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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. This has been a trend and it sucks. While that often reverses eventually, you don't want to see it get buried any more at this point.
  2. I rather blog for a crack-whore's venereal disease.
  3. It could go either way, but gun-to-head, the sub forum will be contemplating a gun-to-head come this weekend.
  4. It's often correct when it's the lone voice of dissent and sucks.
  5. You have to remember that every met, aside from cyborg-Will, is human and also utilize defense mechanisms themselves
  6. He loves to twist the passive aggressive dagger during moments of vulnerability . lol
  7. Yea, I mean....I feel better than I did a couple of days ago, but it's still a coin-flip at best.
  8. Pacific Trough patterns can be great when you have a mechanism to deflect the track southward in the nation's midsection....some of our most active and prolific stretches have happened like this....March 2001, January 2011, March 2018, etc.....Pac just keeps spitting out energy and the mid latitudes funnel it into a favorable slot.
  9. Right, which is why I chose the language I did..."first one", "latter two".
  10. You have some wiggle room here with models bulls eying NJ right now.
  11. Definite LBSW trend today...I would rather have that problem at day 5-6 with a Miller B then having it blow up in the GOM.
  12. Looks like I'm out on the first one..hopefully latter events work out.
  13. Interested to see what 12z looks like. I am with John....my initial instinct was no, but it's not impossible and could still go either way. The ridge has moved slightly WEST and amplified since I indicated I was against it, so it looks better now. I originally thought maybe 25% shot, now I would agree it's like 50/50.
  14. Yea, Scott...Fri night is a SWFE...exactly what that is.
  15. That would have a crazy deform-band...someone would be having a snow-thundergasm.
  16. Funny how there is just a grave yard of Pacific disturbances amassing underneath that little block.
  17. Yea, that's blatant plagiarism of the KU cookbook.
  18. This is why 2018 and 2023 are both valid analogs, despite each invoking drastically different reactions from CoastalWx!!
  19. Remember all year I was saying I think it will be like March 2023 with a little more help...case in point. While the pattern is redolent of that particular latter season stanza, the Pacific troughing is not quite as deleterious to winter prospects in this case because it's not as extreme and is accompanied by a favorable PV positioning.
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