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I think this is broadly right but I think after dark it won’t be quite that bad…but yes on the general winners and losers gist

Retired, getting ready to retire for 2nd time and work part time for roughly $141 hr.

regardless of what happens in the next couple of days, this is one of the most spectacular model shifts for the better I have seen at this range in a long time. let's reel this one in

Exactly. .

Yeah I see what your saying. Nams are both pretty solid, uptick in qpf on both

With the last storm the GFS and CMC did the best for our area. The Euro was always a bit dry.

Or it could just be a double barrel low

ARW a big hit for what it's worth these days

Wrap around looks like lousy light stuff. Not feeling it, but some light additional possible.

Been there for many runs now. Cave to what exactly? Every model and ensemble is more similar to GFS now except Euro OP. .

They had off all week? Truly is emaatt!

Maybe, I haven’t kept up with what’s happening. I just know they’re eager to shut off some products.

He’s on vacation this week. I’ll have to talk to his Dad Tblizz.

best use of this gif in history of the interwebs

Okay that’s enough yall. The back and forth with GH is stupid. Ignore and move along

We don’t sadly

Vacation week

FWIW Nam has today’s system move east faster than 6z hopefully that helps with the separation

Epicosity #2 enroute (just for you Scooter buckle the F up

Summary: 2/20 06z Total QPF NAM: RGEM: ICON: UKMET (60H) GFS AI AIGFS: GFS EURO AI AIFS: GEFS (24 H) Mean Total QPF:

Temps in this scenario are all driven by rates/coastal. If we miss the main coastal, wherever the IVT sets up is going to be big winners and losers. Under it? 31/32 and pounding, edge of it? 34/35 and snizzle. It wouldn’t be a broad accumulation.

I kind of disagree Steve....while boundary layer is slightly above freezing I suspect any sort of precip rates will keep most of what falls especially N and W of I95 as snow.

Looks better to me on the H5@18

Amen brother!!!

6Z SV AI-Weathernext 10:1 mean (see below) as well as the 0Z and 18Z have been consistent on going with ~5” for DC: perhaps that would imply ~4” Kuchera, which seems to be a reasonable possibility at this stage (significant event if it verifies)