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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I hope it bites me.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its all of the Wind Chill Charts he has been streamlining...they always fire him up.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ironic that the models which compromise the integrity of the SW the most at this point had modeled the most phased solutions originally. I think this speaks to the inability of the CMC and UK to sufficiently resolve this complex interaction and is why I have summarily dismissed them both as viable guidance with respect to this event for now.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you count 2019 since it came in two waves?
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, no trend here....
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we had a big NAO block in place, then the 16th could be very formiddable. Shit like this is why the NAO is important....its not the governing force that some make it out to be, but its something you def want on your side.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doesn't look like anything to slow it down, otherwise it would be a nice N stream late-bloomer.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we had anything into the s stream to phase with....as is it looks like a clipper. Tuesday's deal slowing down would help, too.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would be suprised if the southern route worked out, but technically you are right.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why would you expect it to be amped if it doesn't hold a coherent SW? Once it realizes that, then I am sure it will jack Dendrite.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    This run has the death band from me to ORH to Kev
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tossed.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    No suprise here.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its more than a week....I think John's date of the 24th is the earliest when can entertain the beginning of the end.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is why he is 5PPD.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Even the posiitve snow depth change maps are laying down serval inches at the shore.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Almost time for your favorite, the ICON.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    That run reminded me of 12/9/05 in that the banding was so tightly compact to the low pressure area.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Use the NARCAN.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Give me a 10-spot on Tuesday and 20" on PD...then scrounge up another few inches at some point to call it a climo winter. Done...over and out-
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I haven't waivered on my long run stance....the MJO is going to flat line and ultimately emerge from the COD into the MC IMHO....so we have to make hay Tuesday through last week of Feb. That is our window. I do not buy this 6 week orgie that some have been floating around. DT is just recently coming around to this....
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree...I have been insinsuating as much, but that doesn't mean disaster points south as has been the case previously.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Given the N stream's reluctance to completely join the fray, its commital to abandon ship altogether has ascended this from a marginal, amorphous bag of unrealized potential to a relatively short duration, high impact ordeal.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Someone near the north end is going to get creamed...it may even be north of me.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think everyone points south of MHT, at least, is in great shape.
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