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Weeks 3-4 look good for heat too. They also use a less wishy-washy scheme without the near normal buffer zone, so it has a true 60-70 percent chance of above normal in the northern half of Pennsylvania and 55-60 percent in the south.

LOL!!!You as usual are not following forky....my backyard data has zero to do with the data in this discussion....

Thank God I pay for the most expensive station that has fan aspiration to correct for solar errors of surrounding stations!!

A newer climate model that was first run back in 2013 is doing a pretty good job so far. It forecast the increase in summer ridging near the Pacific Northwest into the Rockies and another area to the east of New England. This has been the main summer pattern since 2018. It gives us these over the top warm ups. It has been a reliably warmer than normal summer pattern for us. As the only slightly cooler summer here was in 2023. Every other summer finished up warmer than average. But the increased onshore flow with a ridge east of New England holds down the big increase in 100° days that some of the older climate models were indicating. We need a strong 500mb positive height anomaly closer to the Great Lakes like from 2010 to 2013 to get a high number of 100° days from around NYC to the east. The Euro summer forecast is very similar to the general pattern since 2018. Similar to summer pattern since 2018 Resembling new climate model forecast made in 2013

it seems like this whole thread is based on faulty data. sad

the coldest one. hmm

i mean a photo of the station and its surroundings

right on schedule. lol

It's near 80 here even without the sun. Weird thing going on in my trees a large swarm of sea gulls are hovering over them and even sitting on them picking at something. I think they're eating the fruit-- it's a mulberry tree.

anybody have an invite to the phillywx discord or know if it's still active?

https://www.davisinstruments.com/products/wireless-vantage-pro2-with-24-hour-fan-aspirated-radiation-shield-and-weatherlink-console?srsltid=AfmBOoqreXwwKT3tJn1oDiyLA18c4VSrMbFST9-Ksrm0c6r59Kk6tbem

A Vantage Pro 2 (VP2) weather station with a fan-aspirated radiation shield significantly improves temperature accuracy by minimizing the impact of solar radiation and other radiated heat sources on the temperature sensor. The fan draws air through the sensor chamber, reducing temperature errors and providing more reliable readings, especially in areas with low air flow. Accuracy improvement: This method improves accuracy by up to 1.5°C (2.7°F) in areas with low airflow, according to Instrument Ch Here's a more detailed explanation: How it works: The fan-aspirated radiation shield uses a fan to continuously draw air through the sensor chamber, preventing the temperature sensor from being heated by direct sunlight or reflected heat. Accuracy improvement: This method improves accuracy by up to 1.5°C (2.7°F) in areas with low airflow, according to Instrument Choice. Power source: The fan can be solar-powered or run on batteries, depending on the specific model. Benefits: Using a fan-aspirated shield ensures more reliable temperature measurements, especially in sunny locations or areas with limited natural ventilation.

i don't do maybes plz show us the station

Dewpoints are pretty high, between 65 and 70 degrees.

maybe that is when the fan aspirated fan kicks in....improves reliability with the VP2 Pro Model

Another one - more man made climate changes at Allentown Airport - again chill the past and warm the present!! Very conistent man made climate changes across the area!!

What a bunch of lightweights! Seasons first dews 75-80F with temps near 90F, pure tropical airmass with cobalt blue skies overhead here. Vertical vis limited by Saharan Dust Layer. Think it's going to be a Cape Verde type season. Prediction is for an active Monsoon with limited shear.

Low to mid 90s is typical in the hotter parts of the country in July and August. But dews are usually in the 40s and 50s and there is almost always a decent breeze blowing. Southern Europe goes into its dry season in summer, so I would see rain like twice in all of July and August while there.

the timing is too consistent to be a coincidence

First 70 dews of season. Yes!!’ Go go go !!!

the drop happens slightly before noon and you posted temps from after it

and what about those days it does not happen???

I think maybe he meant the color scheme? That's what I gathered from his post.

nope - see above that is the actual station data

can you show us a photo of your station and its surroundings? looks like some kind of siting issue