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  2. I guess this is going to be another gray squirrel apocalypse year. Too many to count. They're digging endlessly and wrecking my prepared garden beds. Every single planter barrel has a ring of dirt kicked onto the ground around it. I'm going to have to plant through landscape cloth or they'll just kill everything.
  3. Stein has been quite subdued lately..not much to complain about with the mild/wet/humid pattern
  4. It has been gravitating toward dry our whole time there...or scattered showers. CMC does show some rain Sunday in SRQ. No matter what the models say there will probably be storms forming on both coasts some days.
  5. Just got weather readings for 14 cities across the nation. There are 60s dewpoints even at Jay Peak. This is a HOT spring. Guess what summer will bring.
  6. 18z GFS… if we’re going by the 500 mb geopotential height cinema alone that looks like a very warm pattern but as usual the model smatters all kinds gunk that keeps the temperatures muted and the hydrostatic hgts from expanding. Some of that is undoubtedly error, but how much- even half of that gets cleaned up we’re gonna sore into the 80s
  7. The NWS forecast is roigh but granted I hadn’t looked at models at all
  8. Yea agree, I made a similar comment a while back that the climate here is becoming less appealing. Winters too warm for snow and Spring is just cool, wet and gloomy for weeks on end as we are often on the wrong side of BCDFs (at least DC and to a lesser extent Philly salvage more warm and sunnier days during this period). And what makes it worse is how the weekends often are ending up wet - terrible for us with kids!
  9. Looks pretty warm next week. Not install warm but umbrella over the splitter warm. Takes me a while to convert to summer mode. I'll miss the '50s.
  10. I'm running 3rd of 11 years in precip-to-date via CoCoRahs.
  11. That ‘ bouncing around ‘ kinda makes me wonder if it even happens. Sometimes the model’s trigger when there’s potential, but the triggers themselves are erroneous. A clue when that is going on is that spraying solutions all over the board with poor continuity
  12. Considering the temperature has been almost average...
  13. The bigger problem is Canada building Giant cities for resource extraction in the middle of Nowherw with one highway to get out of and middle of forests that depend upon forest fires for there general health. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  14. Some areas did decent. I think people down here have a distorted view of the fires up there because of the weather pattern last year with the drought and the prevailing winds really brought to smoke day after day down here Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  15. There are a lot of beautiful forest up in that part of Wisconsin. But that area is no stranger to horrific immense firestorms as the most deadly one in us history of occurred there The same date as a great Chicago fire. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
  16. Canada already has said the expect wildfires to be worst this year than last. They got no real precip again this last winter. We have a trip to the Maritime provinces in late Sept and October and I’m doubting it happens.
  17. Was crazy busy today. .11” since midnight but .10 was prior to 8 am. Fly to hot as hell Sarasota tmrw. Supposed to fly home Sunday but looks very stormy there then so who knows.
  18. I hope they can manage to make it through the summer without any big fires up there and that they get some good rains. It is supposed to be an awful year for hurricanes. Maybe some tropical storm remnants can make it up there to add to the rainfall.
  19. Showers will depart tomorrow and the clouds could begin to break during the afternoon. However, partly to mostly cloudy conditions could persist throught the weekend. Further, additional showers are possible during the weekend. In the wake of the system, readings will reach mainly the 60s through the weekend. No significant early-season heat is likely through at least the first three weeks of May. However, it could turn warmer next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.3°C for the week centered around May 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.73°C. Neutral conditions are now developing. The SOI was +14.42 on May 13. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.387 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 52% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.3° (0.1° above normal).
  20. Im with you. This is a long shit slog of rain from Nov thru spring with temps in 40s and 50s. Then a summer of bugs and humidity. It is terrible. Mentally, it is getting to be like the Pacific NW. Not good. Worth a move out west to a sunny dry type climate (Denver/SLC) if you can swing it
  21. I am curious to see if there is a -PNA correlation. There might be, as when the Earths magnetic defenses weakened around 2013, then again in 2019, there was more -PNA.
  22. Models have a strong -PNA for the next 15 days, and it's kicking into gear just as the La Nina surfaces (on schedule if not slightly ahead). This is something to watch as we progress through the Summer as last year we did not see +pna with El Nino and that carried into Winter.
  23. Today
  24. Another day with the lower max driving the daily cool departure. TEMPERATURE (F) TODAY MAXIMUM 64 1256 PM 90 1900 71 -7 74 MINIMUM 59 711 AM 42 1920 55 4 52 1947 AVERAGE 62 63 -1 63
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