Funny, I'm better at doing that on a seasonal level, but struggle more with emotional regulation through the ebbs and flows of discrete threats in the medium range.
Well,
1) I think you would see banding west of that QPF depiction
2) We still have 4 days to go....another 50 miles a big ask? There is a westward lean there...but we do need to make sure this isn't an 18z artifact.