Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    74,028

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get that they are just anomalies, and not cool readings in the absolute sense.....but I would think that if the ambient sea surface is very warm, then that would accentuate the ability of the sliver of cooler anomalies to exert forcing. Not my area of expertise, though, so I'll defer on that. I'm not a math and physics guy at all.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    160mph gusts at Galveston island....yikes. Boivar peninsula 116mph....they were just leveled by Harvey 3 years ago.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks, man. You may very well be right about the track....just a first call. Final will be tomorrow night. One thing I have been working on over the past year or two is not being so defensive with respect to forecasting and embracing mistakes as a vehicle for refinement. It tends to make your thoughts much more readable, too. I have also been trying to tone down the syntax and length to make it more appealing to read and less cumbersome.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    First Call for Laura, which will absorb Marco IMO. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/08/laura-steals-show-first-call.html
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    John, I know you are big on the warming planet muting warm ENSO to a degree, but what are your thoughts on cooler ENSO events being augmented?
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can book a weak la nina this season IMO. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/08/weak-la-nina-peak-virtual-certainty.html
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm especially skeptical it maintains that much intensity that far north, and somewhat skeptical it makes it that far west. We''ll see.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2020/08/double-trouble-in-gulf-of-mexico-next.html
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    08-09 didn't really have NAO blocking...it was more EPO, like 07-08, but it was less hostile in the atlantic than 07-08.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    All you can do is play the odds....two favorable (weak) ENSO events in a row sucked, so I wouldn't bet on a third.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Weak la nina is the second most favorable ENSO state.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Over such a small area prone to high winds...."who cares" in my book.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Congrats...
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it will be quiet for another week or so...
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    1938 wasn't purely tropical to my knowledge.....which is why it retained so much fury in conjunction with the insane forward motion.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Too early...I feel like recent summers have looked ideal in the north atlantic, only to end up having the NAO verify obnoxiously positive come winter. I do not that there is a propensity for a deeply negative NAO winter shortly following solar minimums...even raindance will tell you that.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Counts more than the frauds like Edouard that skirted east..
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    They are all retired.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pending disaster in conjunction with covid, which is worst in cane country. I did a piece on this about a month ago....
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure, but not Michael....
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I was wondering what he meant...
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, that in conjunction with the longitude that has them tucked into the concave of the coastline.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that in conjunction with the longitude of FL and GA....agreed.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its because FL and GA have the most longitude on the east coast.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thanks. The time is a challenge with a full-time job, wife and child, but I do my best. I think the fact that I glossed over local impacts is a byproduct of the time constraint. I need to do a better job of managing that, and I'm glad that Kevin called me out on that because it raises my awareness of it. My site is "Eastern Mass Weather", but I do try to cover all of SNE, and this system was memorable throughout W SNE.
×
×
  • Create New...