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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Calling out sick
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't noticed it out this way..
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    2018 was actually a touch more negative...but they are both negative.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's not a neutral PNA.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    We can agree to disagree, Scott...but 1956 is a better match IMO.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    It would be better to use 1951-2010 as a base period, but I would need to look up the link for that site.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes. This is why I liked 1956 more than 2018...not that we are necessarily getting 50". Just as one vs the other.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would view 1956 on the site that allows you to use 1951-2010 was a base climo period. That outcome is possible IMO...but yea, it's always dangerous to expect it.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't assessed it too much, but why do you say that? The very warm February? I think 1956 had more of an RNA...
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    The block is coming IMO...two ways we can get porked. Some flukey crap with the PV, like December, or more likely via compression between the block and any RNA derived se ridging.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    It had one moderate snow event, but it was very warm with a SSW within 5 days of this one. There was an 80 degree day in SNE.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not using it as an analog...I'm just trying to explain what a late-blooming Miller B pattern looks like. I'm pretty happy with my Feb 2018 analog this month.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    For those who are confused enough to use peepers as a means of long range forecasting, take a look st Feb 1969 H5.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    It probably hugs and crushes WNE.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been a few of those runs lately from what I have read on here...I'm not looking yet, though.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is a late-bloom Miller B pattern.....
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    It actually did...it just didn't snow.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    43.7
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Definitely the best outlook. Great job. But I think we can put to rest the notion that I copy your work.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    57.9 here.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wonder how much of a difference it would have made in the Jan monthly temp departures if that historic cold shot had a couple of days earlier. Maybe down from like +8 to +6? That monthly departures are what killed me....I expected a huge thaw in January, but not for it to last all Month. Lol La nina shifting more west may have played a role, too.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    This isn't surprising at all...I mean, I had Feb 2018 as a monthly analog.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    If the arctic doesn't deliver for whatever reason, then winter is over. Plain and simple....barring a bowling ball miracle.
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