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its still 20-30 from Sandy Hook to Cape May...lol

Need this to verify.. would be an all-time great.

Is this all after it changes to snow?

some chunkier rain now in Towson.

My thinking is the same-been tracking all week so finally got some sleep last night lol. I'm still hopeful for a bust high. If we can get the good pivoting Snow from 5 PM to 11 PM we will see

You can see the western edge moving east on many of the models. Not as expansive of a precip field on the recent Mesos. I’m riding the razors edge here

37 Degrees. Rain 0.16

yeah, agree that's why I posted that still looks good, not sure that area was ever in the bullseye.

I mean it's legit snow just too warm for impact but it's super pretty to watch fall

Umm huh it has over 2” QPF for nyc…. Guys relax lol. 18-24” is still a good possibility

2/22 NAM 3k

My 16.8" a few weeks ago will be my biggest storm of the season....all in on that call, this storm will be more impactful with the wind though, hopefully our over under is 12", but this might be an underperformer out here, overperformer EOR

Yeah the nams are still very impactful WOR…it would just be the lower end of forecasts verifying. But I get it…it would feel like a rug pull if this verified and I’d want to break Ray’s kids’ toys too.

WB 3K BAM simulated radar 1, 3, 5

I and @Volcanic Wintermay have a chance at breaking the all-time snow record here in Toms River. Current record was 24.5" from Boxing Day 2010. 24.0" was measured from the Blizzard of 1996. NWS has us for 27" currently

40/36. Moderate to heavy rain. ACY.

3K NAM looks good for most east of 495 for areas north of the pike.. still a general 14-20".. SEMA/SWCT/RI look great.

Yeah I don’t think we’re completely out of the game by any means. All 12z hi-res guidance has at least some banding making it here. The totals end up being lower because it doesn’t stick around for as long due to a shift east in the track, plus geographic influences as I mentioned earlier.

Had to be expected. The numbers were wild. But still looks like wide spread 10-20. Can’t be too greedy lol

2/22 12z NAM

1.4-1.5” qpf is crap nowadays?

9:15am Columbia— seeing first wet flakes falling among raindrops. At a morning high of 36.5, up 0.5° in last hour.

Eh, you can see that and the SREFs both edging their way northeast and cutting down totals now.

40/36. Moderate to heavy rain. ACY.

Transition is complete in Millers, MD. Pure snow now, with driveways caving and snow accumulation beginning in grass.