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Saturday has been a crazy flip! Here the GFS went from a projected high around freezing here on the 6z run Sunday to a high of near 60 on today’s 6z!!!

Yes...3pm this Saturday.

At least it’s not 56 and dews like it will be on the 24th and 25th.

Coming from the dude buried balls deep in snow in the worst climate area in the lower 48

Dec is the last remaining month where DCA has never hit 80F. We need to think big here folks.

Pretty much all the metrics are screaming at me "warm January and February". I mean, we got a deep -IOD. The last 2 times we had that, January and February literally torched. 89-90 is once in a lifetime, though. We had the coldest December, than turned into spring in January, and winter never really returned. PHL temperatures (Dec 1989-Mar 1990): Dec 89: 25.5 Jan 90: 40.3 Feb 90: 41.2 Mar 90: 46.1 A 15-degree increase in between December and January is absurd. That's something you see in between spring months (and sometimes, you don't even get a monthly swing that big). The Decembers in 95, 00, 05, and 10 all ended up in the 31-34.5 range (and this December may end up not even being that cold), so the turnaround won't be as dramatic.

When I saw the “SA = …,” followed by that mess, it reminded me of what some of my former geometry students thought about surface area formulas

No southern stream is a killer. Mostly little events and most with poor tracks like tomorrow.

Went down to 12! Now 20

SON is -.85

It was obvious when they were showing live shots last night. Raleigh proper and points SE have been in a rip off zone relative to RDU/ north for a good while so good for them. This sort of reminds me on a lesser scale of the Christmas night 2010ish storm (albeit completely different synoptic situation) where Raleigh proper scored big versus RDU/Bull City. .

Last winter was similiar to this. Still early yet in the winter. Cold and dry.

Man it’s hard for me to imagine -40. That must’ve been wild.

Yep I can see a possibility the Sun event can work out if we get the timing right with this S/W and some amplification. But it’ll be one of those deals where we probably have to wait until 72 hours out and all the features are well sampled given the very fast pattern. It could end up being suppressed again or amp more. Would be very nice to at least get on the board for measurable snow given all this cold.

If youre on board…madonne…gas up the snowblowers

Seems to be back up and working again. Reported 8° at 745

This is sick

Hopefully, we can at least put a few inches on the ground while we still have the cold this weekend.

9.9F Bone chilling .

good if it happens-cold and dry is worthless

Yeah, the overnight models were not good for Christmas week. They seem to indicate next week's moderation will last more than a few days. Still a lot of super cold air in Canada just waiting to dump south.

Correction, -16 in the Main Stream valley I grew up in I drove through, where I saw -40 as a kid in 2009 before driving to school the day Maine set their record low at Big Black

Reported 3.5" of powdery snow this morning. Looks like 2-5" around the area. No reports yet from the Grand Marais area. They may have gotten a bit more. Next one starts later today

Cold and dry-just like last winter. Boring but impressive cold-11 here for the low with bare ground on 12/9