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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Lucy Pull replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
With the way forcing has been setup I’m feeling a warmer version of December 1997 than 2015. All bets off if we pop an eastern ridge and it connects with the Canadian ridge. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No one wants cold now anyway -
p typical spready for klot
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think it's too early to mean much for us, even if it does result in a colder period. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think I have made it clear that I am skeptical of how impactful this strat warming will be and am more interested in what it may portend later in the season. -
Was outside with the dog around 8:00 or so last night and was surprised how mild it still was.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's almost as if the climate is warming or something... -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, this a great example of why I keep pointing out that secondary convective node around 130-150W......it fosters some variability. Does it preclude a mild season overall? No. -
It’s also hard for my hood to get to below 32 before 11/1. Might be similar to ORH although I think I hit it once. Since 2020. I did get to 23 on 10/31/20 with 5” OTG lol.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nothing is difficult in weather if things line up. I know we didnt have an El Nino the last 2 winters but people were talking in absolutes in October and the winter was different than what many thought. Bam Wx thinks the pattern will be colder as we progress into mid to late November due to the PV taking a beating. Its going to be interesting to see what happens with the PV. -
October 2026 General Discussion
Torchageddon replied to SchaumburgStormer's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The NWS does ranges for forecast temps!? 64-76 wtf -
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You need the Pacific to back off in order for that to happen which is difficult with such an historic east based El Niño. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Weeklies were cold last year and were correct. Not all the time, but more often than not. I specifically recall your posts in that regard. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Weeklies should be taken with a grain of salt passed week 2 but it does show what a weak PV would do. -
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I don't recall memories of this day (but I do remember 5/29/95 and 7/15/95) but being made aware of this some years later, pretty impressive storm which formed along a backdoor front.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If you are going warm for December than why are you giving the week 3+ weeklies any credence? -
Yellow Medicine County, MN - Climate Fact or Climate Fiction?
Brewbeer replied to Cobalt's topic in Climate Change
why do you believe the methodology they have employed is incorrect? is it because it results in a narrative and call for action that you oppose for unspecified reasons? can you provide some reasonable explanation even if you only have 33% of the data? that's an incredible amount of data, surely there MUST be SOMETHING systemic in the methodology you can point to that is scientifically invalid? your continued evasiveness on this issues is boring - Today
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Interesting test case here of the physics vs AI guidance.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That didn't take long -
This morning
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October 2026 OBS
WinstonSalemArlington replied to WinstonSalemArlington's topic in Southeastern States
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anotherman started following Winter 2026-2027 Digital Snow Thread
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we've had way too much halloween snow lately, 60 is
