40/70 Benchmark

I mean..name we a winter without a thaw? The whole first half of 2014-2015 sucked....95-96 had the worst that I have seen. If you need to avoid thaws at this latitude to be an "A", then you're going to wait a loooong time...especially this day-and-age. I understand we had some Pacific trough periods....I predicted them 4 months ago.

It wasn't like this...big difference between 50 and 70.

It won't impact mine....only one of these all season and it waited until second week of March.

52.3..just finally mixed out around 8am.

Stay safe and find an interior room

Front right over my street...funny, I dropped my daughter off like literally a mile south of our home, and I could feel the difference...thought something was up. It was 38 at home and like 46 there

I was 38 when I left the house at 6am...up to 41.4 now....

My yard looks similar...maybe a bit less.

39.0...still several inches in my yard.

Maybe the 5th wife will help enforce? Or you mean Bryce lol

41.5 IMBY.

@TauntonBlizzard2013What do you say, hope for Bryce? Maybe first wife at 13, 3rd by 20...hey, he could be working on 12 by the time he's our age!

41.5 up from a low of 37.9

Hubby swap at the homestead?

Ah yes...the good, 'ole "front-anal action always works out well....

This record warmth occurred in February 2018, a bit over two weeks earlier...also on the heels of the SSW, so while March is warmer this year...February was warmer in 2018. Like I said, timing is off a bit, but similar progression.

Well, in terms of snowfall, which is largely due to indiosyncracies.....first of all, the fact that the colder pattern is coming in nearly 3 weeks later hurts even if all of the storms materialized in an identical fashion. Secondly, the pattern we have coming up could have easily worked out in terms of a large storm on the east coast, but the timing is off, so it goes inland...those are the breaks. You are viewing this from a very reductive perspective......but in any event, snowfall along the east coast is actually ending up pretty similarly to that season, anyway, as January and February were snowier. If you expect an analog to line up 100% perfectly, I think you have some learning to do.

I know....just speaking of DFJ....we were on the same page with that. Thanks for your work on that, Chuck...I love integrating it into my stuff....it's lined up remarkably well with my polar composite past two years.

Part of the problem is the first reversal attempt narrowly failed...it succeeded on Feb 12, 2018.

Again, if you had read the post, the timing is about 3 weeks behind 2018...

Not very impactful in the traditional sense given that it wasn't a SSW, per se, however, I do feel that the very rare early season reversal predisposes the PV to disruption, and the polar domain to irregularities overall on a seasonal-level. Here is a composite of the two other seasons that had one: And this year: I definitely don't think it's a coincidence that we went onto to register a -NAO with high solar, which is exceedingly rare as you know from your research.

Yea, wasn't intended to be a lecture or anything....I just happen to quote your post because we were discussing. Thanks, I appreciate the positive feedback. It was not perfect and I do see room for improvement...will all be discussed in May.