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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, el Nino may end as a Modoki, but I don't think it will make much difference. The pattern should be great in Feb, regardless and in the seasonal mean, I will still consider it as being basin-wide.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, but your area into the mid atl can achieve climo snowfall in one event. And it just so happens that the odds of such an event far exceed climo this year. Even @bluewavewould attest to that.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    @AllsnowA slow start makes a huge season less likely, which isn't expected, anyway....but if the season evolves remotely as anticipated, climo snowfall will not be a tall task. Think about it...which is the snowiest ENSO state? El Nino....which is harshest in December? El Nino-
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Great point. We will not have that.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not concerned in the least.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, it doesn't have to be warm, but its not a stock cold pattern like it is later in the season. I agree it shouldn't be too warm with the higher heights near AK all else equal...would be a welcome change.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Correct. It changes in February, which likely plays into el Nino climo.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I still think we peak at 1.9ONI.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think I saw one seasonal forecast that wasn't mild in December for the NE.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    How will Central Park ever make up that 7" deficit?
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am not.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Where did you pull these graphics from?
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nothing good IMO....gonna be an uphill battle with descending solar and high geomagnetic energy. Better hope we cash in this season and maaaaaybe next season because it will get lean for a few years IMO.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    12/5 is what I consider open climo on big dog climo for SNE....through to about 3/31. Save the puns about the pattern...I get that it sucks. This is strictly climo.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yet to see a flake.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    There ya go, @Damage In Tolland
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree...we could sneak one more in.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    4" is about what I thought.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    .86" last night, .24" since midnight...1.10" total.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was going to say that, but I figured just wait until we see it during winter.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    RONI will probably peak at about 1.5 or 1.6
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    No surprises, but its clear the ONI will peak on the high end of my range.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Maritime forcing isn't good.....west-central PAC near dateline is. It also varies by month.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is where you just need to default to the seasonal research allow guidance to ultimately confirm....or in the case of last January, deny lol
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