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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep, extent is doing worse than area as compared to recent years. -
The soil here has dried out again so I'll be watering the vegetable garden today for the first time in awhile. It's great that we pulled out of the severe drought, but we're still in a moderate drought and need more rain. So hopefully early to mid next week will deliver. In the meantime this low humidity weather is spectacular. The dewpoint here right now is only 51 -- feels great.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It looks like it’s staying close to 2012 to date but 2012 wasn’t at record low levels yet on this date in 2012. It fell off a cliff in August. -
D5 slight yellow highlighted risk issued for mid Atlantic Carolina’s and parts of east tn area https://vxtwitter.com/iembot_mrx/status/2080573716241473618?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg .
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Yeah, pretty much anywhere north of downtown did pretty well. DEN picked up over half an inch, about in line with what models were showing a few days out.
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62 for overnight low and windows wide open and maintaining 47-52% indoor humidity
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Utterly terrible weather for late July. Let's save this for autumn. Wish it were in the 90s.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Don’t be surprised if the models like the Euro increase the El Niño regions SST forecasts again on August 5th once the effects of this near record WWB get incorporated into the new model run. -
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
FPizz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How does area look? - Today
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
SnowGoose69 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'll believe we have a -PDO this winter when I see it. Last winter was the least -PDO in quite awhile. My hunch is neutral is the best we are getting on that scale. I do think what Steve D/Joe B are harping on has some merit that the non Nino region SSTs being so warm is going to likely interfere in some form with the El Nino behaving as a similar type El Nino may have behaved back in the 70s/80s/90s. That assumes IF those non Nino region SSTs are still that warm in Nov-Feb, but given they have been crazy warm like that for seemingly a decade now I'd assume that remains that way this winter. I have no idea what that result is, it certainly does not guarantee it'll be 09-10 or 87-88 again in BWI/DCA but it may mean the winter is markedly colder/snowier than 15-16 23-24 97-98 82-83 were. I just toss 23-24 in the garbage as it basically was a totally nonsensical strong Nino. -
If you could re-experience ONE winter event....
Brian D replied to cyclone77's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Was always fascinated by wx when I was kid. When I went into the Army, I became a wx observer. WX balloon ops, and all that comes with it. That fascination has never ended. Wx is so cool!
