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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. The vast majority have little knowledge of climo so their opinion is based entirely on anecodtal and subjective observations.
  2. My mean snowfall since 2015 has just now dropped below the longer term mean snowfall after this past season...just to put things into perspective regarding how bannanas 2014-2015 was.
  3. Absolutely, which I was expecting usuing the 2008 analog.
  4. I consider it a weak La Nina given I consider more than the technical 5 consecutive tri monthly period criteria.
  5. I'm not so sure one can assume a -PDO next winter...
  6. I don't know why anyone should read too much into the 7 year snow drought after that stretch that we just had the previous decade.....still looks like simple regression to me, regardless of the catalyst. If you want to surmise anything behond that, talk to me in another 7 years.
  7. What a difference a week makes...I awakened to snow on the ground last Saturday.
  8. Same here....2013-2014 had above normal snowfall, whiile this past winter was brutal. However, obviosuly snowfall is subject to a high degree of variance and I do see the value in 2013-2014 as one of the better analogs.
  9. Yea, means a moderate-strong El Nino is probably off of the table, which we had all assumed.
  10. No, I didn't. The season was brutal. 34.25".
  11. Just started to rain and sleet 38.5/35
  12. Have a few more of those and then I'll send you a very fair trade proposal...
  13. Yea, looks like I had +.38 to +.68 for DM mean NAO.
  14. Awesome...also means may NAO forecast was good because we were in lock-step on that this year.
  15. My guess is up to 3" above 1000 feet in ORH CO and N CT and perhaps several inches well above that in the Berks.
  16. I think 4" is probably reserved for the higher spots of the Berkshires.
  17. Right...not bothering. Marginal enough at low elervation this time of year....if out of banding, forget it. We're onto next season.
  18. It will probably do that for most of the event since the best dynamics remain W of me.
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