40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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I think these trends are good insurance for you....makes it less likely you get JUNOed even if it kicks a bit late. -
Well, like Will said...that actually captured as modeled, but stalled later. It was Juno that captured later, which is the best analog....my point is that usually these Miller Bs either stall and/or capture a bit later at the last moment.
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I never disputed that it would trend that way. You are misunderstanding. In fact, I said I expected some LBSW runs, but I think it will tic a bit later with capture right at the last moment.
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LBSW is my largest concern.....even a track over SE MA, I can deal with...that replaces deformation with low level fornto. I don't care to jackpot.....I just can't stomach being another regional minimum for like the 36th consecutive event. If this goes LBSW, I hope it cuts over SNE. Last thing I want is a LBSW that remains frigid and pins the low level fronto down in Duxbury.
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I def hope reality is a bit later with the capture than the EURO....I'm all set playing with Boxing day fire back east. We would hope it played out like 12/92, but I don't want to rely on that.
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When everyone around you has 20", it blows. Drifting was decent, though.
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1/2"
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That EPS mean clown map tells me most members close off later than OP.
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Sneaky epic winter for the Delmarva if that comes to pass.
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I have no issues with that....don't need a JP, but I just don't want to get Boxing Dayed Considering most other guidance closes off in GOM, even a 75/25 comp in favor of euro places capture near upper cape.
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Best case scenario for me is probably a slightly later capture that tucks into the cape, as opposed to LI....less LBSW and closer CF. Anyway, fun week ahead.
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Great run for the area as a whole
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January 2015 was fine....the best of the band was like 12 mi west of me, but no complaints. Boxing Day was a disappointment.
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Its not overdone in this instance IMO.
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If we do close this off that far SW like the EURO, I'm going to want this to amp to hell and tuck right in near Boston....the last thing I want is to have the mid level deformation over Logan11, and the CF pinned by the cranberry bogs...I'd rather risk rain.
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Someone is going to pull 3'+ in this.
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I'm sure I did lol. I wear my emotions on my sleeve in these threads....actual forecasts are another story. I actually called that in JUNO...I warned the NYC thread and no one wanted to hear it. These usually kick NE late in game
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Agree. My reactions are to the run itself. I get the lead time. I think we can take graze off of the table, which is good for all.
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Well, just another run...hopefully the Euro JUNOs all over itself to a degree.
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Stalling there lowers the ceiling here.
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Well, hopefully some sort of a compromise with other guidance and it closes a bit later.
