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he’s stuck on february.

Holy smacks!!! But something this extreme brings truth to the phrase, what goes up must come down, or rubber band effect. Effect. If we get these really high temperatures around this time, I can see us getting a cold shot with possibly a big storm to follow. Time will tell

I thought we were talking about the winter not February.

Can we ban any Kalshi/knucklehead gambling discussion from the obs threads please?

My coworkers street was finally plowed by noon Wednesday. Close to 2 full days post storm. In this day that takes a remarkable storm to accomplish. this storm is #2 to 1978 for me only because i was in Foxboro for the epicenter of 40-50”

Not even a T here lol. Still top 5 event for Feb tho.

Out to 15 after a late start. Here we go

12z ai gfs/ggem with temps near 60 3/5-3/6 ish. Love to see it!!

Enjoy the probable torch late next week because the back door cold fronts are coming

This definitely has merit, thinking back in the late 90's and early 2000's stuff at day 3-5 was treated like we look at stuff day 7-10 now. We didn't even try to look at a specific storm threat past day 5, most of the models didn't even run past 144 hours and it was a complete waste of time. Usually by 72 hours we have pretty good idea what the major features will be, but now we also expect meso scale things to be right and that was never a thing in the past. And in marginal setups where a 1-2 degree difference is huge, expecting models to nail that is crazy. But some people do now. So maybe it's also a case of expectations increasing faster than the actual improvements which gives the perception things are worse. I do think there is some truth the the decreased consistency of bias errors but it's likely not as bad as I am perceiving it.

40 and damp for weeks. I hate March in every pattern lol

More than 1.1 inches of snow in February is not unrealistic.

Glad we don’t live there. If you have the right pattern…the cold comes. We had a good set up this year.

Not out yet on Pivotal.

Will the euro squash our hopes? .

It got old.

I am ready to call it a winter. I'll grade it a B. It was winter, temps wise. I don't believe we torched once after Thanksgiving and I'll consider next week's blow torching the announcement of Spring. Had some pretty significant cold. Temps get an A. Precip gets a C. Being in the valley, I believe we have fallen short of everybody around, mostly due to a very, very dry December and early January. Really, really want a strong severe thunderstorm season and none of this "40 and rain" until June nonsense.

decent early season lake enhanced event and suspect still at or above average imby but winter not technically over and we're gonna finish lower unless we get a big dog which looks increasingly unlikely

Nah. There's just a lot of unrealistic expectations on this board for where people live. lol

I am not sure when or why they decided to change the methodology but it really skews the rankings. I was surprised the 1/5-6/25 storm did not make the rankings considering it was a more impactful and wide reaching storm in the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic than both early 2022 storms which snuck in as a Category-1. Or if those December 2022 storms could make it, why not 1/7/24 which brought a swath of 12"+ to the interior Northeast? Or 3/13/23? Anyway, the late January storm absolutely should make the rankings considering all of DC-BOS received over 6" of snow, and of course impacts spread well beyond that. My guess for that would be upper Category-3 or low end Category-4. For this blizzard, my guess is Category-3 in Boxing Day range.

They live among us. Thats all I have to say. Congrats on the blockbuster storm to all who received. I measured 28 to 30 here in north scituate MA. There was a spotter report of 32. The compaction was real with this one. I bet we lost 3 or 4 inches of depth within 10 to 15 hours. If you were taking measurements regularly I can easily see how you would get higher totals than what was on the ground the following day. Thats how measuring works. Compaction is not some new phenomenon. That youtube video was a joke...in more ways than one.

It’ll accumulate if you have the rates…you know that.

AIFS setting up spring fever followed by the bottom dropping out as the Canadian cold sink empties in mid March.

Yeah. Some solutions a couple days ago pushed more energy eastward with this wave so it had more support but now it seems like a lot just barely eject anything. Oh well.

I actually suspect that by that time of the year youve got to get some wild fluctuations to get the moisture and cold air for big snow. Like a steadily cold pattern just isnt going to do it in January. You need some big waves that come with pretty warm air ahead of the storm and then pulling down unseasonably cold air behind it. Maybe not so much now - its probably still early enough that just a kind of unseasonably cold pattern would work.