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Yeah, we are looking really good here in the East.

I got bit this weekend by a small one. I'm going on Doxy today and getting a collar for the dog. He had one seizure last year while one bravecto, collar, and permethrin in the lawn. We are cutting bravecto and the permethrin and hoping the collar on its own doesn't cause seizures.

The lawns are green at least. Nothing worse than staring at endless brown dead grass.

Yeah, my guess is that the only spots this summer that have a chance of reaching 30 days will be somewhere in NJ. Newark was a little over last summer and a little under back in 2023. Central Park has been so overgrown that they haven’t had 30 days since 2010.

This year I've flicked more ticks off of myself than the previous 8 years combined so far when doing yardwork. I've had probably about 8 crawling on me so far. Thankfully zero bites. My dogs are on preventative meds, but I've flicked several off of them as well. It has been nuts.

I’m ready for the switch to typical south shore warm season drought. It’s been a while since we have had such a cool wet start to the summer.

For a actual view of the real data see the below....can you see the UHI problem clearer now Charlie?

Did you see that July 2010 heat I posted? I was wowed that we actually once had that kind of climate. 101 degrees and a dew point of 45 and humidity under 15% lol.

I doubt we will even get 30 (definitely not here or in NYC)..... my prediction would be for less than 30 90 degree days for EWR too.

and very little sun and looks like lots of rain. the real heat looks to be in the West this year, California is having a big heat summer already. Normally when this happens, it means that it will flip just in time for fall and winter, in other words we will have another mild and snowless winter while California gets a lot of snow. Thats going to be my long range forecast

The downside of rainy patterns in the summer are more pests and more spread of infectious disease. I fully expect West Nile and Lyme disease to be rampant this summer because of all this cursed rainfall.

we need to start spraying chemicals to eradicate them, even if it means killing off insects

I was pointing this out last month. We typically don’t get 40 to 50 days reaching 90° like in 2010 and 2022 without 90°+ heat in May. The summer could still average warmer than normal. But we will probablyhave plenty of onshore flow and moisture.

thank you, math heads confuse the definition between warm and hot, the two mean different things. above average does not mean *hot*

This is an interesting thought. September has become more summery than June is.

I'd rather hot, dry days intermixed with legit below normal days, the way things were. I love the fact that July 1936 that gave us 106 degrees in NYC actually finished below normal, -1.3 by today's fake new normals. 90% of the lows that month were in the 60s and about half the month had lows 65 degrees or lower. Three nights had lows of 60 degrees. There were already 8 million people in NYC in the 1930s, so the UHI was already alive and well at the time. There were more people in NYC in the 1930s then the second biggest city in the USA, L.A., has today in 2025. I HATE high minimums and these digusting higher dewpoints we always have now.

But it's not a hot summer either, hot has a specific definition that refers to a high number of 90 and 95 degree days and 100 degree days too. We used to get these frequently in the 40s and 50s, as most of our heat records are from that era (with another peak in the 80s, 90s up to 02.)

yes we can call it a warm summer, but hot has a specific definition that refers to extreme temperatures while warm can merely refer to elevated averages from higher mins.

yeah this weather will only make more people sick it's why I need to do extensive spraying tick bites for animals are way above normal by the way glad to see you're coming around to my way of thinking that above average temperatures does not mean it's hot. I know it's a nuanced discussion but *hot* has a specific definition and a rainy summer even with +2 temperatures with a low number of 90 and 95 degree days and no 100 degree days is not a hot summer. the whole thing about average temperatures I feel is used to construct a narrative by people that just isn't true and doesn't pass the eye test. And I'm someone who knows full well about and agrees with climate change science. But I know what a hot summer is and above average with lots of rain and a low number of hot days just does not cut it.

Less warm or closer to the warmest 1991-2020 normals is the new cool. This looks like the pattern for the next few weeks. Perhaps the pattern warms up during the last week of June allowing a modest warm departure for the whole month on average. June 9 to 16 EPS forecast June 16 to 23 forecast

EWR: 102 (2011) now this is real heat, not bogus *above average* temperatures that some people confuse with heat

above normal doesn't cut it for me, as averages can be elevated without any hot days, just a lot of rain and elevated minima. this is why warm and hot describe completely different things we can be above normal without any hot days or any sunshine for that matter that's not a hot summer.

Because of the stunningly stalwart defiance to change (the trend that has never un-trended itself ... ) I'm gonna go ahead and just assume this precarious weekend dong set up of a pattern will go ahead a verify the rape and claim a 14th soul in row ... At this point, we've seen a dozen different modeled reasons to not fuck up a weekend's sensible weather, with a 0-15 W-L record. Sometimes, the trend just has to end per its own unpredictable nature, and it's just a waiting game. That means no matter what outlook says otherwise, the onus in on the trend to stop at all. Because apparently ... there are no scenarios capable of stopping it within the capacity of human technology for detection. So, if you're an operational Met predicting the summer, you forecast all weekends fucked until further notice. Capiche?

cool (like today) or warm but definitely not hot. above normal = warm hot = large number of 90 and 95 degree days and a few 100 degree days thrown in. That's how I view warm vs hot. warm describes elevated averages while hot refers to number of hot days (this is how the NWS describes it too). when talking about hot days, elevated minima are not factored in as the word *hot* as a specific definition refers to how high the high temperatures are. the excessive rain is why our number of hot days is down.

We have 90% of summer still ahead of us. I will bet we finish above normal by the end of August.