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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Plenty of time to consider the really big totals, but in this set up, I wouldn't go over a foot until really close in. You need a lot to go right.
  2. Maybe a little bonanza just inland and through NE MA back to the east slopes of the ORH hills on that easterly fetch.
  3. Why do you broach that issue with me like every day? lol Its pretty robust, I get it....I don't rip and read it. Its the best algorithm for determining precip type, but its still just a tool. Also, its only as good as the data that the model is spitting out, so if the modeled QPF is overdone, so will its snow output. I'll still sell widespread amounts over a foot.
  4. That's probably about right....gradient just north of me. Not even kidding.
  5. Kutchera maps can be useful in deformation bands, but that's about it.
  6. For an hour or two before it steady collapses to Weymouth, where it belongs. lol
  7. Not a fan of Upton generally speaking, but that jives fairly well with my first look from Sunday.
  8. I guess it depends on how close the SLP tracks...12/16/07 had a great high north of ME, and that ended up getting the front back to about Tyngsborough....I hit the upper 30's in Wilmington.
  9. Gun to head now, I would go warning from about you points northward, and advisory south of there.
  10. Really? Usually with a high that well positioned, it would be near the coast.
  11. The way that this past few years has gone, I expect some kind of gradient over about Derry, NH.
  12. That is the one wild card that I have been watching. I don't think it happens quickly enough for any amounts over a foot, but it may be enough to mitigate sleep migration northward.
  13. I still expect at least a bit of IP or maybe some rimed flakes where I am, at least for a bit, but I do not expect it to limit accumulations much....at this point.
  14. Yea, I trust the NAM with one thing....mid level warm tongues. However, I trust it with nothing synoptically speaking, so need to see more consensus before biting off on sleet to MHT, though I have said all along that I do not rule that out.
  15. He is just really biased towards the solar min period, which I get.
  16. @WxWatcher007So sorry to hear of your dad's passing. I lost mine 8 years ago, and it's no coincidence I just hit 8 years sober. In the short term, try to garner strength from it in order to make sense of it all, and then in the long run while it never goes away, it does get more manageable. May he RIP.
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