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It's gonna be close but I think it misses us just to the south. We'll see.
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I got a quick 0.25" from that very brief but extremely heavy downpour. Looks like central and southern Middlesex County is getting a lot from this round.
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can confirm, we're really getting it. this isnt even the main line yet, right?
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That cell coming out of Mercer might clip us
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Just had a CTG strike in NE Middlesex County NJ
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Glad to know I wasn't going crazy when I opened RS today. I wonder why they made this change.
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I saw that on radar. Looks like SI really getting it. Radarscope added way too many roads on it now, especially when zooming in. Do not like that at all, way too hard to see, but I also don't like removing all the roads either because they are good location indicators.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
SouthernNJ replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Dangerous storm over Richwood, Pitman, Glassboro. Damaging winds and a circulation are both present. -
No severe warnings for the batch in Central NJ YET
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Rotation tightened up a bit with the latest scan. -
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Getting a heavy downpour now, but I can see that the worst of this round is gonna miss me just to the south.
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1.5 inches now in the last 45 minutes
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Keeping in mind that the UKMET was one of the earliest, to consistently predict Dolly with runs doing that going back as far as 7 days fwiw: The 12Z UKMET has a low form in the subtropics well off the SE coast that later either his or is about to hit the SE US for the 3rd run in a row. Yesterday’s 12Z’s low was weak and it was about to hit NE FL at the end (Sept 2nd). Today’s 0Z had a TS about to come into the S portion of the FL E coast on Sept. 3rd. Today’s 12Z UKMET has TCG at hour 108 that initially moves W but then strengthens into a TS that turns NW to hit Charleston on Sept. 3rd: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 29.8N 74.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 01.09.2026 108 29.8N 74.4W 1013 26 1200UTC 01.09.2026 120 29.8N 74.8W 1011 30 0000UTC 02.09.2026 132 29.5N 75.8W 1009 36 1200UTC 02.09.2026 144 30.3N 77.3W 1008 37 0000UTC 03.09.2026 156 31.4N 78.5W 1004 39 1200UTC 03.09.2026 168 33.1N 80.0W 1001 39
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He will now post a day 15 map showing heat....
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
soadforecasterx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Feel like that storm should be tornado warned. -
too early for that it's 7:10 tn
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Sorry you're not getting your desired torch late summer pattern. No more 90s in central park until next may/june is a given at this point. Too rainy and niño like.
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Another severe thunderstorm watch has been issued just now for my area. I don't remember so many in the month of August!
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0630_radar.gif They call off the Mets game yet ? Difficult to call off since its the Brewers last game here this year
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The day before it's always hard to predict what areas will get the heaviest storms. But with multiple rounds today, most areas should do well.
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For what it's worth, the 12z CMC shows the remnants reorganizing in the Florida straits and then riding up the east coast of Florida as a formidable tropical storm. If the remnants can stay together, I don't think it's out of question that it can reform closer to the conus. We've seen open waves reorganize plenty of times.
