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Yesterday when the GFS was spitting out the 40" + totals for the northern neck--->SBY corridor I was thinking... wouldn't it be hilarious if it moved about 50-100 NW with those totals?

If this ends up being nothing (likely) I feel like there really will be no point in ever looking at this model again. If it shows a BECS in NAM range and then loses it 6 hours later why would I ever even consider using it.

AIGFS west

Man, it doesnt want to back down.

He's been MIA for quite some time. Maybe a on the job wood-chipper "accident" while keeping the greens nice and tidy? A true dedicated professional indeed... Ok, back to our blizzard! 38F/ Overcast

You think. It's an all time historic blizzard. It's less than one tenth of one percent.

Major climatological hedge against DC/Delmarva getting 2+ feet with a scrape for the northeast coast. I'm sure it's happened, but the extreme rarity convinces me this isn't close to the final iteration of this storm.

It's some tough competition.

Stranger things have happened LOL. GFS not backing down. It’s either going to get clowned or was on to something.

I mean I shared some pics earlier of the euro’s look and to summarize, it really isn’t unfair to say this is a delicate setup that can still boom with some minor adjustments even to the most hostile model depictions. Now the GFS goes ahead and decides to make as perfect of a set of adjustments as possible to improve its already ideal look… don’t really buy that. But something more sane that gives us a great storm? I don’t think it would be crazy.

Wish Reggie was correct with warning snows here but I’m on the side of Ray’s map…I think 2-4” with lots of crud in there is the more likely scenario. Could even be less too if something like 12k NAM is correct but seems to be an outlier on the QPF being so light.

This is the dumbest map I've ever seen. In what world would this actually verify. But god damn it's fun to look at.

It’s less than one percent.

If GFS is right which it will ; snow starts Sunday around 1PM, ends Monday around 6PM that's a blizzy!

Gfs just showing what euro ai had like 3 days ago. Gfs just running on old data haha

Hope the euro trends to this just so all the euro huggers are speechless

Yeah I’m just talking the Cape

Yea. You would as you've had your fair share of 18+ the past 10yrs. Sucks out here being close but no cigar to a biggie again…

Dc getting more snow than Frederick makes this even more believable. I’m in.

I’m still looking for any appreciable snowfall, more than 10 inches that has occurred during a weak La Niña with the MJO in phase 4. Oh and very little cold air to work with.

GFS just straight up doubling down and actually increasing amounts is wild. We are literally inside of 80hrs and right now GFS is going down with its ship.

Canadian looks nothing like the GFS (which we could've guessed based on the RGEM).

The depiction from GFS has been pretty steadfast across quite a lot of runs.

I give it a one in ten chance but i'll take those odds.