All Activity
- Past hour
-
Has been torrential rain here at Coppin for the past 10 minutes
-
Narrator voice - “Hell of a line coming through Chicagoland, St Thomas with occasional clouds shading my beer” Nice to see us rocking and rolling back home.
-
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I first noticed it in 2005 when -ENSO/-QBO December's were cold. Even cold-neutral ENSO fit it, as 1989 was an analog used for 2005. It seems to work in the reverse too, which is what you like to see for a solid correlation. -
Well that line escalated quickly in N IL. Curious to see if the winds intensify in this southern part of the MCS.
-
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
74/73 with .55" of rain. In a lull but another lighter cell moving in shortly. -
the reverse jinx worked.
-
currently right underneath that cell moving through the Germantown/Gaithersburg/Laytonsville area, not much T&L but big time downpour going on for the last 10-15 minutes (and counting), with more behind it this might be flash flood territory if it doesn't move out soon?
-
Summah!
-
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I mentioned it a week or so ago, but +QBO/El Nino (regardless of strength) Decembers are an extremely strong signal for warmth. Since 1980, there have been 6 +QBO/Nino Decembers and they were all warm, some were all out blowtorches -
They can have the wind. I just want a quick shot of rain to cool things down so I can grill later.
-
-
Per usual the goods are in the more northern areas. Is a good ole GV thunderstorm that much to ask for?
-
I’m shocked the forum isn’t buzzing more. That MCS is essentially a Cat 1 hurricane running thru Wisconsin right now
-
nwohweather started following Severe threat 6/10-6/12
-
Feels like it
-
Better chance for storms Thursday night or Friday night? Championship baseball game for my son and they are asking which night is better.
-
First 90 of the year for Chicago today.
-
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Well, there was a modicum of truth to it in that we had a historic blizzard, and then a few weeks later a record cold snap...issue is he sensationalized the shift and implied that it would be sustained. There was definitely a shift, though. The problem was the first half of the season we had the marine forcing competing with the +ENSO regime, so the result was a horrid pattern with ridging displaced eastward into the NE, which was different from December 1982 and 1997. December 2006 was kind of like December 2015 and I fear the coming December may be similar. I think it was Chuck that said it fits the billing for +QBO, but getting ahead of myself there...I'm won't touch the polar domain until like August. -
Those are perfect days!
-
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Superstorm replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Looks like some nasty cells moving into Lanco . -
Just went out for 15 minutes to move a few things and water my container plants and damn it's HOT!! Sunny and 90 with a dew of 73.
-
Good amount of lightning over Leesburg now, looks like more firing up there.
- 470 replies
-
- severe
- thunderstorms
-
(and 7 more)
Tagged with:
-
Junorch obs and discussion 2026
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Brrr .. Ass -
Looks like couple days next week could be downslope dandies, but otherwise 75-80. DSD days maybe 84-88. No dews. Meh.
-
-
Station just went over an inch. Started the day with .41” and now at 1.02” and still raining.
