40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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You know things could be better when storm threads outnumber inches on the month. -
That one fails, I'll give it one more before calling fail on the Jan 2011 talk.
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Yea, not my type of set up.
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I get what he means by the block slipping south a bit. It's not an ideal look for us, but I still see plenty of blocking in the Davis Strait. Strikes me as the type of storm I'd complain about, while posters from CT ostracize me for bitching.
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I agree that it's likely to be load blown SW deal.
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Yea, not in love with that look. Majority of the region can score a major event, but you can take the SNE upper tier off of the table.
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The hemispheric pattern is a little easier to nail down than the nuances of a phase to within 50 mi.
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I think the EPS looks "best" right now.....GEPS worst.
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You will find a way to pull 2"
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Weekend Storm Potential Following Monday's brief episode of inclement weather, medium range ensemble guidance is signaling a storm system to pass out to sea over the weekend, underneath the developing NAO block. However, it does seem close enough to warrant vigilance over the course of the week. It appears as though the day to watch is primarily Saturday. ECMWF Ensemble Mean: GFS Ensemble Mean: Canadian Ensemble Mean:
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Frisky old man....
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Final Call for a general coating to 2", most favored SW of Boston, hills of N CT/RI, and ORH hills. Berkshires 1-3" Also brief mention of next weekend. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/01/final-call-for-nuisance-event-monday.html
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What I don't like as that all the ensembles are very supressed.
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2/16/18...worked last time this was bumped
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Yea, to insert its finger in your tailpipe.
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Says the guy who got 3' two weeks ago.
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12z is a case of too many cooks in the kitchen and no team work.
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Looks much less appealing to me than 00z.
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What you have to appreciate is that benchmark events are inherently elusive, or they would not be labeled as such. There is a reason the 1978 blizzard stands alone, even one tier up from the Feb 2013, Jan 2015, Jan 2005 and April 1997's in regional lore-
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I'm fine....this period was always gravy. I am not on the January 2011 train, and never was, but it has nothing to do with tomorrow's marginal deal failing.
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Don't forget to toss the 10:1 clown maps in a marginal airmass with meager rates and dynamics.
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It does?
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I posted that early this AM after the EURO....you think we are getting boned, look at DE Maine. At least there are no wav3 spacing issues for the weekend whiff lol
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EPS is a bit better
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You want the GEFS supprssed at this range.
