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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we get a deep layer easterly fetch, that will happen....and east slopes of ORH will rival se MA for JP...especially with CJ capability reduced given decreased SST/land lapse.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Digging in....I see what some are saying, it is a hair N with the SLP....QPF distribution discrepancy is probably noise. GEFS will likely be better.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I liked 06z (right) better.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Its a subtle cut back over the interior.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    No.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    It is a slight tick se with QPF on the 12z GFS.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was just going on what I was told.....
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Typhoon Tiphas been pretty good at diagnosing these trends and seems to think it has room....
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lets get an H85 firehose going....just fire it in with reckless abandon at 38* in the Habah...
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I thought it looked good, but can't compare to 06z...
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks pretty good..that's an east trend?
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here comes the compromise that falls short for most.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    The stalling aspect is exaggerated in terms of impact on snowfall amounts....you only sustain intense dynamics for so long, anyway.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    ICON is Jan 2022.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ugh....didn't want any regression pushes this quickly...at least it's still in lala range.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Depends how quickly I can vanquish the wife and kids for the night I may try to get a jump on the H5 graphics today to save time.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it's progressive, but a tug NW pretty much equates to a stall for all intents and purposes.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    ION, NAM also looks better for the SWFE tonight...(wrong thread, I know)....but good trends all around.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, I don't think we are done trending on that...I'm delaying my first map until late night bc I don't have the balls to go with my gut yet.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    This was an easy call on the trend NE....tougher sell was the track NW, but as you pointed out earlier, get that first trend significantly enough and it automatically pulls it NW and closer to us.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Vacation week
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    And mid level warm intrusions...
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't want them to because it has it's strengths if you know how to use it.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Never realized that...
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