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Its July 15th

So dark I may have to put a light on. Its super spooky out...makes me want to go out, carve a pumpkin and sit it on my desk

86 / 70 heating up quick smoke still mainly north of NJ

I do recall something

wasn’t there a high risk in the Plains some years back that busted badly and was attributed to wildfire smoke?

I would have to imagine we see significant improvement on tomorrow's drought update across NC and SC with the potential of both D4 areas to be removed

That is a nasty smoke plume shifting slowly south from New England. Visibilities not being affected significantly until you get into the Great Lakes area. Some reports there of 1-2 miles. At a minimum the skies will turn "dirty" looking again later today. Click to enlarge maps.

Quickly yo 86 here.

Yeah it looks like no relief. Continued and muggy.

This could be the best case scenario from a helping reduce the SE drought perspective. A not too strong TC that provides beneficial rains (hopefully not flooding obviously).

yeah and those values are absolutely nuts. Off the scale that pivotal has lol

Hey @Stormchaserchuck1, what is the calculation of your NAO index right now?

Feels like we just woke up in a bowl of urine this morn. When I woke at dawn and saw pure darkness I knew this was going to be bad.

I woke up to wet ground, so creeped into N fringe of MA.

06z HRRR has tomorrow’s near surface smoke density worse than today. That’s great. Just great.

Lies!!!

Climate change is taking the United Kingdom into an entirely new and hotter climate. Airport runways, malfunctioning sensors, and urbanization have little to do with these changes. There are no asphalt tarmacs or dense urban metropolises in the offshore waters experiencing a growing number of marine heatwaves. Fossil fuel-driven greenhouse gas-induced warming is mainly responsible for these outcomes. The State of the UK Climate 2025 report and Met Office summary documents a country undergoing rapid and increasingly visible climatic change. 2025 was the warmest recorded year in the United Kingdom, while the decade from 2016 to 2025 was substantially warmer than previous reference periods. Record warmth was not confined to a single season: the UK experienced its warmest spring and summer, with every month from March through August ranking among the ten warmest on record. Extreme heat is also rising faster than average temperatures, bringing more days above 30°C (86°F) and more unusually warm nights, especially in southern and urban areas. The changes extend well beyond air temperature. Northwest European waters experienced an unprecedented number of marine-heatwave days, while sea level around the UK continued its accelerating rise. Rainfall patterns are becoming more uneven, with wetter winters, more frequent extremely wet months and the continuing threat of severe seasonal drought. Spring 2025 was England’s driest in more than a century, demonstrating that a warmer climate can intensify both flooding and water scarcity. Record sunshine and exceptionally low river flows further illustrated how several interconnected parts of the climate system are shifting at the same time. The report’s central conclusion is that the United Kingdom is no longer experiencing climate change primarily as a sequence of isolated records. It is entering a different climate regime. Conditions once regarded as exceptional, such as record heat, tropical nights, marine heatwaves, intense winter rainfall and prolonged dry spells, are becoming increasingly characteristic of the present climate. The greatest risks emerge not simply from gradual warming, but from the rapid intensification of extremes that place growing pressure on public health, water supplies, agriculture, infrastructure, ecosystems and coastal communities. The United Kingdom is not merely witnessing a temporary period of unusual weather. It is living through the consequences of a human-altered climate, with each new record serving as another chapter in a story whose ending will depend on how rapidly emissions are reduced. How rapidly emissions are reduced remains a matter of choice, and it's a choice with relatively well-known consequences drawn from a large body of scientific research. Meanwhile, 2026 is producing more hot extremes. For the first time on record, the UK has reached 35.0°C (95°F) in May, June, and July.

If I remember correctly too, some of the research on wildfires and influences on severe weather events is also based on the source of the wildfires (i.e. what is burning). Different burn sources are going to release different particulates into the air. And I think there is a big difference between what is burnt/released from Canadian fires versus what is burned and released within the western U.S.

South wind down here at the beach already

smoke every year is the new norm eh can't remember having to deal with this prior to the last few years.

Nice blue sky here but that won’t be lasting for much longer.

Potential surface disturbance in the NE GOM is still hinted by ensembles. But realistically, any surface low would need steering currents to remain weak to gain development time and any potential vorticity to resolve away from land for something substantial to form.

I hope one of these works out for us