40/70 Benchmark

Yea, those always work out.

In that case, let me grab Tiny Tim and rejoice I just feel like anyone on the CP is getting to the point where its like a cat running around in a circle trying to catch its tail......just obsessing over minute trends that may or may not be noise, but in the end really won't alter the forecast much in YBY.

Hopefully the block exerts more of an influence. I'll do a First Call on that one tomorrow, but I think my preview map from Friday is the ceiling on that one.

I'm just about ready to punt the 16th.

There really is not much of a difference at all from 12z at the surface....6" line goes from like Dendrite to maybe KCON. Nothing jumps out at me aloft...we need more than that.

1" total....no complaints. Nice, little festive first snowfall.

Those maps are too liberal with snow....NARCAN will be worse....and more accurate.

These are not big changes...its basically noise.

Tell tale sign a storm blows in when you are inside of 5 days, people talk about "positive steps" and you look to see that it's still nowhere close to giving you snow.

@512highIf you knew Wolfie, then you would get it.

We have three more big shots this month...12/16, 12/23ish and probably something the week between xmas and NY. It's becoming easier to view a path to relatively meager totals this month is 12/16 largely fails. I still feel like I have a shot at like 6" 12/16, but needs work.

Maybe? Kinda? Sort of?

After the last several years, I'm like a PV with a very warm strat and sky high SAI....very prone to major disruptions.

1/2" at home....looked like about 1" at the Burlington Mall, around 15 mi sw of here.

Yea, I know you are usually very reluctant to point out what sucks

If that one just before Xmas is rain, too, then I'll be in a rubber room.

Nothing like a frigid airmass behind the rain....Regan era pattern.

Nice coating here...I'm pleased.

Euro us garbage, similar to last night. I think this one is slipping.

5 is too many.

March 5, 2001 redux

Its over Lowell, about 10-12 mi to my SW.

Henry's Weenie

GFS has a sick crosshair signal in CT Sunday night...probably why it goes nuts. NAM is good, but a bit less ideal. Too bad I can't get the EURO OMEGA, but is probably even less of a pronounced signal than the NAM.

Sunday-Monday Snows: Final Call Focus West The Situation: The forecast rationale from First Call on Friday remains largely unchanged, as the approaching system will be forced to track around a large low pressure that will stationed in the Canadian Maritimes, which will cause its eastward progression to halt and veer to the southeast as it enters Westrern New England. This means that most of the accumulating snowfall will be confined to western New England. Expected Storm Evolution: Light snowfall should break out across the Berkshires around or shortly after midday today. 1pm Sunday: And continue to spread east throughout the afternoon. 4pm Sunday: The system will begin to feel the influence of the system over the Maritimes as it enters central potions of the region during the evening, and precipitation will begin to track more to the southeastward. 7pm Sunday: This will greatly limit measurable snowfall east of about the Worcester hills, aside from some potential areas of ocean enhanced snow on the south shore. 1am Monday: Snowfall should be winding down prior to the morning commute on Monday, so while it would be wise to leave some extra time, delays should be minor. 7am Monday: Sunday-Monday FINAL CALL: Sunday-Monday FIRST CALL: Issued Friday 12/9 @ 12pm Then during this coming week all eyes will shift to a large storm that looks to potentially bring mixed bag of precipitation to the region.