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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. If we get a deep layer easterly fetch, that will happen....and east slopes of ORH will rival se MA for JP...especially with CJ capability reduced given decreased SST/land lapse.
  2. Digging in....I see what some are saying, it is a hair N with the SLP....QPF distribution discrepancy is probably noise. GEFS will likely be better.
  3. @Typhoon Tiphas been pretty good at diagnosing these trends and seems to think it has room....
  4. Lets get an H85 firehose going....just fire it in with reckless abandon at 38* in the Habah...
  5. Yea, I thought it looked good, but can't compare to 06z...
  6. Here comes the compromise that falls short for most.
  7. The stalling aspect is exaggerated in terms of impact on snowfall amounts....you only sustain intense dynamics for so long, anyway.
  8. Ugh....didn't want any regression pushes this quickly...at least it's still in lala range.
  9. Depends how quickly I can vanquish the wife and kids for the night I may try to get a jump on the H5 graphics today to save time.
  10. Yea, it's progressive, but a tug NW pretty much equates to a stall for all intents and purposes.
  11. ION, NAM also looks better for the SWFE tonight...(wrong thread, I know)....but good trends all around.
  12. Yes, I don't think we are done trending on that...I'm delaying my first map until late night bc I don't have the balls to go with my gut yet.
  13. This was an easy call on the trend NE....tougher sell was the track NW, but as you pointed out earlier, get that first trend significantly enough and it automatically pulls it NW and closer to us.
  14. I don't want them to because it has it's strengths if you know how to use it.
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