40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Sorry, Jerry.
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You have unhealthy obsession with Epstein...hope he locks his doors and closes the blinds while changing.
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....or maybe you just need to use the toilet? :
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False. The MEI is the highest....meaning it has established the strongest coupling with the atmosphere of third year la ninas, however it borderline weak/moderate in terms of intensity.
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I got .04" this AM judging by the east Haverhill station.
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I use that site. I may have another one in my list of links, not sure. I'll begin sorting through all of that shortly when I begin my outlook crucible.
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Off the top of my head, weak Nino, weak Nina and Moderate Nino are def better...but it's not terrible.
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Exactly.
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I do think December will be nice this year.
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It's not surprising since last years event was also well coupled, and the event has never abated. It should start to tick downward by probably like October/November.
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I think part of it is the seasonal people like myself begin to trickle back in as we approach fall.
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From like KPYM through the cape got porked....I think 2004-2005 spread the love more.
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Yes, I think that is a possibility...a couple of 3rd year la nina seasons have done that...even a strong one.
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Yea, that was one of two really atrocious outlooks that I have done....I missed 2018-2019 and 2019-2020 horribly, but have been pretty good as whole, otherwise since I began in 2014-2015. Looking back, its probably good in the long run because I was pretty arrogant after basically scripting 2017-2018 before it played out and thought I knew it all. I've done a ton more research since that dose of humble pie from mother nature.
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Its just not an exciting way to go out....with hurricanes, tornadoes and blizzards, mother nature sends you out in a blaze of glory, but with a drought, its like death by 2,345,983 paper cuts.
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That was my last event of 20"+...was a double-barreled deal. Saved that season from challenging for futility.
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I think envisioning the perfect season for my area....I'd like a repeat of 2000-2001 with a more east based la nina in order to minimize the relative lull mid season due to the shift N of the storm track, and perhaps a slightly warmer 1995-1996 and 2014-2015.
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Man, in any event, I think the first goal is to put an end to the drought-sword fight. We can all agree on that.
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I'm plotting in my mind and going over the potential scenarios...I don't think I want a really cold winter because that sets the stage for you to snort lines off of the Atlantic while I plunge into the Merrimack. I think I want a very active N stream pattern with slightly above normal temps.
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You have no idea how ruthless I am going to be when this finally reverses course.
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I did that in 2007.
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Been bone dry
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God, this is what 2022, The Year of Bore, has come to....stealing one another's drought.
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You don't think an inch and a half of rain makes a big difference compared to areas that received a few tenths?
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Yea, that map is pretty course and doesn't cover the meso nuances....Brett got dumped on a couple of weeks ago. The rain has been just like the snow here....misses to the north and south.
