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Lets give it a couple of hours to see what happens but I agree surprised parts of Warren County NJ and Stroudsburg, PA area are mixed at the moment.

NAM might have had something. If NYC gets lower than say 3 inches, we might be able say the NAM was onto something and stuck to its guns.

Boxing day along the Gold Coast

Light snow has reached Larchmont in southern Westchester County.

Yes, a lot of guidance has the initial banding missing them, that band is on a b-line for western CT in the next 30 minutes

Came in like a wall, moderate Snow White plains

I'm tracking the progress of the snow since my family was able to take off on time out of ORD, scheduled for a 527pm landing at HPN. Should be a fun landing for them. Anyway, interesting to follow the terminal dopplers over the past hour since the 0.5 deg scan on both OKX and DIX was too high to account for the very dry low levels. The fact that 25-30 dBZ at 4.5-5kft AGL on the NWS dopplers wasn't quite enough to punch through for a time shows how potent that low level dry wedge was, which lines up with 25/1 ob at HPN at around 4pm/21z. Sent from my SM-S936U using Tapatalk

That’s pretty early I think, those places were supposed to thump for a few hours and then have mainly sleet or freezing rain for the rest of the night, but I didn’t think they would have sleet so early

Snow has started here.

Per mPING mixed precip or sleet over EPA from about Stroudsburg south to about Landsdale area in PA. Even mixed precip over parts of Warren County NJ.

well, it looks terrible upstream of NYC in terms of banding.

23/0 here with lowering clouds, have to overcome the dry air before it comes down, I think we're going to wind up with two bands, one major and a secondary NE of the main one, who's in between is sucking exhaust imho... we'll see how it pans out, point and click has me at 9 now and ALY right there too, up from 5 yesterday.. go time!

Yeah definitely let us know how that band performs there.

ugh! I hope that is not what this will be....hopefully as intensity picks up you go back to sleet...

Business picked up quickly once it starts, ground quick covered here, 21/11.

Congrats man. You and your peeps deserve this one.

Light snow here

Currently have some light freezing rain. 29.2F

Just east of BGM on I88.

hasn't started yet

Might need those ice storm warnings over here… .

Agree with you about NWS. They used to be so good. I always have their forecasts more weight. These point and clicks are for the birds.

Pure freezing rain now 25F

Gfs

We've been cheated on this one.