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Another major heat dome will get dislodged by a powerful low. Rinse and repeat from last weekend.

Carol and Edna each dumped a lot of rain, but they were about a month apart. The next year Connie/Diane combined for 12-22" in 8-9 days over much of SNE. Of course, the 1954 hurricanes had far more wind.

Maybe by Oct

Flood Advisory National Weather Service Morristown TN 939 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026 TNC059-063-073-171-179-111645- /O.NEW.KMRX.FA.Y.0073.260711T1339Z-260711T1645Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Greene TN-Hamblen TN-Hawkins TN-Unicoi TN-Washington TN- 939 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026 ...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...Central Greene County in east Tennessee... East Central Hamblen County in east Tennessee... South Central Hawkins County in east Tennessee... Southwestern Unicoi County in east Tennessee... Southwestern Washington County in east Tennessee... * WHEN...Until 1245 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 939 AM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Minor flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Greeneville, Tusculum, Mosheim, Bulls Gap, Camp Creek, Chucky, Davy Crockett Birthplace, Limestone, Romeo and Rocky Fork. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood deaths occur in vehicles. In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route. Flooding is occurring or is imminent. It is important to know where you are relative to streams, rivers, or creeks which can become killers in heavy rains. Campers and hikers should avoid streams or creeks. && LAT...LON 3625 8315 3634 8300 3627 8271 3623 8260 3613 8247 3604 8244 3601 8246 3598 8251 3597 8254 3595 8256 3597 8261 3599 8260 3600 8261 3603 8259 3605 8262 3607 8263 3602 8273 3613 8288 3619 8313 $$

Some areas of Greene & Cocke Co this morning have received tremendous amounts of rain, frequent lightning as well. My weather station is reporting 1.3" at my location but I also think it's not collecting right cause weather stations within a mile have almost a .75 inch deviation

Darkness falls upon parts of my south again. Looks like southern Hudson county goi g get a nice line of thunderstorms.

Let’s keep fixing problems by treating the symptoms and not the cause https://www.newscientist.com/article/2533348-seeding-clouds-with-seawater-could-prevent-a-super-el-nino/

Would love a week of rain.

Fine looking summer week upcoming. Of course the nuts will want rain instead.

I was working night shift in a warehouse in Savage, MD in Feb ‘83. The snow began while we were working. Before leaving, I asked the boss “if it snows all day, are we working tonight?” He told me emphatically that we didn’t close for snow. Having grown up in Western Md. where we rarely closed for snow, I took him at his word. That evening, I swept 2’ of snow off my driveway (didn’t own a shovel) and dutifully drove to work. Only to find the place deserted and 4’ drifts against the door.

I can't get excited because I have zero interest in anything that causes damage.

I can't get excited about severe threats because they never materialize in my local vicinity.

If you want to kayak, I would recommend trap pond or killens pond, both state parks. Killens also has a small water park that is actually very nice with a just redone pool. Admission is like $12

The ferry is a great experience! And cape May is a fun little town, almost like a mirror to Lewes. Lots of beautiful Victorian beach houses and hotels, and I think there is a trolley tour of them. A small boardwalk with a few restaurants too. It's been years, but we had lunch at a Stewart's (like the root beer) that was inside a old bank. We are in the vault!

SPC has highlighted a lot of us in a rare Day 7 Outlook. Mentioned that the severe threat may last for days beyond that. Winter can't come soon enough.

Low of 67 with .02” of rain. Onward.

The drought 3 years ago blows away anything I’ve seen. Ponds and what not look decent here. A little low but nothing atypical.

1.68" yesterday. Most of that fell in an hour yesterday evening.

Locked in on summer classic

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/ ... Friday/Day 7 and Beyond -- Upper Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic ... Strong northwest flow will be established between the previously described western US ridge and eastern Canadian trough. Rich boundary layer moisture is expected to be present to the south of a residual cold front that will be draped somewhere from the Great Lakes southeast into the Mid-Atlantic/Southern New England. Strong diurnal heating each afternoon will support scattered thunderstorm development capable of producing damaging outflows. Severe probabilities were introduced for Day 7 with this outlook given increasing confidence in thunderstorms developing within surface troughing east of the Appalachians. The exact location of these highlights will likely be refined with subsequent outlooks. Additionally, the overall large-scale pattern seems conducive for one or more shortwave troughs to move through the broader northwesterly flow across this region. Given the (seasonably) strongly unstable and sheared environment, one or more southeastward moving MCSs may be possible during the Day 7 - Day 10 period. Ensemble guidance varies significantly as to the timing and location of these potential short-wave troughs, but the overall pattern would suggest additional severe weather potential at the end of the forecast period and in the days that follow. ..Marsh.. 07/11/2026

The rare Day 7 SPC outlook for our area!

That could tell us something about the reality of the urgency/risk to actual people. First, there's the "facade" of crisis, then ... we have to pay to find out how it will harm us? Riiiight - What ...? so let's venture a scenario. Suppose the Canary Islands over there SSE of the Azores go on ahead a bifurcate in a geological event that sldes the western slope of the trillion trillion trillion ton volcanic shield's mass into the Atlantic depths ... sending enough wave energy to surge up a 1,000 foot high tsunamis into the eastern seaboard of America. Media-sphere holds back, unless we spend 2.99 on a paywall site to find out what's going on. Another 4 bucks for the premium service of finding out how one can save their ass or die. That's right ... 4 bucks or you die! It's tacky at best. I mean that's obviously a fictional/exaggerated depiction there but it takes elaboration of circumstance to brightly identify the point. If it is really harmful, the ethical thing to do is tone down the rhetoric and up the expediency of useful/vital information -

Lawns are going to be toast by next wknd. Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

June is a convenient cutoff considering May 2025 was 8.05”. But I get it, I want more rain too. PVD Historical Averages and monthly totals May 25 3.38” 8.05” +4.67” Jun 25 3.25” 1.15” -2.10” Jul 25 3.18” 5.08” +1.90” Aug 25 3.64” 2.76” -0.88” Sep 25 3.60” 6.24” +2.64” Oct 25 3.47” 4.80” +1.33” Nov 25 3.88” 2.56” -1.32” Dec 25 4.09 2.37” -1.72” Jan 26 3.82” 3.08” -0.74” Feb 26 3.32” 2.84” -0.48” Mar 26 4.16” 5.57” +1.41” Apr 26 3.86” 1.89” -1.97” May 26 3.38” 2.01” -1.37” Jun 26 3.25” 2.38” -0.87” Plus did they underreport liquid equiv in the big snowstorms this year? Spring has been dry, but where is the longterm 13” deficit?

I remember that! I was only 6 lol. Crazy rates. Best rates I've ever seen were Jan 25, 2000, February 2010, and by far the most insane was last January in the town of Pulaski and Lacona NY. 6-8" per hour is just different. It's like twilight zone. You can literally watch it accumulating like a time lapse video.