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When I think of summer, dps in the 50s and comfortable temps don’t come to mind. If I want that boring, stale crap I wait for the darkening, depressing fall months to descend upon me. It may sound a little strange but a big part of me enjoys the dank, sweaty days of the summer season. If I want, I can simply drive 15 minutes to the beach or even just run around like a madman in a sprinkler without an ounce of shame. And when that’s all set and done, I can walk around in shorts and a tee shirt late in the evening and feel the lightness and pure blissfulness of the warm air around me. Because that’s what a season that I wait nearly 9 months for is all about. And you know what, I wouldn’t have it any other way baby.

The 0Z UKMET has a borderline TD/TS making landfall in W LA a week from now. This is the 2nd UKMET run in a row with this. The other run aimed for middle to upper TX but was still offshore at 168: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 162 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+162 : 28.6N 91.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 17.06.2024 168 29.5N 92.3W 1002 34

Friday definitely looks steamy (the Euro is the hottest, but all guidance seems to be in the 90s for most of the area), BUT there seems to be growing agreement that a cold front will roll through Friday evening, bringing in a lovely air mass for next weekend. The GFS has been leading the way with that idea, and other guidance seems to be either explicitly showing that or trending towards it.

Sort of looks like our Norman.

Hopefully we get some nice fires/smoke plumes going upstream for later this summer

Rained on and off all the way in the drive here to North Bay. 53° and windy when we got to the hotel. Looks like it got to 64° at home. There is a lot of woods between Ottawa and here. The Trans Canada drops down to a two lane road not that far west of Ottawa, maybe 50 miles? Tomorrow we drive to Sault st Marie. Wish the weather was going to be better but I’m still excited to see the big lakes.

More recent runs of the GFS since my earlier post show a more robust low-level response; so could certainly get interesting on Thursday afternoon/evening.

Over 2” in the past 3 days… occasional showers over a long duration. The vegetation has loved it. Still that light green of new/young growth in the trees. Moody day in the mountains. Multiple days of cyclonic NW flow. This is what that looks like when it’s cold aloft and there’s topography as a barrier.

@mreaves @kdxken @Chrisrotary12 and others: if interested in AmericanWx US Open pool (no prizes…just for fun), go to the 2024 PGA Tour thread in the Sports Zone forum and pick SIX golfers along with your guess of the winning score to par of the US Open. To keep it more interesting and to add incentive/make it fairer to enter earlier, I will not allow any entrant with the identical six golfers that any earlier entrant already picked. To avoid confusion, I’m asking folks to enter only in that thread as opposed to here. Scoring rules will be identical to what was used for the PGA except you need to pick 6 instead of 5 golfers. Deadline is Thursday (6/13) at 6:30AM EDT. Thanks. There’s already one entrant (not me).

Yeah, I see on the five minute obs, 81/43 at the latest of the hottest part of the day for a Heat index of 80 at KIND. Was warm but able to mow the lawn and not break out in a big sweat. Chamber of Commerce day if not for the breezy conditions.

Records: Highs: EWR: 102 (2011) first 100 NYC: 97 (1933) LGA: 99 (2008) JFK: 96 (1984) Lows: EWR: 47 (1957) NYC: 47 (1980) LGA: 49 (1980) JFK: 48 (1980) Historical: 1953 - A tornado hit the town of Worcester MA killing ninety persons. The northeastern states usually remain free of destructive tornadoes, however in this case a low pressure system, responsible for producing severe thunderstorms in Michigan and Ohio the previous day, brought severe weather to New Hampshire and central Massachusetts. The tornado, up to a mile in width at times, tracked 46 miles through Worcester County. It mangled steel towers built to withstand winds of 375 mph. Debris from the tornado fell in the Boston area, and adjacent Atlantic Ocea. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1966: Hurricane Alma made landfall over the eastern Florida panhandle becoming the earliest hurricane to make landfall on the United States mainland. 1972 - A cloudburst along the eastern slopes of the Black Hills of South Dakota produced as much as 14 inches of rain resulting in the Rapid City flash flood disaster. The rains, which fell in about four hours time, caused the Canyon Lake Dam to collapse. A wall of water swept through the city drowning 237 persons, and causing more than 100 million dollars property damage. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Lightning struck Tire Mountain near Denver CO, destroying two million tires out of a huge pile of six million tires. Thunderstorms spawned three tornadoes around Denver, and a man was killed at Conifer CO when strong thunderstorm winds lifted up a porch and dropped it on him. A thunderstorm near Compton MD produced two inch hail, and high winds which destroyed twenty barns and ten houses injuring five persons. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Carolina to the Central Gulf Coast Region. Hail in North Carolina caused more than five million dollars damage to property, and more than sixty million dollars damage to crops. Hail three and a half inches in diameter was reported at New Bern NC. Thunderstorms in the Central High Plains produced eighteen inches of hail at Fountain CO. The temperature at Del Rio TX soared to an all-time record high of 112 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Severe weather abated for a date, however, showers and thunderstorms continued to drench the eastern U.S. with torrential rains. Milton, FL, was deluged with 15.47 inches in 24 hours. Record heat and prolonged drought in south central Texas left salt deposits on power lines and insulators near the coast, and when nighttime dew caused arcing, the city of Brownsville was plunged into darkness. (The National Weather Summary)

I feel like a breeze is a game-changer at those temps/dews. Like stagnant air at those levels, god that must be awful. Which sort of makes me curious to experience it at the same time, ha.

Highs: PHL: 82 EWR: 80 ACY: 79 BLM: 79 New Brnswck: 78 JFK: 78 TTN: 78 TEB: 76 LGA: 76 ISP: 74 NYC: 74

Friday looks nice.

Tolerable. Usually when I go to Florida I visit friends in Tampa right on the Bay. Way better than Orlando but I still wouldn't want to be there for the summer.

91/80 for APF at 18z. WSW 10G20mph. Yes please.

Wind 7mph…horrible. Gotta get near the shore down there to make it enjoyable. SRQ to MKY is where it’s at.

Lies

My brother lives in lakeland.. no idea how he does it.. were complete opposites when it comes to weather

Spectacular evening with a light breeze

Huh....never took you for the type to look for 'bears'.

Again, I post this tirade every year, but why are people such fans of high dewpoints? Sunny with highs in the 70’s and 80’s with dew points in the 50’s is what I would consider perfect summer weather, even for this winter fan. It’s good for just about every outdoor activity imagined. Yet I don’t get the rooting for 85/72? Who wants to be sweaty and uncomfortable? Do you enjoy the crotch rots and the swamp ass? Are you a nudist that doesn’t want to catch a chill at the twigs and berries solstice festival? I understand enjoyment of almost all kinds of weather except for the ones that like high temps and dew points. They must have stock in deodorant companies and air conditioner manufacturers. That is all.

It does have its advantages but the heat goes from April to late October, part of the reason I moved back