40/70 Benchmark

What I asked was that if el nino is muted due to warmer ambient ocean, wouldn't la nina be augmented. You said no, but this seems to argue otherwise...

Will said that if anything, the expansion of the Hadley Cell should augment la nina forcing in February, which makes sense as it would enforce se ridge.

Why Dews tossing weenies at the idea of a warm February, isn't that what you want?

Stand by for another Cohen displacement. Now that he has gone all in, we will have two weeks of winter before the rug is pulled out. Watch-

May not be what we expect, but its always been what WE expect.

Don't rule that out this weekend, should the Dawn Awaken.

Crap

What happened?

Was that the mid level magic event?

I think that Dec event likely availed of that brief arctic intrusion....if we hadn't had that, I doubt that band would have been as intense.

Go start a severe thread.

I feel like not having any arctic air around has inhibited storm development.

You know its bad when the rev doesn't post for like a week.

I agree, aside from the fact that I''m just glad to to be free of swamp ass for several months.

Its like the 12"/hr ban over Claremont, NH last month completely gassed the hemisphere-

This has probably been the most boring and unremarkable winter month that I can recall in a very long time. I mean , last season was memorable for the warmth.....over what will be a month next week? One warm cutter, otherwise, complete and utter meteorological ennui. Not much precipitation, not particularly cold, not particularly mild. Its been an absolute clinic in boredom from mother nature. Se may have fallen asleep herself at the wheel.

Plenty of LES and upslope! Great opportunities for @STILL N OF PIKE to post pics of himself eating sushi in some remote village on a snow chase.

I expected the +EPO in the second half, but thought there would be higher heights around AK early on.

I have misdiagnosed the Pacific, so far....The PNA has been a welcomed surprise, but I felt the EPO would be more favorable early on....that is what has killed the cold.

I figured that because you said that it would flush the puke out...

You're thinking cutter on that? One thing I didn't like is that the EPS runs H5 pretty far north, but at this range, it isn't a non-starter.

The trick is that its getting more difficult to muster the arctic air necessary for maxing fronto. We had it in that December event thanks to the neg EPO excursion.

Thankfully, my focus is the NE because I blew the PNA and EPO in the first half, which killed my national temp outlook. I nailed the arctic and atlantic, though...so that has saved me locally.

It will probably be north of me, but those front enders may stack up more here near the NH border, than say CT and RI.

I may be in the minority, and perhaps I would feel differently if I lived to be 123, but count me in on the global warming trade off from the perspective of a mid latitude winter fan. I'm okay with radiating to +3 instead of 0 in mid January, and melting a bit faster on average if its also falling faster. I mean....okay, every single season is now a top 3 warmest on record globally due to warm nights over Antartica, but mother nature has opened up a HECS drive through over the past 25 years. I can deal. Hopefully by my 123rd birthday, I'm blind, so I won't see the bare ground, anyway.