All Activity

Here is another example of how in the past we often had coast to coast cold. December 2025 was the 39th coldest in the Northeast and the same average temperature of 24.2° as 2017 was. But this is the first time an average Northeast December temperature in this range occurred with all-time warmth near +15° above the long term averages. Back in 2017 we did have some warmth in the Southwest but nothing as extreme as this December was. The other years with that were within about 0.6°which the Northeast was this December had the cold extending to the West Coast. So we can see the warmth expanding out of the Southwest over time and increasing in coverage and magnitude.

It looked better to me earlier this week. Now it’s just kicking the can. This storm missed, later this week looks meh. Saddle up for 7” in a 15 day span per AI.

Nice OES band.

It’s interesting that you are losing patience after just having had a storm of almost 2 feet. but I understand it. The times I really crave are the couple of days leading up to a storm, obviously the storm itself, and then the next couple of days. That’s why once I have a snow pack I don’t need a big storm as much, I’m happy with 3 to 6 inch storms on top of a snow pack because if you have 20 inches on the ground and it’s snowing hard and you’re getting 4 inches. it feels like a big storm. there is a psychology to this that I don’t fully understand

Had a few flurries in Yonkers. Sunny here in Rockland. Currently 6F. Feels like -8.

a few flurries here in manhattan.. of all the cold mornings we had of late this will be the worst one due to the wind..

24 hours later and nothing has changed. Still snowing moderately to heavy at times. Temp is 2 degrees and I've got well over a foot of snow now. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

It’s different up here. The cold is deep and the snowpack isn’t super deep, but it’s very solid and should be for a good long while. I think it’s snow piles up here from mid month on.

Just looks boring for awhile. Maybe a little refresher best weekend and perhaps something after the 10th but at this point kind of losing patience. We watch the pack melt and sublimate.

6z gfs advertises the fear; cold dry followed by warm and rain in the extended,

2.6” here. Not blanked but so so so jealous of everyone

M-in-law lives in Little Washington. Blizzard all night. Last report was 12-13" but hard to measure from blowing snow. She said it was still snowing about an hour ago and the weatherman said something about 21". She's not going out to measure. We will indeed see some 2'+ totals across the coastal counties. Unreal!!!

-8 here but I think we hit -9 one morning. Grateful that we haven’t hit the peach killing -15. Afraid though that that might happen in this next cold snap which looks pretty fearsome next week.

Few flurries here also

The models really want to tank the PNA after the 10th. I know Ray expected that….

Congrats S FL. Goodbye oranges and iguanas.

Here is Jacksonville, I woke up to the windows at the house all half covered in an inch of snow from the wind blowing it so much during the night. Guess it's added insulation.

After whatever happens next week I think we’re shutout until around mid month, 15th-end of the month should open back up opportunities. At least that’s how it’s looking currently.

Some in that Western max had over 20:1 ratios. GSO reported .4" liquid

February 6 eighth does not look exciting but could give us a nice refresher. It appears to me that the next period of interest is around the 13th of 14th. My view is that at some point the dry pattern will break and it’ll probably start to get good around mid month and given the reversal stratosphere thing that might continue through a good part of March. What’s your take?

Buddy on the NC/SC border on the water has almost a foot

There is a meteorological term for that IMO. Internal variability within a longwave pattern. Stuff like wave spacing, shortwave interactions, etc. There's research out there that describes it in that way. I do believe chaos is even mentioned sometimes lol.

This "storm" is exactly why I never look at any of the models until within 48 hours of a storm potentially impacting the area... 87 pages and counting lol