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I was there for that and got the Autographed KU books.

It was planned for a while and worked out with cheap hotels/flights weekend after Mardi Gras.

I could see favored areas getting 8-12.

I missed Feb 2003 in Boston when we went on a stupid long weekend getaway to Quebec. We had Boston news on the hotel TV so I could watch the coverage while we sat under moonlit skies and the coldest temps I’ve ever experienced (-20). I liked to think I experienced the cold HP that made it all possible.

i dont think he recovered from the snowstorm that never happened..

Not sticking on hard surfaces here. Only grass.

GEM shaved QPF a bit around here, but low is dead-on last run...IDK, I'm just not that spooked and call BS on the rug-pull.

Feb 1979.

Your guess is as good as mine. It’ll be a narrow band only 10-20 miles wide. Either we’re in a good spot for it or not. We’ll probably know the answer to this early tomorrow evening when it begins to form.

I miss Paul Kocin on TWC. Saw him years ago when he did a seminar at Kean.

My only question now is what time should I start my jebwalk tomorrow?

I have friends who were scheduled to fly from Presque Isle, ME to Boston and in the New Orleans Monday. The Boston flight has already been canceled and they’ve been rebooked out of Bangor Monday afternoon.

I dont know. Surface low is pretty east from it's last run. But that model is a clownshow anyways

and 1979, PDI; 78 January too.

Snowing here, also.

Yes...

I’ll report from Miami beach where wind chills are supposed to be in the 30s Monday night

For NW burbs: the GFS has been ticking east with where the H7 low closes off and it's general track. The small ticks east with that is why areas further NW have been losing some QPF/snow. Again, we just don't know where that will set up right now and 8-16" throughout Berks and the Lehigh Valley is a good call based on current data. What will happen tomorrow is the precip shield will begin to blossom as the baroclinic leaf expands/PVA rotates into the coast with the trough tilting negative. I would not be surprised to see snow as far back as Pittsburgh. Then, as the mid-level lows close off, the larger precip shield will begin to collapse back towards central/eastern PA as the secondary circulation fronto bands rapidly develop. Also, there appears to be an IVT develop across Central PA. You will likely see a dual band structure with the coastal low: one closer to the coast with 850mb fronto and one further NW with 700mb fronto. There will inherently be some subsidence outside of those bands. These bands will be rotating off the ocean from SE to NW. Who ever can catch the pivot point of either of those bands will score the jackpot. Now one of the biggest differences between our models remains just how stalled out our surface low gets, and therefore how long those intense frontogenesis bands have time to rotate inland. The NAM remains the most amped outlier and tucks/stalls the system for hours, so these bands can extend much further inland. The RGEM is less amped and quicker, so the bands are quick to depart eastward. In summary, this has nothing to do with the storm track anymore. The differences really come down to how amplified and stacked these mid-level lows get.

We are lucky to have you. You make us proud. Well done friend. Not often do we get to see writeups like that for this area

We can be a two man therapy group. Part of the whole evolution of this was the cold front and winds happening here so I guess in some way I’m taking part in it lol.

I've also learned that the best banding is usually NW of the best modeled QPF.

3z HRRR much colder than 0z HRRR, probably just reverting back to the real solution

00z GFS put some nice rates down on the coast!

I also think it's time to hang up the ensembles too.