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Still looking pretty boring weather wise for the foreseeable future. Do storm systems around here exist anymore? lol
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The latest MJO forecast is a mix with GEFS not looking as good but the Euro still looking good: 11/14 GEFS further right with it hung up in middle of 6 rather than 6/7 border: But Euro is still all systems go to 7/8: 11/14 Euro ~same as yesterday with progression into 7: 11/13 extended Euro (they run a day later) continues to look very nice with it again getting to the often cold in the E US phase 8 mid-Dec (can’t ask for better for then):
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The beginning of November through the end of March is totally insufferable on X. The usual suspects are always looking for subscription money, clout, likes, follows, views and retweets from the east coast weenies. Every L on the weather maps gets hyped into the Blizzard of 1996 and every cold outbreak gets hyped into turning the east coast into an arctic tundra like The Day After Tomorrow. Year after year, you can set your watch to it. It’s sad
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With the lack of significant cold in our forecast for the rest of the month, it will be interesting too see if NYC-LGA has to wait until December for their first freeze. ...New York City... Central Park, NY Ptcldy Ptcldy Rain Ptcldy Ptcldy Ptcldy Ptcldy /50 36/52 50/56 38/47 36/48 35/49 35/49 /00 00/20 90/50 00/00 00/20 20/10 10/10 EPS Nov 17-24 forecast Nov 24 to Dec 1 forecast
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As soon as the wind picked up, the temp responded with it. 90 minutes ago my car was encased in frost and now it's 43 degrees. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It's funny, I refer to myself (proudly) as the "Anti-HR guy" in HR because I spent nearly 25 years working in warehousing both here and at my previous job. I think that's allowed me to keep a good pulse/relationship with the people here that truly matter...the ones that get shit done. So many people in HR are clueless about what's really important to the blue collar folks because they never lived in that world. I did. My career changed after I was here, married, raising my family and THEN I decided to go back to school while doing all of that. My HR career only dates back to 2015. I think I strike the perfect balance of holding the line but also being a voice for the people. I honestly love what I do. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Everything warrants a "PREPARE NOW" headline....it's truly nauseating. I've been reading that crap every week from November through March and have been averaging like half of my average seasonal snowfall each year. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wow! -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Between 7am and 8am my temp went from 32 to 42. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Quite a few of our valley locations saw temperatures well below freezing this morning including Warwick Township (22.7) with a low more than 10 degrees colder than here in East Nantmeal (33.3). We moderate a bit today and especially over the weekend with temperatures reaching well into the 50's. Rain chances increase by tomorrow afternoon with a cold frontal passage, and we turn much chillier again by Sunday night. Temperatures next week look to remain below normal with highs in the 40's and low in the upper 20's for most spots. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 36. Haven’t mowed in ages, thinking I’m going to sneak in a final one tomorrow. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Quite a few of our valley locations saw temperatures well below freezing this morning including Warwick Township (22.7) with a low more than 10 degrees colder than here in East Nantmeal (33.3). We moderate a bit today and especially over the weekend with temperatures reaching well into the 50's. Rain chances increase by tomorrow afternoon with a cold frontal passage, and we turn much chillier again by Sunday night. Temperatures next week look to remain below normal with highs in the 40's and low in the upper 20's for most spots. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I just feel like these youtube mets do the public a disservice because the focus is more on click maximization than it is the dissemination of the highest quality of information. This garbage is also like opioids for weather weenies. -
I'd definitely take a decent event. I'm assuming thats a 2-4/3-6 kind of deal... but we haven't had many decent December snowfall down here recently
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A chilly 24.3 for the low
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think at the end of the day, December is a New England month more than anything else, but hopefully I'm wrong. Mid Atlantic could get a decent event mid-month or so. -
30.7 low here, least the winds finally backed off this morning.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Snow at Alex’s replaced by palm trees. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
EPS is shovels in Denver and shorts in SNE. Let’s do it. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
forkyfork replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
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29 here this AM solid freeze
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There is a difference from too dry for much snow back then vs too warm for much snow now. The current 7 year snowfall average is 14.9”in NYC with a winter average temperature of 37.4° and 11.29” precipitation. The 7 year period ending 1932 in NYC featured 16.2” of snow with a winter average temperature of 34.7” and 9.66” of precipitation. So this current run is a function of warming winters and storm tracks vs a cyclical dry pattern back then. NYC was able to follow that low snowfall period with a nice rebound in snowfall the following seasons. But we are much warmer now so it’s less likely we see a 50”+ season and 3 consecutive winters averaging under 32.0°. Plus it’s unlikely we see a Fenruary as cold as 1934 in the coming years. Snowfall 1932-1933 27.0 0 1933-1934 52.0 0 1934-1935 33.8 0 1935-1936 33.2 0 Average winter temperature 1932-1933 37.8 0 1933-1934 29.1 0 1934-1935 31.1 0 1935-1936 28.3 0 Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Feb Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1934 19.9 0 2 1885 22.6 0 3 2015 23.9 0 4 1895 24.3 0 5 1905 24.8 0 6 1904 25.1 0 7 1875 25.2 1 8 1914 25.4 0 9 1979 25.5 0 10 1936 25.7 0 Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY - Month of Feb Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1934 -15 0 2 1943 -8 0 3 1918 -6 0 - 1899 -6 0 4 1896 -5 0 5 1895 -4 0 - 1886 -4 0
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
25 frosty degrees this morning. I hope the rest of the leaves on a few Maple trees come down this morning. There is about 20% of the leave on yet. Then leave season is done.
