take one last step backwards in that regard next season before the -PDO cycle takes its last breath.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, I agree with all of this...I wasn't trying to imply that I expect to enter the -NAO muiltidecadal cycle around the next solar min...I meant literally maybe one season that averages more negative. My larger point concerning solar min is that if we don't see a good winter through the next solar min, then I will start to consider CC as a larger contributor. I do not expect a flip in the NAO decadal cycle....PDO, I do.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maybe so, but we should get thrown a bone around or shortly after solar min.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. ..that is what I honed in on.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Out winter seasons are like the Celtics now....all or nothing...either the 3s hit, or they don't and they stumble.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I was saying it last summer even before publishing in early November. +QBO and cold ENSO during solar max usually hasn't ended well for the east coast.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's where I am right now....but like I said, if we keep rolling snake eyes through the next solar min, then I will change my tune.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I definitely agree with this...marginal events having more trouble.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, I pointed that out as well. I am not denying it....but I feel it's also due to pattern, which is part of the regression. CC is positively a factor and if in give years form now I am posting about a 12th consecutive well below average snowfall seasons, then I will be of the opinion its more due to CC.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just to be clear....I am waiting on deciding whether or not CC is already having a larger impact on snowfall than simple regression throughout the NE coast, NOT whether or not CC is taking place....or whether or not CC is already impacting snowfall in the coastal mid atl.
×
×
  • Create New...