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That would be very beneficial for these parts. I hope it's right.

Funny the dead zone on the euro around Harrisonburg is the max zone on this

We’ll get better forcing this evening but this may just end up being a good beneficial rain event.

I just went outside and it felt like a midsummer steam bath! Then I saw that dewpoints are way up in the high 70s, something very rare this late into fall. That with the 86 temp gives a heat index way up at 99-100 on Oct 10th! The shift from E to SE winds allowed this: CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS SAVANNAH ARPT PTSUNNY 87 77 72 S17G28 29.95F HX 99 HUNTER AFB MOSUNNY 86 79 79 SE17 29.92F HX 99 Wind gusts have picked back up with the increasing sunshine and winds at 5K feet being 30 knots (cumulus clouds are hauling) from the S along with strong SW winds at H5+ thus setting up a potential for severe thunderstorms later this afternoon/eve. The severe risk is only “slight”, but I don’t even recall that here anytime recently:

Dang that's pretty impressive so far.

Wow. EPS AIFS

Premature accumulation?

50 with rain and winds sustained at 34 gusting to 57 here. The first flakes of the season are showing up along the border around the 18th on the 12z GFS. Sent from my SM-S948U using Tapatalk

no accumulation here but upslope areas could get a bit

2 likely tornadoes otg NW of Savannah per radar. TOR threat ramping up with discrete supercells now developing

Finally slacking off here. Almost 3.4. Glad the power has stayed on through the wind we had earlier

Definitely pleasant temperatures and also rain to listen to that’s for sure also some gusts of wind here and there .

12z Euro has flakes next weekend

Heck yeah. Yall needed this.

Yikes! Under the yellow (probably @TSSN+too!) @psuhoffman into the tan!!! Hope it's typical Euro overdone.

You should burn those regardless.

It never fails. Past peak but peak traffic.

It’s up to 63° in here

Maybe a trace here. Radar shows rain but nothing falling. Lol

Should I keep my speedos out just in case ?

Highest winds were well NW of the center due to the strong SE shear

strange 850mb chart for the transition/landfall last night