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Feb 1983 and March 1993 would disagree w/ you. I say we make a Miller "W" -- those storms that give the max S+ to w/in 5 mi of Weymouth only! Miller As can really tease the Mid-Atlantic weenies, esp. once you get S of DC proper. How many times does it show 20"+ for RIC, and it ends up 3-4" of IP? We don't have that high 1000-500 thk/very cold 850 issue "DA MIX" really in the NEUS.

There are variations of rainfall totals but looks like a good soaking this weekend. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

In the next week, given Rachel and Nolo will be around for some time, we should make it to #2 for most ACE in an E/CPAC season.

1983 was weak La Nina, so it shows the range here. El Nino is not required for a strongly suppressed Atlantic season. Given there are at least a dozen other oceanic/atmospheric oscillations going on globally at any one time, their phases and how they interact obviously are a factor. ENSO just is the most famous and the most influential globally it seems 1983 had one MH that hit HOU directly. One thing though that is consistent w/ suppressed seasons, the TCs, even the strong ones, are often quite small.

Tomorrow will be unseasonably warm days to mark the start of October. Highs will reach the upper 70s and lower 80s across the region. It will turn somewhat cooler during the weekend and a strong cold front will likely move across the region Sunday or Sunday night. In its wake, New York City will see the temperature dip below 50° for the first time this season Tuesday morning. Wednesday morning will be the coldest morning so far this season with the temperature tumbling into the middle 40s in New York City and 30s in some distant outlying suburbs. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.1°C for the week centered around September 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.40°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.83°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -19.02 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.121 today.

Not sure what's going on here in Buda, TX but this rain on the extreme back edge just keeps trying to backbuild. Light to moderate rain has started back up. Hmmmmm.....

You’ll love this then, one of the best fan rants Ive ever heard from a sox fan. Guy has real talent! Haha https://x.com/billsimmons/status/2105817661364125713?s=10

84 for the high today.

A bit OT, but the Maritime school I work for will likely be providing the required training for workers on offshore SMR platforms. Deploying Small Modular Reactors on floating barges allows operating companies to bypass land-use zoning restrictions and nuclear bans put in place by some states, but their position on off-shore floating platforms means all workers and vessel operations must comply with USCG requirements, and we provide training to meet those requirements.

Yea I have the solar and the heat pump too. It will still take a bite out of your energy bank lol

Over 3 inches now storm total. Around 11 inches over the past 4 weeks.

78 today

2016, 2021, 2022 and 2025 were hot summers.

Many el ninos in this list but the only hot summer years were 1991 and 1993 and 2010 and 2011. 1991 was exceptionally hot even with an el nino.

Thats why having solar panels is nice. I have an electric heater, so its free

In a funk since my Sox didn’t show up in the playoffs. An embarrassing effort. Felt like June todsy.

You guys need to forget the forecasts and remember some rules about fall and by extension winter weather in the northeast. It won't be completely sunny unless a cold front comes through. If it's going to be mild or even warm it will most likely be cloudy. 80 is low hanging fruit for early October it can be 80 right now with cloudy skies. That said a few peaks of sunshine are definitely possible even when it's warm just dont expect wall to wall sunshine. But our usual fall pattern is mild or warm and cloudy/rainy and sunny and cool to cold. We'll have sunny and cool weather Saturday and again next week. But remember that mild or warm and cloudy/rainy and sunny and cool/cold pattern because that will repeat itself ad infinitum from now through the winter. Dont expect wall to wall sunshine until a cold front passes through.

Offshore SMRs on barges to power data centers. Waste heat rejection. We so smart.

Today;s Highs: Great day TEB: 83 PHL: 83 BLM: 82 ACY: 82 EWR: 81 New Brnswck: 80 TTN: 79 LGA: 78 NYC: 76 ISP: 74 JFK: 73

I’ll probably jump in tomorrow when it’s in the low 70s and call it a season

I'd say it's picking up on all the Hot Air coming out of DC from certain individuals.

If you remember that storm you know how much more historic it was, large parts of NYC and coastal new jersey were underwater I'd never seen such a thing before and not again until Sandy. I'd argue it was worse than Sandy because it lasted for three days and the precipitation was much more prolonged and much heavier. I wonder how I would have done in this storm at my current location. I know it would be all snow but how much? The snowicane was all snow here. The Octoblizzard was 20 inches of a very heavy wet snow here just before Halloween.

High of 89 to start October. Yuck.