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@ineedsnow

I finished 90% of climo, had accumulating snow in 4 straight months with 3 weeks of snowcrete on the ground. Grade = B.

Pretty sure the sun was going to be out by now.

Can’t wait for march to be over with. I’m going to start relocating each march.

Flurries and grapple .

sleet and rain in Towson

It’s March. It’s always a see saw.

Sleeting in Lutherville.

The weekend will start on a cold note with the low temperature likely near freezing in New York City and high temperatures in the middle 40s on Saturday. Sunday will become somewhat milder. The warming trend will continue through the remainder of March with the temperature reaching the 70s as March concludes. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 18. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.15°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was -12.30 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.511 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.2° (3.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Please no. Enough now

a little snow tomorrow?

Out here in a steady rain at a baseball game. Guidance missed this, had it farther south.

Was Cohasse your old friend one? If so, played there at the end of the season last year, and it was in great shape

Sleeting in Timonium lol

For MBY, I'd give it a B-. The most notable experience was the squall that @MillvilleWx and I chased up at Keyser's Ridge. Awesome LES chase with @dailylurker but that doesn't go towards the grade here at home. The sleet bomb with temps in the mid single digits was notable - and disappointing since we wasted a ton of QPF with such cold air. But, almost exactly climo snow and slightly below average temps yielded an overall solid winter at the resorts. Grade could have been higher but it's weird that sustained winter, at least out here, seems to always die after about the first of February.

High in the 20s is just cruel under full sunshine this time of year.

My old one opened yesterday, not Sure when they open up here but doesn't matter til I get my hip replaced.

A generous D+ due to the cold. Received at least an inch of snow only once all winter. Fourth-lowest snowfall total in my 20 years in WV at 11".

Yes. The @ChescoWx method is statistically useless. This can be demonstrated quantitatively by shifting the starting point (1998/04) and ending point (2026/01) of the trend multiple times and seeing how sensitive it is to the cherry-picking the start and end points. For example, shifting the line to 1996/06 to 2024/04 yields a warming rate of +0.41 C.decade-1 using this method. Using a more robust linear regression from 1998/04 to 2026/01 we get 0.1851 ± 0.092 C.decade-1 k=2 with an acceleration of an 0.1516 ± 0.035 C.decade-2 k=2. And this is starting from an El Nino peak and ending with a La Nina crash with a 5m lagged RONI of +2.4 and -0.8 respectively (or using the deprecated ONI it is +2.4 and -0.4 respectively). Note that uncertainties here are computed using a Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent model [Zeileis 2006].

Basically climo snow + cold. So like a C+?

Crickets in here Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

75-80 Tuesday / Wednesday next week