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Hell way it keeps ticking we might score double in the Valley while the coast gets skunked again with mixed Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

Euro had sleet reaching close to Fredericksburg. The HP was weaker. Something to keep an eye on. Mixing seems likely though southside and into HR

So Lucy has arrived. Ugh.

Ok, dusted off the EPS prob. Maps. 12, 6 and 3 inches from WB 18Z EPS

This is a rare storm as far as thermals go. We have legit arctic air in place for this one. I want it as amped as it can get.

I get your concern, but as is, we're good and I think this is where we want it, no more amplification

nuked++++++++++

While I agree, this seems like one of those Arctic air masses that can show more suppression later on. We’ll know more soon but this is one of those setups where it could trend south.

Well boys I started up the hill to the top of the cliff. Going to wait there for a bit. Holler if things get better if not I’ll jump Friday. It hurts when u hit the bottom

The temps on the Euro could be cause for concern. The gradient between northern Delaware at 16 degrees and the Beaches 60 miles away at 35 is interesting.

If trends are continuing to move it north…that means the High is not as strong as first though.

2-4” tomorrow night 2-4’ Sunday- Tuesday

We are of course focused on snow but there is a crippling ice storm coming for the South - from the Carolinas to Dallas. Parents in Texas already in a winter storm watch.

Thats worse. When the heavy snow gets to DC that always means the rain line moves further NW in VA, Sunday will end up 65 here, lol

What a nasty ice storm setup stretching from TX to the Carolinas. Some of those maps, if they verified would be crippling. Give me plain rain or cold/dry over ZR any day

Latest WPC from this afternoon 80% contour through DC for at least a moderate storm. On the WPC site, DC is in the 60% contours for a major event.

Bottom line is that it's 1 run. If this continues through tomorrow then we know we have problems.

December 1989 was the last time I recall such widespread brutal cold across the whole conus. We hit -18 at the peak of that coldwave. When it broke, winter was over.

Single digits as of 7:30pm. Down to 9 in Tamaqua proper. If I don't make a run at zero tonight, down the the valley at my work garage will. It was 6 down there an hour and a half ago.

So much can still change when you're four days out, but there are warning signs that this may not be an all snow event. Not saying anything people don't already know, but something to keep in mind, especially if you are south of CHO to an EZF line and certainly if you are on southside Hampton Roads, those areas are typically the most vulnerable to mixing during these events.

2003 was traumatic for me (in Boston). We planned a PD weekend getaway to Montreal area and I tracked the huge mid-atlantic storm for a week sad I was going to miss the 6-12" fringe targeting SNE. It was only Friday when it became apparent what was going to happen. You know the rest. We sat in Quebec under -20 temps while Boston broke the '78 snowfall record.

Does the significant ice make in the the low country? Looks like some cold rain mixed with some brief freezing rain in Charleston/MB

Bourbon is broken out only for victory. Tonight we open the vodka

I can’t believe no one flagged 12z ensemble member 38. Where has the love gone

I’m ultra cautious 5 days out but trend is pointing possible big un’