40/70 Benchmark
-
Posts
73,795 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
-
Gonna need a bigger boat.
-
Yea, its a sheared-gradient pattern until about mid month.
-
I am not worried at all about suppression given the Pacific. Totally different setup from 2010. Now, maybe as the block is developing we get some of John's gradient saturation, which could cause a sheared wave to go south due to attenuation, but that is different. Its more about getting the NAO to wax and wane for higher end storm potential....you want to avoid stagnation.
-
Yes, mid-month towards the holidays offers higher end potential. Agreed. -
Not to mention that the block will relax a bit towards mid-month, which is normally when we see the higher end potential.
-
Yea, Pacific should be better in January...many of my analogs did that.
-
You have said yourself that the mid-winter period is more prone to velocity saturation than the book ends of the season...that said, I would not have an issue with a string of mod events from sheared out, attenuating waves....those are how we get our best months of December. We would have had that last December if it were not for the largest RNA on record.
-
I think confidence is above average relative to the advanced lead due to consistent ensemble convergence.
-
That is a blueprint to SNE history.
-
You really can't stay safe enough...
-
.62"...ended around midnight.
-
December 2007 and 1970 were my best...followed by 2008.
-
.62"
-
I think you took that too personally. We have all done it and will do it again. The only reason I am not in this instance is because I have been busy finishing up decorating and yardwork..not because I am more evolved or anything. Lol
-
The funny part is that my outlook focuses on January, and implied a tepid NAO for December, but whatever fits your agenda.
-
Game is on in my eyes....nothing more to say right now. Just a game of "think of as many ways it could go wrong as possible", as some sort of deranged defense mechanism.
-
I think you should judge the content of the post in and of itself, rather than allowing your opinion of the poster to bias how you perceive the information presented.
-
Probably some sort of relaxation around the holidays before a reload after the new year.
-
James would be proud of his brother from another mother.
-
He's long gone...won't see him again until the mid winter thaw.
-
I'd rather that than a chain of coastals....save the coastals for January.
-
Probably my number one seasonal analog.
-
I expect some of that in December
-
Not with RNA.
-
Anytime the PV is camped out over Hudson's Bay, SNE is good to go.
