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End of next week also looks intriguing at h5 but as it looks now on the ens mean we would need a piece of NS energy to dig further south to get us a little storm.

We got pieces in place on the ens run. Why sweat the run to run details on the op runs at this range- its literally going to charge every run. Just know way to know how the NS vorticity will interact- but we have some digging energy taking the southern route to work with.

This has been the reality for the past decade. Bluewave constantly points this out. It's the same kind of storm track too. The only ones that really benefit are anyone around the lakes and C/NNE. Maybe the pattern will flip again one day but we need to see a complete change in the forcing out in the Pacific.

Thanks for the heads up. I see that on Google Maps. great

Yeah, which means we're due for T-shirt weather this Christmas...but hey, if we can pull off more seasonal Christmas weather two years in a row then that starts a streak...(reference to the movie Major League)

Rt2 is closed from gardner to westminster traffic was actually crappy getting off the highway. Not sure what happened

Close to a inch at home. 8 total. Nice storm for us

Anyone wondering about the specific tag in this post and may have missed it, I think many of you will enjoy the fine work here:

Added another half inch or so overnight. 7.0” total

Eck cut those damn trees down at GYX doppler. TIA

13 to 1 damn nice fluffer

Decent model agreement of a low amplitude shortwave moving across the southern Mid-Atlantic Friday as high pressure retreats offshore. Uncertainties arise in how far north the precipitation will make it. Almost all ensemble and deterministic guidance has enough cold air in place to favor all snow in our FA should moisture make it this far north. There are a few outliers that have rain across the far S of the FA. FWIW, snow and ice has trended up slightly over the past couple of runs. While amounts are forecast to generally be light (an inch or two, perhaps three should a higher end solution verify), the northward shift is notable. Looking at clusters featuring the greatest variance (EOF) regarding amplitude does suggest additional northward expansion is possible. Just something to keep in mind.

6z GFS very similar to 0z for the Friday system. The Monday system is still there at 6z but not as significant as 0z. Still a good snow up this way for many.

0z GEFS just for the Monday system

Decent bit more. .

Models looking good for Friday... I really like that that Sunday/Monday system by the GFS but im not getting to excited since its the only one showing it like that.

Nothing like a hard freeze after getting .74” of rain at 36 degrees. At 26 right now. .

6z Rgem came north and brings 1" up to DCA & BWI. Nothing yet for me (wipe that smile off your face!)

Looks like we got a bit more last night i wasn't expecting that

that was a jk of a storm sigh

Well maybe I will have to eat a shoe with this storm....at least for southern zones. Nice bump north on WB 6Z 12K NAM compared to 0Z. Trend or blip TBD.

Nice solid coating at the end Wintry day here in the tropical interior

Ugh lures too....watch out for those treble hooks

the sooner the better, i'm over cold/snow after like 12/25-1/1.. If it's not a MECS or better blizzard i'm checked out