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  2. Just the craziest thing to me. I saw a few 22 years fell thru the ice on the East River earlier this week (survived I think). Lake ice is one thing; ice with an active current, that is likely brackish the closer you get to the coast, good luck.
  3. Probably not. Gfs moved the low from international falls to cleveland in one run.
  4. Probably another rug pull from models. Before you know it will be March .
  5. 1 here now; was out at 9:30 with the dog and the winds are still intense.
  6. Only issue is it appears to be a retreating airmass, so probably not a very high bar…assuming that’s how it plays out.
  7. I see no photos or reports of the east end. This used to be a proper board.
  8. Gfs is ejecting more of the pacific wave and not absorbing it as much into the pacific NW trough. Thats a good step towards what we want
  9. Down to 4. Maybe we can slide down a couple more degrees but don’t think we make it to zero. Not that it matters with how brutal it is. Thankfully tonight will be the coldest night of the winter and it’s up from here.
  10. Currently 0/-11. Wind speeds have calmed down. Let’s see how low we can go tonight.
  11. Not really that amazing when considering that they are both bottom of the barrel models…
  12. 6 degrees in little ferry. Very curious to see what it will be at 6am
  13. I read this earlier this winter. It's old so I will probably look for a better source later before bed. https://ggweather.com/windchill.htm
  14. Looks like Tuesday onward we are above freezing every day through the weekend,
  15. I’ve never sure how it was ever figured out how -30 for example “feels” like in the old and new way. Or on the other hand how 110 feels like. I guess they have to assign a number to how dangerous extreme cold like this or heat is and how humidity and wind speed worsen it.
  16. WB AI GFS is still way north. Amazing how different from ICON at Day 7.
  17. Winds still howling. Temperature holding between -0.2 and +0.2 since around 7pm.
  18. i agree with you, i've seen a dozen or dozens of ivt's like many here. still, expectations dictate emotions and we see/read it every day.
  19. The old windchill figures always seemed overdone, but the modern figures seem underdone...
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