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  2. 3.8 in Methuen. Average snow depth in front yard is 14.5. Deepest depth in backyard is 20.6.
  3. posted a chart an hour ago to show this but the synopsis of having that newly arriving polar high through QUE, dammed in, having also arrived over this impressive cryosphere.. the low levels should at least "look" colder than the warmer solutions are giving us. It's interesting that the NAM is as warm as it is; you'd think it's resolution in the lower 300 mb would be colder. I wonder if the NAM being a weaker QPF is limiting systemic cooling or something.
  4. I remember I sarcastically said to Will late last week "of course next week won't trend south like the Blizzard"....but that is exactly what happened....yesterday verified south, too...so it's been consistent.
  5. Sure it is, but the statistical odds drop markedly once past about 3/10 for NYC/coast
  6. Ok that’s cool…well I guess we’ll see..as ambiguous as that sounds. Lots of time for trends in both directions. Thanks!
  7. Please be snow, please be snow, please be snow, please be snow
  8. Alot of cold air coming down. I think we have a good chance at some snow. AI euro in the long range has some chances.
  9. Defintely snow chances Its funny how some of you think we cant snow in March. Its still winter.
  10. 50 here with full sun, drip drip drip
  11. If that trough axis is too far east, it’s cold and dry. I’d like to see consistent threat from the op runs too. Again not worried at this point.
  12. Off topic, but can someone lock the Winter thread since it is meteorological Spring so we're not posting about the same thing in two threads? TIA.
  13. We have arrived to the time of year where medium range is taken with a grain of salt. Way too much going on and we're throwing into the seasonal transition into the background mix. Certainly some potential for some unseasonable warmth next week when looking aloft but looking at the llvl and sfc configuration...lots of caution flags. This isn't to say we don't sneak in a very mild day or two but I wouldn't hold my breath right now
  14. You need to have quite a few things come together for a solid March snow. Not saying it can't happen, but more elements need to be in place. I remember a few solid April snows one not too long ago.
  15. FIT finally punched through. 46 but the last 5 deg of which were in the last 40 min. DP up to 36. Under full March sun ( the street melt water is steaming for the first time I've seen this year including that 52 sunner on Saturday, so we've crossed a sneak sol threshold) there's no way in physics snow is not melting today.
  16. 50.9" as of today here at WXW1 138.6" in Barrow
  17. Lots of time for that to trend…like yesterday’s did, and tomorrows too. I asked you what you were cautious about regarding the mid month flip..cuz you sounded enthused yesterday, but you never responded.
  18. Have t checked. Probably 12-18” depending on the location.
  19. Down in Aldie helping the farrier. 50 out does not feel like it. Getting the horses out of the fields is quite an adventure. Put my tall muck boots on and glad I did. Sinking about a good 3-4” into the mud at the gates.
  20. There's no mechanism for that. AO needs to go negative and I don't see that. Colder air is WPO driven with PV on our side of the globe. Probably a lot of lakes cutters, active start to severe weather season
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