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I don't see anything on the models giving anyone in the tristate area anything more than a possible snow shower or flurry tomorrow.

Euro or bust.

if I recall the records, was the best Jan for that area inch wise in history... would have been even better if the ground hogs day storm verified as it was supposed to

SON 2025 ONI: -0.55 SON 2025 RONI: -0.85 November 2025 PDO: -1.67

A few more ticks north and much of the area will be in legit 1-2" range!

I don’t know why, but I struggled with Chem. Fortunately so did everyone else in my class of 150 at UMD so I was at least in the median.

Yup had 10” with that one in early January…that was the start of that epic run..unreal.

Thank you! Honestly, it’s just dense concepts but once you understand them they connect pretty well to being applied. Unfortunately meteorology isnt the only class im in so imma need some prayers while i take my chem test in the next hour (which all of my posts over the past 3 days have been a form of procrastination for)

EPS are a slight step back compared to 12z both in terms of total precip and chances for 1”

That was me during what turned out to be yesterday’s rain storm.

we had two that season, one dropped about 10 in Waterbury at the time but over a foot in southbury/Oxford area, the other was not as impressive but still dropped a half foot in Waterbury for mby... still the most snow depth I've ever experienced in the 2010-11 season. Had 37" on the roof at the peak, that was the roof rake season.

ccb or maybe just ocean enhanced? the big ones always end up with those stat padding streamers..ala 2005 and 2015

Im afraid thats going to happen. You can tell on the models that any closeness you can buy to that limited cold air feed matters. Our DPs and temps just don’t quite get there. For the triad northward, just barely but that’s all that matters.

I legit just took the same pic, almost surreal the super moon through those clouds. nice winter feel out there with snow cover and icy everywhere

2011 was epic here https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-8-2011 Then CT got 4-8” from another IVT the 8-9th check on the site.

Not sure it was ivt but didn't the "96 blizzard end end with one padding huge totals on the s coast? I forget, maybe that was just ccb

I do. Growing up in Richmond, VA I learned to manage snow expectations

He’s young. I’ve recently retired HS math teacher and maybe it’s time to take some met classes. I’m impressed with how much@SnowenOutThere has learned in his short time studying meteorology. Frankly, it’s inspiring.

My favorite inv trough is prob March 2013 (or 14?)..but honestly can't remember any notable ones since down this way

Looks awful compared to 00z and 6z

I swear if the piedmont scores big again before us im packing up and moving.

18z HRRR is good for I-66 to US 50 and points south.

I saw some birds heading south earlier.. a little late. They were probably expecting another warm winter

You don’t remember the Norlun in early Jan 11? 10 inches here. It was awesome.

When is this fraud 5 supposedly progged for? They’re notoriously hard to pin down…when they do rarely happen.