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  2. OSUmetstud
    The reduction from traditional nino to relative nino seems different on various sources. The August forecast from the ecmwf had about a 0.8 reduction between the 2. The current noaa weekly sst data is reducing the relative nino by about 0.9 compared to traditional (1.8 v. 2.7). BOM has 2.3 v. 2.8 and the cyclonicwx site has 2.2 v. 2.6. I dont think this means much to the weather or the climate generally but could make a difference when it comes to records and such. Its probably something to do with sst data set differences and perhaps some differences on how it adjusts for the 50 year variance.
  3. Chris78
    You saw a great game
  4. CoastalWx
    A lot of areas had that. Stop pretending you live in the Sierra.
  5. BrianW
    EF-1 Tornado confirmed at Atlantic Beach in southern Nassau County https://partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov/products/cache/233-2026/PNSOKX/52b87e5ab5cd55d80b5e63eef66603d0
  6. TriPol
    More flash flood warnings and severe thunderstorm warnings. Won't have to water the lawn for a while.
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  8. IrishRob17
    I've heard people recently talking about how it's finally not humid around here...wrong! It's less humid than it was but still dews above 60 with a few hours exception here and there is some places. Looking forward to legit consistent dews below 60...someday...
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  11. ineedsnow
    Its a start
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  14. Hurricane Agnes
    Looks like I finished up with 0.89" from that fast-moving line. August rain total now at 7.36". Currently a misty 65 with dp 64,
  15. gravitylover
    I drove up Whiteface on Friday and it was 70° up top with barely a breeze. Amazing...
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  17. Hurricane Agnes
    T-storm coming through. Getting >2"/hr downpour and lots of lightning. Have 0.63" in the bucket at post time. Temp/dp 65.
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  20. vortex95
    So 850 is not good enough, have to use 700 for 0 C? Weak! We don't live at 10,000 ft and sfc temps Monday will be at or a bit above avg in the NEUS. This is what happens when you post to just to post for engagement and drive the algorithms for one's site (fluff). What's next, 0 C at 18,000 ft (500 mb)? That would be something as it is almost *always* 0 C or below at this level, but prey on the ignorance of the public for clicks/likes! At least 0 C at 850 has some sfc implications, as you can get S/IP at the sfc!
  21. vortex95
    As usual, the GFS overdevelops the Cabo Verde wave coming up. ECMWF looks a lot more reasonable. The real question is can it stay intact through the strong wind shear barrier that exists on the N edge of the MDR. These waves start out ok well E, but once they gain a little latitude farther W, quite hostile conditions.
  22. vortex95
    Yes, big +CGs N side of the Beltway a few hours ago! House shakers!
  23. vortex95
    The video headline is misleading. Tornadoes are not "rare" in NY or DE. They occur every year.
  24. CAPE
    A deluge just woke me up.
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  26. GaWx
    Regarding the MDR mandarin: The 0Z UKMET has TCG 30 hours earlier than the 12Z and is back to having a TS. At 168, it is just E of the Leewards moving rapidly WNW: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 11.9N 29.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 26.08.2026 84 12.1N 30.6W 1009 28 0000UTC 27.08.2026 96 12.4N 34.7W 1007 32 1200UTC 27.08.2026 108 12.7N 38.6W 1004 35 0000UTC 28.08.2026 120 13.4N 42.8W 1005 38 1200UTC 28.08.2026 132 14.2N 47.1W 1004 43 0000UTC 29.08.2026 144 15.1N 51.8W 1006 39 1200UTC 29.08.2026 156 16.1N 56.4W 1007 41 0000UTC 30.08.2026 168 17.2N 60.9W 1008 36
  27. Ji
    I was interested till I saw the price lol. And fisher is a warminsta to boost
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