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2015 had several.

That's the RGEM

It just caved

Forky is saying a lot of sleet for NYC. Is is a likely scenario?

Early 2010's? Edit: Maybe 2013 or 2014?

Hi res was way NE

3K NAM spilts the forcing and NYC does very poor

Don't recall the last storm with heavy snow temps in the teens and wind chills around zero..

Hard to say where influences come from. Some could be inherent within one's self. For example,my affinity for bluegrass could have come from the Beverly Hillbillies or Andy Griffith. Check out the weather maps from the 1964 Rudolph the Red Nosed Reindeer. Isobars, pressure systems, almost subliminal. By 10 years old, I had my own Weather board.

Reggie went SW at 6z, Herpes is what you looked at which is erratic and unusable usually, but every blind squirrel

I don't see it happening, but I'd take 1-2" at this point

We seem to be trending towards a more traditional FRZ event. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

And having Reggie match it and H to the 3rd continue moving NE means it’s likely on the right path

We’re kind of on the edge of guidance getting us with the main event. Need another 50 miles

Yeah, it's pretty much always the case.

I didn’t mean this area. I meant farther SW in terms of sleet . I’ve gotten burned here so many times over the years . I used to always toss the NAM warm tongue.. and it was always right . By extension that pushes the snows much farther north east with this

Still looking good for Jan 5-12 give or take a couple of days. PNA and NAO ridges building out west towards end of all three dynamic model ensembles. They won’t pick up on discrete threats to track at this time. Smaller and moderate events often don’t show up until within 5 days. And Merry Christmas to all!

Still nice to have this even though it’s a mix mess… Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 213 AM EST Thu Dec 25 2025 PAZ004>006-011-012-018-019-026>028-035-036-045-049-050-056-057-059- 063>066-252100- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0012.251226T1200Z-251227T1200Z/ Warren-McKean-Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre- Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin- Southern Clinton-Union-Snyder-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Lock Haven, Mifflintown, Emporium, Warren, Chambersburg, Renovo, Selinsgrove, Bradford, Mount Union, Newport, Lewistown, Lebanon, Carlisle, State College, Lancaster, Harrisburg, Philipsburg, Lewisburg, Gettysburg, Huntingdon, Coudersport, Hershey, York, and McConnellsburg 213 AM EST Thu Dec 25 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to two inches and ice accumulations up to one quarter of an inch possible. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From Friday morning through Saturday morning. * IMPACTS...Hazardous travel conditions are likely. Plan on slippery road conditions. Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes.

This probably won't be figured out until tomorrow at this point. Merry Christmas everyone!

White Christmas here. It's been a few years. Merry Christmas all !

Merry Christmas everyone!

Consider me intrigued lol

You're so far from any level being even remotely close to freezing