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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. WTF.....going to refrain from anything that could be conceived as political discourse, but I have my opinions as to whom the ire should be directed.
  2. I have noticed....so we don't have means to plot H5 beyond March 17, 2026 for now?
  3. Where are we going for daily H5 charts now that this site is no longer updating? https://psl.noaa.gov/data/composites/day/ This site is fine for temps and precip. https://prism.oregonstate.edu/comparisons/anomalies.php
  4. Probably historic charts intended as an April's Fool's homeage.
  5. It did well last year. I was skeptical it would end up that cold. Interesting to see how it does this year.
  6. By the turn of the decade your metamorphous to torchtiger will be complete.
  7. Last of my neighbor's snow-blow pile will go today. I melted out Sunday.
  8. News to me....I checked out after my last blog on like March 9th. I'll do a March wrap up tomorrow and then seasonal wrap up in May...then we're onto 2026-2027.
  9. Yea, I figured it would be COC for CT...up here was a lost cause from the get-go.
  10. I would def. prefer moderate where you are in the mid atl, but up here, I'd prefer weak.
  11. RONI, since ONI is obsolete. I use this for PDO: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/pdo/
  12. I forecasted 2015 to pull that off, Chuck, and it was a failure aside from getting the blizzard right....but I hope we do it one day. I know we've come close.
  13. We've been through that....higher end events are going to leak east. You keep imagining this uber-strong, western biased unicorn...have at it. Yes, strong events are favorable for rouge blizzards, agreed. I called the 2016 event down to the week on a seasonal level. I am talking about temps and NE overall snowfall...only one that was decent for NE snowfall was 1982, which had somewhat of a -WPO.
  14. I could see it perhaps hanging near neutral like 2004 or 2009....23-24 remained strongly negative.
  15. I understand that....you have a preconceived notion of my expectation for the coming winter. All I'm saying is that if El Nino is robust, the PDO will flip. Agree it will be warm, but I doubt that it will be prohibitively so for the northeast.
  16. Okay, you agree with me because I never stated the second half of that. Sounds like a delusion. jk
  17. Okay.....I bet you $100 the PDO averages positive this winter if El Nino peaks at 1.5 or higher this coming fall.
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