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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. We have a reasonable consensus that this is a threat come this weekend, then I will blog away....attm, we ignore.
  2. Meh, I wipe the dew mist out of my crack w hr 240 charts.
  3. Paul I mean more for a composite, when you have a plethora of seasons from various decades...you have to choose one climo set, which is partly why I opt for the most all-encompassing set.
  4. Eric Webb sends @Typhoon Tipan early xmas gift: The mid-troposphere temp gradient b/t the tropics & mid-latitude N Hem was at its weakest on record this summer. A weaker gradient leads to a stretched/weak Hadley Cell, favoring sluggish TC activity globally, as TCs are unable to transport heat out of the tropics as efficiently
  5. The result will be your composite will have overall slightly lower heights, and mine higher.
  6. Track and intensity are intertwined because TBH I would rather not see it organize much with Hispaniola being a distinct possibility. You don't want highly organized, well coupled circulation traversing that island because they become so severely disrupted that dissipation is a distinct possibility, whereas a more diffuse system is more likely to simply redevelop along either coast of the island.
  7. I only use analogs going back to 1950....just using an 1951-2010 catch all.
  8. In all seriousness, I don't think this season will suck.....IMBY porkies not withstanding.
  9. This is also in accordance with central-based la nina climo.
  10. Great tool, but that is an obnoxious bug. Which climo period are you going to be running your composites against? I can't stand using the latest ones, even though that is the protocol.....I don't feel as though it provides an accurate portrayal because 2/3 of the composite ends up smeared in blue (it looks like winter-mode Kev made them)....especially in a climate in which cold underperforms at least excuse imaginable. I would rather my visual presentations depict a canopy of higher heights.
  11. Nope...I'm thinking 1995-1996 like Novie through January, transitioning to Feb 2015 and then March 2018..... And them I'm changing my initials to JB.
  12. That must be what happened to me.....I had the window open and went back after a few days.
  13. OMFG, I kept forgetting to select the second data set after checking the group 2 box...my god. Getting old.
  14. Nah, nah maybe just Novie through January....more of a Feb 2015 and March 2018 second half.
  15. Count the CFS in on the early start to winter-NAO train...EURO, French, JMA and CFS.
  16. I can't wait until he settles into his cold/snow routine....then we just have the ambiguously warm trio of Forky, torch tiger and snowman19 to contend with....but at least the latter is 5PPD limited.
  17. I should start writing my own AFDs...that way I can use the preferred verbiage and expect the weather that I want to expect. We psychosis....
  18. These days, with a dash of subsidence and a violent pinch of frustration.
  19. I am having issues with that site all of a sudden. When I try to subtract 1951-2010 period, its defaulting to 1991-2020...
  20. If anything, a bit on an active signal along the east coast...
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