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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
VivaManchVegas replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Sorry to hear that comrade. -
I don't even want that.
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The woodyard is in Sherborn. Which although is just as bad or worse I am regulated by the state as a farm.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
VivaManchVegas replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I am surprised they let you cut so much wood in the peoples republic of Southboro. Do you have people protesting you at the end of your driveway? -
Cloudy and dreary is the theme today (so far). Not seeing much clearing potential on visible sat either. But we'll see if we can get robust convection later with dewpoints being high.
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83F / 77 dew. Feels like 92, even with the cloudy skies. The sun is starting to poke out more, which is just gonna make it worse.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Torch Tiger replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
ForestHillWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Up at Schroon Lake for the week; 48 this morning. Beautiful day on tap. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Some showers are around this morning and will likely increase in coverage later in the day into this evening. We should see some sun returning tomorrow but still a chance of additional showers. Total rain amounts look to be from 0.50" to 1.00" with the higher amounts likely over Western Chester County and into Lancaster County. Tuesday and Wednesday look like great weather with sunny skies and low humidity with temperatures slightly below normal for the middle of August. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Some showers are around this morning and will likely increase in coverage later in the day into this evening. We should see some sun returning tomorrow but still a chance of additional showers. Total rain amounts look to be from 0.50" to 1.00" with the higher amounts likely over Western Chester County and into Lancaster County. Tuesday and Wednesday look like great weather with sunny skies and low humidity with temperatures slightly below normal for the middle of August. -
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Couple things to watch for is the source region as the STJ will almost be a given. If canadian temp anomalies are more than +20 (with Minneapolis +15 or Syracuse +10) it won’t be good for us. But if the temp anomalies are more moderate, we’ll still be in good shape for some opportunities.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I love a good summer storm (as long as it doesn't knock down trees lol). But in winter I couldn't care less about rain. Id rather miss an entire storm than get rain. The previous 2 winters had hardly any rain (especially in Jan/Feb). I suspect this winter sees more rain and wet snow than the last 2 combined. The last two years were almost all powder. Which i love, I just like to switch it up a bit. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I’m similar. While i enjoy snow the most, I do like a good great lakes cutter bomb with high winds. I also enjoy severe storms in the summer. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Lots of warming to go on the Cfs2 850 anomalies, but it looks like the beginning of the end come early November. -
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.49” this morning so far. Up to 5.3” for month of August. .
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Thank you for the kind words.
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Don, That first picture is stunning! Well done!
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The ominous flooding rains that were modelled for here didn't pan out, but still added up to 3.67 for August.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He's in south Texas and has been real dry lately. Different perspective from his former residence in N Virginia. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
csnavywx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'll add on a bit here and say that the Arctic is much warmer now than in these events (especially post-2007). Quality of source region air is not going to be the same. If 1877-78 and the Great Nino of 1788-93 had trouble getting it to work, I'm not sure the baseline expectation here should be much different. The sample size here for these extreme Ninos is tiny ofc, so it is unlikely we have sampled the extent of the distribution but if these events (and the 1600s Nino) are any indication, we should probably not discount how fat the right (warm) tail is here. -
All's clear for now
