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I've been twice already this week for Christmas eve/day and still forgot stuff

I still like a general 4-8 for most. Snow will probably come in fast and quick and then taper to ZR. The further north you are the closer you'll get to 7-8" and local spots further north will exceed that obviously

No there's a blizzard coming. Going to be trapped for a week apparently lol

definitely don't want to end up in a subsidence area near one of the bands....

Nothing more depressing than 32 and pouring cold rain.

Final Call Central Park 5-8” LGA 3-6” JFK 3-6” HPN 6-9” EWR 5-8” MMU 3-6” SWF 6-10” ISP 6-8”

Don’t get too hung up on that….just enjoy the storm. You’re/we are in pretty decent spots imo for this one. It should be fun.

yeah there's a lot of convective energy there definitely

At the risk of getting yelled at....

GFS a bit beefier and NE....I see a 'screw zone' showing up somewhere in SWCT, they always seems to find my area hopefully we can somehow miss it this time. Good luck to all

Couple sleet pellets in Centreville

We’ll see. But keep in mind that: -Jan 22 had +NAO/+AO -This was the PNA forecast as of 4 years ago today through 1/9/22: it was for still -PNA as of 1/9/22. It turned out that 1/9/22 was the first +PNA day of a 38 straight day +PNA. So, GEFS 4 years ago was blind to its start even as late as today: - Today’s GEFS PNA forecast is eerily similarly maintaining a -PNA: hmmmm Also, keep in mind that GEFS (and all of the major ensembles) have had a strong -PNA bias over the last 90 days:

Posting this was worse than posting Kuchera. .

Ya, I think we do ok here. Let’s get this party started.

On the plus side, you’re only missing minor events in this steroidal La Niña. Once TN valley systems and coastals return, you’re gonna be sitting pretty…and Frederick, too.

No but everyone was posting it.

I think the fact that wintry precipitation has broken out across the Shenandoah Valley and into MD is a positive. I think this system has a more NW to SE precipitation movement vs just looking due West. I was concerned we wouldn't see any thing wintry and would be on the Southern edge of anything.

For my area in CJ

Never too much merry Rob and good neighbors are the gold amidst the red and green. As the ‘before’ photo of my postage stamps delusional 36 inch snow gauge shows ….. my inner city, UHI blessed, ocean hugging location is ready. If I’m still here, I’ll post the after photo tomorrow. As always …..

West of I-91 definitely the sweet spot for CT

They banned kuchera ? Lol

LOL, but historically many times it is

Caving to what?

Eh it’s all going to melt in 2 days anyways, even if everything goes right we aren’t getting more than what 4-6? Oh well, on to the next threat. Actual snow that sticks around for a month >>>>>> instant gratification from models like the NAM with a known NW bias printing 8 inches of digital snow.

I wanted to use Kutchera but therebis a ban. IMO 10 to 1 is useless cause it counts sleet as snow so the snow depth is rhe next best.