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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    We have to catch a break like that, at some point.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, like I implied...he is hedging towards guidance changing.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like the mix line is from PVD to PYM, looking at CC RAD.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its just playing the "hot" hand, IMO....no pun intended.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I didn't say "the best", you did. But if you don't think coming up with essentially nothing out of these 3 patterns doesn't have any luck involved, then I am at a loss.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see how the warmth goes into mid February unless the Pacific look changes.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    You did post a forecast...that's right. Good call, so far.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    At least we won't endure the cold week with bare ground.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, snowfall is a lot or luck.....which I know rubs some the wrong way. But just to be clear, this season has been warmer than I thought. Its a combo of that and some bad luck, so far.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the teleconnection forecast to a degree helps to determine whether performance/snowfall forecast was due to skill or luck....akin to run differential. For instance, last year I was very accurate with all of the teleconnections, but it just didn't snow. in 2014-2015, I totally whiffed on the polar domain, but hit on the snow....last year I was unlucky and in 2014-2015 I was lucky.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, the first half of winter was warmer than everyone imagined....including Raindance and probably Omega if he's being truthful...never published anything.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I mean the season in the aggregate when all is said and done.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, part of the fun in it...same with sports. Skill has something to do with it, but at the end of the day you live and die by the bounce of the ball/puck. Once the buzzer sounds and the clock strikes "April", you look to the scoreboard.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that warm stretch will be pretty transient....the pace of the MJO has been under modeled all season.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    You should establish a business counseling married guys on how to escape lol
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I realize this, but I think there is something to be said for picking out patterns that either fail to succeed in produce...and raindance was adamant that this season would fail here not due to temps, but just kind of a porking. I respect that if it plays out. I may end up wishing that I really did copy him hahahahha
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, coming from the west and south is even worse than the north, I think...or so I have heard.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think @donsutherland1may have the right idea....he had like 27" at Boston. But the big question is what @Donald Sutherlands Eyebrowthinks?
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have heard coming into Boston from the south is even worse.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    January 1966 had about 10.5" in Boston at this point of the month....one damn good event there is all I would need to feel good.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I honestly am rooting your area now...had my fun. Just don't get carried away and grab 3' while I get 12" of exhaust.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Problem is, I need to be wrong about March...my window does run into very early March, so maybe that could work. We need that great PAC look for Feb to hold.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looking at climo data, we are still pretty much on pace with 1958 if Boston could grab like 3" today. This is the time of year where I begin to weight climo data more heavily than the outlook....gotta start to look at the scoreboard after halftime.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is totally reasonable and I agree.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    @brooklynwx99I need an H5 porn....hot and heavy, hit me with it.
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