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As long as we're posting random days here is next week Tuesday and Wednesday:

Florida Satellite Weather Map | AccuWeather There is another circulation just west of Key West too interesting. Still have the lower-level circulation up in north Florida near Gainesville moving west and the mid-level circulation moving west southwest of Ocala into the Gulf at this time fairly active in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico should be rather interesting to see how all of this unfolds over the next 24-48 hours.

Sigma model

All the gaurds I work with and we have about 1000 years between us are saying it’s the warmest it’s been this early. Usually you get a day or two in the high 70s in August. Unless we see a reversal to strong westerly’s, sustained low 80s are possible in August.

Just walking the dog on the Rec path and the dog randomly loses her shit, which means she smells a bear. Off to the bushes on the side he huffs and snorted at us before I could even see him. Snorted twice at me and even stood up to scratch the tree… or he was considering going up it if the barking dog came over. We backed away and he ran off. Right in the middle of town behind the movie theater lol. Going to look for another car or building to break into.

I'm surprised that seasonal models are so strong on a La Nina developing over the next few months, without strong negative subsurface anomalies. I guess it has something to do with 9 straight months of +SOI, as the SOI was a fantastic indicator last year, hinting that it wouldn't be a La Nina, with the index not going positive until the Fall.

Gorgeous night. High "only" around 92 here but 92/72 is my sweet spot, perfect summer wx.

ORH went at least 87 at 6pm, nice.

Middle of the country looks to torch. Glad I don't live there.

At Worcester or Logan? I'm not seeing it. Yeah it looks hot up your way.

The ocean temp at Point Pleasant Beach yesterday afternoon was close to 80 degrees. Went for a swim after work. Warmest I've ever felt this time of year. Great flip from the endless upwellings we experienced last summer. Also a bunch of cow nose rays scared folks out of the water before I got there as folks thought they were sharks.

68.2 SST for UNH buoy. That is toasty for the date. Wow.

Serious flooding NE of Greensboro right now I’d imagine

An analysis below of our declining number of 90 degree days over the past 7.5 decades here in Chester County. I have split the stations by elevation. Those over 500 ft vs those at lower elevations.

An analysis below of our declining number of 90 degree days over the past 7.5 decades here in Chester County. I have split the stations by elevation. Those over 500 ft vs those at lower elevations.

With the PDO so negative, I think we can increase the chances for warmer CONUS Fall, at least Sept-Oct, and especially October - the pattern of the 2000s. This hit big time last year, with a counter-intuitive -0.5 correlation H5 +EPO in Sept-Oct. It may be a warm Pacific pattern in October.

Maybe later in the day they dropped, around 1030-11 I checked check was at 90F with a dew of 72. regardless, swamp ass, walked in the house shirt soaked, could not get it over my back, walked into the door frame lol. Current Davis at home 90 from 92 high/ dew 69

It's still so swampy out. Mosquitoes are growing exponentially. Good luck outdoor events the rest of the year. Haha, can't wait to see West Nile ticker this August. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

On my ski trip, we did Aosta Valley, Chamonix and Zermatt. Fell in love with Aosta Valley. Beautiful valley with middle age ruins and vineyards. Friends are mountain biking there next month. I've been thinking of going back at some point and renting an apartment for a few months. By car, you can hit 15 or so ski areas within 90 minutes or less.

Topped out @ 88 today. DP & RH didn't help. Dew Point 72 F Humidity 65 %

Grabbed a couple garden pics this AM. Veggies consist of squash and zukes in the closest bed with the trellis and the other trellis bed in the distance is beans like scarlet runners and some cukes. Empty bed kinda hidden is potatoes in grow bags. We just harvested most of them and replanted. Smallish yields but bags are really easy to deal with when growing potatoes. Big long bed is killing it. It's actually 2 rows of plants with a string of peppers in front (jalapeno, Tabasco, shishito, nardello, poblano, Italian cherry) and a WALL of tomatoes behindlol. All kinds of tomatoes that I can't remember most of. Coyotes are my faves. I just eat them whenever lol. The rest are various heirlooms and nearly every plant is stacking up with fruits. We've had some pest problems but pretty minor so far. We had shit luck with tomatoes in Rockville. Always something like fungus, mildew, and blossom end rot. Down here is much more forgiving. Pretty sure it's cooler nights and low pollution. It's rare to have lows above 70 in the forest. Still gets hot AF during the day but the natural air conditioning of the forest is pretty amazing. Next year we'll have a 12'x24' greenhouse built along with at least triple the amount of beds. This year is experimental and it's far exceeded our expectations already. Incredibly satisfying

Following yesterday's deluge, today was a much drier day. Some showers or thundershowers could return to the region tomorrow afternoon and tomorrow night. It will turn somewhat warmer tomorrow with temperatures rising through into the middle and upper 80s. The heat will likely peak on Thursday with highs topping out in the upper 80s and perhaps lower 90s. A warm and mainly dry weekend will follow. No widespread and sustained excessive or record-challenging heat appears likely through the first three weeks of July. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.1°C for the week centered around July 9. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.52°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through the summer. The SOI was +2.09 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.295 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 71% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 79.0° (1.5° above normal).

Looks like the highs were 86/64 Worcester and 86/72 Boston. Definitely lower inland.

88/67 was the high today at Sterling National. Little warm for my liking but who's to complain.