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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I think we are currently in a state of flux, but I don't think the prior regime has been completely "flushed out" quite yet....put it that way. Anyway, OT here.
  2. That said, orientation is not a big deal when the ENSO event meager, as this one should be...but all things being equal, I'd still prefer to see to see it east-based. Defintely some interesting early season hedges to be made with a cool/ENSO easterly QBO combo....
  3. Have you started looking at the winter stuff at all? I'm just getting going...
  4. Translation: Trends are unfavorable, but F**K it....lets obsess, anyway, given the notable absence of a social life-
  5. Anyway, Paul, you have known me long enough to understand I'm just teasing. I do appreciate your enthusiasm for weather...savor that because you will probably never witness me admit it again.
  6. You are usging this logic on the wrong person.
  7. Obviously its ridiculously early, but there is some major work to do for us to see anything other than an east-based cool ENSO event take shape (assuming it is cool ENSO) given the evolution of the subsurface this spring.
  8. Are you suggesting that a SNE severe event maybe in peril?? Never could have foreseen that...
  9. -EPO is my early hedge for next winter, as well...I was just telling a forecaster on FB that I associate with that I feel good about ridging INVO AK next season.
  10. Its a general warming....I'm sure the warming varies from staton to station, but everywhere is inarguably warming.
  11. Looks like Kev has been stricken with another round of emoji-dementia.
  12. Takes all the fun out of it when there is nothing to alter in the quote...I felt dirty.
  13. If he sees that he will be...thing about Chuck is that he's lethally dispassionate.
  14. There is strong telconnector and multi-ensemble convergence on a heavy round of psychosis.
  15. Maybe a bit of chocoloate sauce dripped on the nape?
  16. Kind of a contnuation of that buregeoning theme from last cold season of a colder se Canada...lets keep that going into next winter.
  17. Mid range attenuation not of just winter threats, but of anything remotely interesting, though this one I'll take.
  18. Jan 7 2024 was incredible...Feb 1 2021 was okay, too....but that's about it for me.
  19. I'd rather take my chances with a cane.
  20. For a second I thought you were leading into optimism about next winter...then realized you were just trying to make a buck Back to the regularly scheduled warm pool lectures from Bluewave....
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