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Just for fun, it’s March whatever ha, but this was about to be a massive nor’easter, and cold/frozen by the looks of it

Reminder: phase 7 has averaged even colder than 8 in March following Niña winters: March Niña by phase (whether inside or outside COD): 1: +1.0 (near Niña Mar climo) 2: -0.1 3: +1.8 4: +0.3 5: +2.1 (2nd warmest) 6: +2.6 (warmest) 7: -1.7 (coldest) 8: -0.7 (2nd coldest) AVG: +0.7

27° with light snow. Granted I live on a quiet dead end street but it's well salted and it's fully covered.

It's started flurrying here.

52 foot drift lol.

BDR even undermeasured back then!!!! Imagine the model runs of that storm today-this place would self destruct!

What is wouldn't pay for a radar loop of that storm lol. I think BDR reported 18 while HVN reported 45.

I'm not home but it looks like temps are around 25 and cloudy in my area.

I live close enough to you that im giving you the side eye on this one

Happy to report the bridge was wide open with traffic moving freely when I went over at 8:45am.

Solid overcast here now. 28F.

Nice here too. Although clouds coming in now.

roads won't be icy in March with temps around 30 middle of the day-not sure why all the closings today for wet roads lol

Light Sleet/snow in Sloatsburg. 30 degrees. Roads mostly wet. Salt trucks out

31.6 and nothing really glazed... I have been below freezing for 36 hours or so.

It’s a nice morning up here.

It's March ... go wonder.

1. I agree that neither Eric nor anyone can possibly know at this very early stage how strong El Niño will be. It’s not that predictable and some models like the Euro have had a warm bias even all the way through summer progs. It could very well end up strong or even super-strong, but it could also end up weaker just because we and models don’t know.2. I feel like RONI would be a more telling index to predict than ONI. RONI has recently been ~0.4C cooler. Eric may not be explicitly taking that into account. When all is said and done, there’s <100% chance (although not much less as of now) we’ll actually have El Niño per RONI. It would be hilarious if we don’t considering this thread’s name has El Niño in it. 3. There have been some strong to super ones that were cool to cold in most of the E US lower Mid-Atlantic southward: 2009-10, 1965-6, and 1957-8. And 1911-2 was cold everywhere despite peaking at +1.4. So, even if it’s strong, don’t expect a mild winter like 2015-6 in the SE and possibly not mild also in the Mid-Atlantic. And then consider that even up at Boston that although they’ve yet on record to have a cold strong+ Nino, it could end up NN as per 1896-7, 1902-3, 1925-6, 1930-1, 1940-1, 1957-8, 1965-6, and 2009-10. That’s almost half of the 18 strong+ Ninos back to 1877-8. And 1972-3 and 1991-2 were only slightly AN vs their respective climo in Boston. A torch covering the entire E US has occurred only once, 2015-6, as 2023-4 was NN in much of the SE.

I didn't see anything frozen fall, but there's a light coating of crud on my car's windshield.

Better that than your 298 lbs

Epic down east stretch

What’s funny is the ice storm was actually my favorite system of the year. Best sledding and it stuck around forever. If we had received anywhere close to forecast QPF we would’ve had 3” of sleet and I’d probably brought the winter to a solid B range. That was one where we prayed QPF would be underdone but when ZR didn’t materialize we actually missed out on a great opportunity for a sleet storm which I personally really enjoy. As is, neither WSW verified here and we got 3 advisory level events, yay

This strong front keeps showing up on the euro Ai and euro to a degree. It’s also on the EPS. Around day 8-9. We saw the euro have that fantasy event. It was also loading up at the very end of the run. It’s a +PNA pattern, but not much blocking showing up so probably would have to time waves perfectly

It’ll go down faster than Spinks vs Tyson

Sleet falling here