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Apparently not Virga, if so way ahead of schedule

New York City 13 Boston 20 Philadelphia 0 DC 7 Hartford 16 Albany 18

This seems promising, 19:1 ratios in the first sampling of snow (Dodge City KS had 3.4" from 0.18" l.e.) This was with temperatures within 3 deg or zero F during the snowfall event. I would expect this to reduce to 16:1 over Midwest and 13:1 over interior northeast but maybe not that rapid a modification of rates.

Table full of sleet here in Ga.!

The only reason I’d be mad at the NAMs if they are right is because I wanna actually get some daylight heavy snow, 12z is basically sunrise. Hopefully we can hold off, this air mass is legit and maybe that’ll buy us some more time!

Temporarily unpinning

Some of the mesos have a TSSN signal Sunday pm/ night from about west central CT on East .

-2 with gusts topping 30, 10 sustained is making for a frigid morning out there.

8F. Coldest of the season (obvs), and wind is still blowing a bit. I’d say we open a new thread after 12z runs today. So 2pm-ish.

Climo says we waste the rest of the cold and just have high heating bills and this storm to show for it. What are the chances of a 2010 redux? That is like a once in 100 year type thing at best.

Reports of sleet in Cleveland

Dalton, GA reporting Mixed precip at 6am. Earlier than expected I think.

You got your 20"+!

Eye candy for those who were hoping for more qpf. On an island--toss.

-30s around Watertown Some -40s in MN/WI -24 Flint -5 here

3 degrees out this way. Sacrus posted the temp map in the other thread; the extent of this airmass is incredible. I think it will factor in our favor; time will tell. Weenie away!

TBH, if that cold does push in and lock up I’d love to experience a severe thunder sleet storm. .

Best I've ever seen personally was two hours worth of 5" per hour rates during the height of the February 1983 blizzard in Bethlehem.

Mods - time for a separate obs thread for temps and radar hallucinations and then precip stuff as the storm arrives? would keep this thread clean for the NAM cliffdivers to die in peace….

6F/DP -9

Looking like the arctic high is winning right now. Maybe it goes south?

I refused to sign a TW agreement. Why would I enter into one that only benefits the employer? Snow day for me! Hopefully we get at least a delay Tuesday as well.

I know I got 17" total out of that one when I lived in Bethlehem. How much of it was sleet, I can't remember, but it was a decent amount. Nope. Anything under 20 is a bust as far as I'm concerned...

7"/hr https://x.com/i/status/2014722834476466189 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

3 degrees. Could be hopium on my part, but I tend to think the models aren’t factoring in the extent of this airmass, even at the upper levels; time will tell.