All Activity

After Irene (4days) and snow-river (6days), in 2 months time, so many people had whole house generators installed in Westchester. During Sandy (9days) I had friends sitting with generators and no power because the propane co’s couldn’t keep up- just something to consider for long term outages!

About three more weeks until we start the slow descent towards fall

Yeah I’m definitely curious. Watch us somehow end up with a 100” winter.

Thanks, Chris. From that ECMWF “data information sheet” link, the 80N+ mean is strongly biased toward the portion closer to 90N and thus shouldn’t be used for determining actual mean. I’m educatedly guessing that that’s the reason for its cold bias. OTOH, it also says comparing one year to another, which I’ve also been doing, can still be done: “Since the data are gridded, it is straightforward to deduce the average temperature North of 80 degree North. However, since the model is gridded in a regular 0.5 degree grid, the mean temperature values are strongly biased towards the temperature in the most northern part of the Arctic! Therefore, do NOT use this measure as an actual physical mean temperature of the arctic. The 'plus 80 North mean temperature' graphs can be used for comparing one year to an other.”

Great news for climate scientists and bad news for climate alarmists with this appointment of Dr. Weilicki to lead the U.S. Global Change Research Program!! From Secretary Chris White "Matt Weilicki is an honest scientist who follows the data wherever it leads. That is what science is all about. He will lead our efforts to honestly present the empirical climate data to guide policy makers. Sadly, too much of the mainstream climate community has focused on a scary narrative that is inconsistent with actual climate data, leading so many astray like reporters at Politico. I welcome the new era where data, not rhetoric, is the arbiter of truth. Growing the government, increasing energy prices, and scaring children will no longer be the goal. Science will be the goal. So happy to have Matt in this role!"

Next week might exceed the heatwave we have been dealing with. We’re at the point where when the high is 98 we’re saying it’s “only 98 today”. This weather can kindly end, is it September yet?!

Modest TS last evening (8:30-9) plus a shower about 6 AM totaled exactly 1/2". Looks to be all there we'll get before late next week. So far this month's temp is running 2.2° warmer than our warmest July (2010) and the average continues to get warmer this month, though only by 0.5°. Summer here has a 5-week plateau with average temp only varying by one degree. (The one-degree winter valley is less than 2 weeks.)

The telltale sign of having no answer to the science/data is when someone like Charlie attempts to push the falsehood of something he deems "settled science". Science is of course never settled but constantly evaluated and tested which I do constantly. There is clearly no mistake in the table as it it actual validated raw data.....the real mistake is Charlie and NCEI thinking Chester County on average is colder than Allentown. Plus Charlie I love your line "between 1927 and 1951, the County COOP stations are much warmer than the county average" Welp I included all of the COOP stations so again exactly which station? since all are included above? Also, how do you know in fact during those years the county stations were according to NCEI in reality colder than Allentown? Real science over feelings FTW!!

Yes, @MountainMarvel was not a prolific poster, but he always had beautiful pictures to share when he did. I remember the snowfall pictures he would post as being “soft” and “gentle”. I know that’s a weird way to describe a photo, but that’s the best way I can think to describe it. There would often be a slight intentional blur to his images, I think. Sad to hear he passed away several years ago. Thanks for sharing the news @nchighcountrywx .

becoming a morning jog guy

yup...just caught that.

That looks old?

Same here. Watch it be so anomalous that it has the complete opposite effect of what we'd think and it results in historic cold/snow across the country

Gotta say...definitely impressive how the guidance for such an anomalous event have not backed down. About to have another impressive WWB too http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif EDIT: this is July not June

In the meantime, EPS says deep summer rolls on and on. We love to see it.

If it gets to what models are predicting, I'm intrigued to see what it brings. Maybe we can get a 950mb benchmark rain event.

+4C or bust

We only winter weather now. Summer is stein.

Yes. Est based El Ninos are not favorable for snow in these parts. Prove me wrong atmosphere! Never let Ji start a winter thread again.

The new EURO SEAS5 continues with a strong +IOD developing. Given all the other current antecedent conditions in both the ocean and atmosphere, there is going to be no limit to how much this Niño strengthens and couples from here on out. It would not surprise me if the MEI reaches or surpasses +2 come August….

Cold all winter. Bury us in snow. Let us sweat to the 90s in summer.

We have another shot of heat coming around the 16th and 17th.

Rockland is hosting the state junior league softball tournament starting sunday. Looks like we lucked out so far, especially sunday and monday.

Low of 69 with 1.31” of rain. I’ll finally have to mow again soon. Heading out on the river this morning. Happy Friday.

Cue the meltdowns by the usual suspects...