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There's one near me Brian in Cape Neddick, don't know much about it though.

CME arrival appears to be running a bit behind the initial forecast of a 15-18UTC hit. Seeing indications of a 21-00UTC (4-7pm EST) hit instead, but I guess we'll see. And of course, we need a southward (negative) Bz for the storm to be geoeffective!

That happened in the 1962-63 winter. It's England's coldest winter since the little Ice Age. Major +PNA/-EPO combo in December and January. -10 to -20 temps in mid December here and nearly half a foot of snow on Christmas eve.

41 today

Not loving these persistent clouds

October of 2024

I haven’t made that stuff in forever. I need to get some.

Are you thinking we have a good chance to get a strong+ El Niño per RONI? If so, are you thinking a mainly mild result in the NE US?

Yep, climate change I’m sure has a significant role but we were way overdue for a correction. NYC can’t get away with regular 40”+ winters. No way.

It’s blatantly obvious now that we are going to be transitioning into an El Niño in a big way this spring. I think once we get to March/April the transition really kicks into high gear and it’s going to be rapid….possibly very rapid. Would not surprise me if the ENSO region SSTs reach weak El Nino status by the end of May

Nobody over the age of 15 could have possibly thought that was normal. Ironically we recorded a disproportionate amount of epic duds during the last 25 years as well.

Awesome. I’m guessing you clean up nicely there each winter?

We also got spoiled from 2019-2018-that 9-10 yrs was ridiculous for snow. It got to be to the point where that was considered normal and folks were surprised when it all ended.

Although I look at the Cfs2 for fun, I doubt it's reanalysis maps are correct!

Oh no! The Farmer's Almanac is going out of business! What will we do for pinpoint accurate seasonal forecasts?

Not understanding how certain posters have “warm agendas” and they get trolled but we get weenie mets who clearly post cold/snow favorable maps for clicks and subscriptions quoted here. Trust me I want it to snow as much as anyone but the last 5-6 years generally have been very unfavorable for our area to do well. It’s reality and we don’t like it, but nature doesn’t care what we like. Sooner or later the “warm agenda” posters will likely be too conservative but they’ve reflected the reality much better since the regime changed in 2018-19. If we have a Pacific jet dominated winter again, it’s very unlikely we make it to normal snow.

We are starting to sporadically see deterministic modeling (at very long range) spotting the potential for a massive EPO/PNA ridge. The 12z Euro is just the latest iteration. That ridge connects to a ridge over into eastern Asia. Europe goes into the ice box which teleconnects well to a cold eastern half of NA. That is the type of nechanism which can send bitterly cold air into North America, particularly the East Coast. Way out there and huge grains of salt.

Well said. Alot of agendas around here but in the end climo will be climo around here for the most part.

Yep. What a nasty afternoon.

Looks like we're on track for an impact in the next few hours. At this point, I don't think we need to worry about it being too early. More worried about a glancing blow. Undecided on if I go north/east/west tonight. Will probably look at the clouds and drive somewhere around sunset. Might base it on traffic lol

Snow pack went from 9” to 2” in just a couple days.

…or Rice-a-RONI.

Is the next skyrecho hitting earth yet?

Forecast for a possible encore performance tonight sounds meh This Afternoon Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. West wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Tonight Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 35. West wind 5 to 10 mph.

A Trace is just snow falling and either melting on contact or less than anything measurable. So yes, you had that, but nothing measurable yet.