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  2. Was in on a huddle with their WCM during the storms. The justification for the mass tor warnings was based on the reports of 95 MPH gusts upstream, equaling EF-1 speeds.
  3. Sitting on the porch it's pretty damn comfortable out
  4. Ironically a multi year drought whose effects were enhanced by poor land management …. also remains, ‘Responsibility Ours’. As always …..
  5. We need this! I'm guessing a small rain wrapped tornado? https://www.fox61.com/article/news/nation-world/wind-flips-car-over-ohio-freeway/507-bdd319f9-20bb-4f8e-8238-ed65ddee0ba4
  6. And finally returned around 10:30 this morning. Out 18.5 hours. Had some rain early this morning, more around 11 am then more with thunder started around 1:30 pm and still sprinkling. To the west they've had a MUCH more active day.
  7. It looks like the streak of -SOI days has ended 11 Aug 2026 1016.05 1013.30 6.86 -21.05 -22.10 10 Aug 2026 1014.90 1012.95 2.00 -22.57 -22.32 I've noticed over the years that when an ENSO variable wanes, other parts of its correlation pick up (more +PNA pattern for the next 13 days).. weird.
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  10. Thanks. The 1871 event from the reports was likely similar to Iniki in intensity. The thing that made the 1871 event stand out was its angle of approach. Iwa and Iniki both were picked up by a strong trough to the W and accelerated N to the islands. The 1871 event was just moving within the tropical easterlies. In the cntrl Pacific, the way the mean pattern/flow is in the summer and fall makes conditions rather hostile (wind shear) within about 500 mi E of the islands. So any EPAC system that is intense and tracks W right towards HI weakens significantly to below HU strength by the time it gets to the area. So whatever pattern was in place over the cntrl Pacific in Aug 1871 must have been highly anomalous for such a strong HU to make landfall from the E.
  11. Pretty much what they said, right? He'll do well and then have a blow-up game. I'll take it with the starters we have on IL.
  12. getting crushed at the house with hail and wind. First hail of the year
  13. Confirmed tornado SW of Champaign IL.
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  15. I had a storm "break containment" and move into my neighborhood. Yes, I know I'm using winter cliches in August, but it was exciting.
  16. I'm glad you got great LTG. Location, location, location for LTG! And talk about localized. One person gets several very close CGs and ear-splitting thunder, and they are like. "WOW, what storm!" And another a few miles away just gets some mdt booms. Such can change a perception of a storm so easily! The #1 thing I look for always is lots of LTG at my location, esp, close strikes and the really odd acoustics you can get sometimes. Several years ago here, for the first time I had ever witnessed, I actually heard the ZZZTTT!!! when a strike hit about 200 ft away, It was not the typical electric click/pops, more a "frying" noise, probably from arcing from streamers.
  17. curl mode activated right as it hit that outflow, very nice
  18. Yeah, this Fall/Winter will be interesting to see if NPH trough develops. It hasn't really happened since 15-16. +SOI correlation was a match the last 2 Summers as well.
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  20. Today
  21. Iniki was pretty bad for those folks. Still talking about it when I visited a few years ago edit: not questioning what was written above of course
  22. Two observations: 1.) If there was more DCAPE, the wind reports from Berkley Springs, WV to just north of Annapolis would've been more impressive. Entirely possible that some 70-80 mph gusts would've even been capture on the Maryland mesonet. The Thurmont, Lisbon, and Clarksville sites were hit smack center by that northern cell. 2.) The lightning yesterday was impressive in my neck of the woods. Several positive lightning strikes that were quite brilliant to witness.
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