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18z Euro AI looks slamming

You are going to need one if you live in the Mid Atlantic or the Southeast. Virginia, DMV Region, the Carolinas, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee, Kentucky and possibly Louisiana and Missouri. Texas is safely well west of The Plume and this is an extreme example of an east-based El Nino. Austin will get normal precip thru May 2027. That is to say, occasional drizzles and light rains and cold as shyte come Feb maybe a light icing. But the Southeast and Mid Atlantic - Do NOT be living near creeks and rivers. They will flood, some will be floods the likes of which no one can remember. Get an ark or build an ark. You're gonna need it! This is an historic Nino. It will bring torrential rains, over and over and over and over and over and over again. Soils will hypersaturate then the runoff will flood exuberantly, sweeping away people, cars, trucks, construction equipment, fences, houses big buildings and entire communities. Some places will remain underwater for weeks. This El Nino means BUSINESS.

thankfully elections are still run by states, an the people are as angry as I've ever seen them, it's even worse than 2008 paid 4.37/gal this afternoon. Iran doesn't need an actual nuke, they have figured out they already have one and they are using it: the ability to control the price of oil by shutting down the flow of petroleum from Saudi Arabia down to 58/52

Same here in Methane and SO NH...

February has by far been the worst if you narrow it down to since 2018. For some reason there has been incredible -PNA tendency in Feb and March for the last 9 years. Not to mention 13 straight +NAO Feb's, with 10/13 being >1.00! Take the indexes out and I agree December has been the GW month

I wish lol. You have to wonder why these models are so bad

0.04"

Every couple of weeks will post the latest WB CFSV2 30 day monthly anomaly maps.

TAO/Triton trying to pop +11c in the subsurface. Maybe in the next few days... To the best of my knowledge, we've never had a +11c subsurface reading before. That's nearly +20F, and it's still progressing warmer.

Andrews isn't what he once was, nor is Kelce. I like Hibner and hopefully he gets more playing time. Getting Zay back asap will make a huge difference, but the OL will continue to be problematic with pass protection. Hopefully Lamar can avoid big hits by moving in the pocket, buying time, and making some big plays downfield- or taking off and running. He needs to do more of that when nothing is open downfield.

We don't know what conversations have been happening NOT in public, though More calling out happens privately than publicly. Most managers will defend their players to a degree. For example, I don't think I've heard the Toronto manager calling out Vladdy publicly for having a bad year. Alby was asked about that specific play and it was so dumb he had to say something. It's a little different from an ongoing issue at the plate.

There won’t be an election… But be fun to have a cane to track!

WB latest weeklies for October....seasonable temps and still dry.

0.37”, which is fine

Look at what KC did in the offseason. Upgraded their RBs, OL, and let expensive players go and drafted replacements. It amazes me how they can pick up really good players and somehow stay under the cap. At this point I would think Lamar and Andrews would have the same chemistry as Maholmes and Kelce. Its not 100% but Kelce is usually good for 3-4yds with bonus YAC much of the time. I hoped we would use Andrews in the same way.

Area of rain weakening as it has moved east, as modeled. Still getting some paltry leftovers. Another 0.15" for a total of 0.30" for this "event"

a strong gulf hurricane would be real bad news for petroleum prices just before the November 3rd rejection

This likely is not for NYC

go ahead and start the "Octorcher" thread so we can keep the laughs going

Depends.. some spots by ponds and swampy areas have a ton of color.. other areas are spotty.. but pretty close to last year here I think

It's weak sauce by Albernaz. Calling out a fringe player when your season is over doesn't mean much. Call out Gunner for selfish at bats would be a better sign he's growing a pair.

Ensembles are really furnacing that Sept 29-first week of Octorcher . For those that have trouble following why we call it Octorcher.. that means above normal .. not 90’s