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  2. Oh I know the media is what it is and the business model. It doesn't do very good service to wx science and the like though. As mets/weenies though, we should care! Anything the atmosphere dishes out impressive no matter when or where is of significance. And we can convey that to ppl not mets or not in the know that things are not always what they seem. I have found many ppl suspect this or that about wx and can't get a straight or clear answers, and they have no idea who to ask or where to starts b/c the shear amounts of info out there and endless opinions and conjecture! Ppl like to be validated when they have practical suspicions or wonder a lot, and then hear something closer to the real deal.
  3. We know that Central Park likely maxes out at 98-99 under the forest canopy but LGA, EWR maybe even JFK if they keep westerly flow make it to 100. Ridge has also been trending east which is increasing the 850 temps.
  4. It's been dry so we probably add a couple degrees vs the heat last summer, plus we're in the same WNW flow regime that heats it up all the way to the shore and we add downslope help.
  5. It's probably overdone, but Central Park might make a run for 100 on at least one day. I think ISP, JFK, LGA, EWR will probably have one or more such days.
  6. SWE's? Only thing I can think of for a wx acronym is "snow water equivalent!" LOL.
  7. I mean, it’s the same thing when there’s a winter ridge out west and the east coast is in a deep freeze. I wonder how many people realize just how extreme the winter was in the intermountain west. And anthropogenic climate change is extremely real, no matter what the media is fixated on at any time.
  8. Actually, is "flash flood watch" a discrete product anymore? Recall a few years ago they removed a few types of products (Blizzard Watch was one) b/c it was getting to be too many product types. "Flood watch" may be the all-encompassing standard now? Given the antecedent very dry conditions and low water levels, again, I find a flood watch here a little much.
  9. How would it be possible to issue a Flash Flood Warning considering the menial amount of rainfall for the past 24 hrs??.. You are a severe disappointment compared to earlier expectations.
  10. I thought 1999 was the gold standard for bad recent droughts over the summer. Anyways that yearr keeps popping up in any kind of analysis I run Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  11. CTP has HBG’s high Thursday 103 and Friday 101. Add in what might be 65-75% humidity and that is legit health issue stuff.
  12. The top soil layer is bone dry. We can usually add a bunch of moisture to systems like this, but not right now and for a long while. Any and all moisture we can use has to brought in right now and these systems won't cut it Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  13. I hope they set the record on so called “climate change” straight at the Great American Fair with an exhibit on the REAL science of underwater volcanoes!
  14. I wish OT would come back, so many things are infuriating
  15. Same here. Periods of rain all day from late morning until about 5:30. Over now (6:00 p.m.) Will check the total in the morning but rain all day today was not on my bingo card. It was fairly obvious through by looking at the radar this morning that a wet day was incoming across NNJ.
  16. Well, this makes a point in a way. What the media (or general public) *thinks* (or believes) and what actually *is* in reality are often two different things, and wx is loaded w/ misconceptions. and egregious beliefs.
  17. The forecaster has reasoning but pattern recognition for the past 36 hours would say NO. During recent times (1-2 years), this type of over-hype is occurring more often for SWE'S.
  18. Back up to 90 with a HI of 100.
  19. Let’s go for hottest day ever recorded- I can’t think of a more ironic way to kick off this nation’s 250th anniversary.
  20. Correct, but as I mentioned in a previous post, there is a world outside of DCA-BOS. The E Coast bias the media has when it comes to wx is obvious. Yes, more ppl live here, but that shouldn't no matter in the grand scheme of things when talking about wx itself. The atmosphere has no bias as to what area it impacts or not or when.
  21. I suppose I'm confused why it isn't a flash flood warning. A flood warning to me implies that the ground is saturated and a soaking rain/training storms will push already heighted rivers over the edge. Flash floods were more so thunderstorms overwhelming the ability of runoff to keep up. Even then, the CAMs seem somewhat unimpressive (or at least the NAM & HRRR)? I don't disagree that flooding could happen, I took a good look at the mesoscale analysis page and I understand we got the precipitable water content, good moisture transport, and a stalled boundary with pressure falling but a flood watch catches me off guard. I suppose we'll have to see if anything kicks off soon, though I'm not sure what would make something occur along the boundary in say an hour vs nothing happening all day.
  22. Snow New England below 5000 ft is practically unheard of late June into July. MWN biggest snowfall in the summer is 4" on 6/30-7/1 1988. I recall PL on MWN in July 1996. I am talking about meteorological significance/anomaly, not what moves the public needle. These are 2 different things. Location on the globe is irrelevant in the large pix. The MSM often conflates/confuses meteorological significance w/ societal impact. These two are not always directly correlated. Case in point, the CoastalWx 8 hr commute "at least I got to listen to the draft" Dec 13, 2007 event. MEH 4-8" snowfall, but the timing was the worst, and in their grand infinite wisdom, officials decided to let everyone out at noon as the S+ was in full swing. Among the worst SNE gridlocks ever, but a MEH meteorological event.
  23. And...Happy Birthday to you @mappy!! I didn't realize your birthday and @stormtracker's were on consecutive days!
  24. The above popup, which didn’t last too long, still gave me ~0.3-0.4”. And now a new popup line of thunderstorms along the seabreeze is moving in with heavy rainfall potential per radar.
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