All Activity

Neither has VT. NH only one is the Sep 1821 event.

MCD out...60% chance for a watch

They've got no way to stop that fire storm up there, either. this may be a smoke problem going forward ... clearly wasn't assessed in/for today - not sure how it's done tomorrow. Altho- we may end up with more a NW component which could shunt it maybe NYC ish?

I wouldn't be surprised if that areas gets more tornadoes than what's realized. Dual-pol will make this easier but I bet if we had the data there would be a secondary max (if not overall max) of severe weather instances across that part of Maine, its just it does unreported because of population density. They probably end up with an overlap of favorable ingredients more times than the remainder of the region. Far enough north to be influenced by the stronger jet dynamics/shortwaves and far enough south to tap into warmer/humid air.

For reference, the biggest hail in New England is 4" in SW ME on 6/1/1986. Here is the Storm Data entry.

Just won't stop raining now

WxWiz, I used to have a nickname for CoastalWx - EML MAN! I think I will give the name to you now!

One more band of smoke to sink southeast across the area next few hours. That should be followed by somewhat clearer skies by late afternoon / evening from NW to SE.

Odd mesoscale feature that cloud line. Something you more typically see in the Plains where anything is possible convective-wise! WPC shows no warm front anywhere but there has to be something there looking at the thickness packing alone across srn Quebec to ern ME.

10% snuck into southern Maine on 6/6/10 and western Maine 6/23/24. But this is the first 10% risk in that area and by far the most widespread in the state. Also, there hasn't been a tornado in 6 years there.

Tomorrow's fairly weak daily high record of 99 may be beatable, although smoke may knock off a couple degrees.

On the plus side, thar might be enough to hold temps down on Thursday...

WPC take on rainfall next 7 days. Most of this falls Saturday into early Sunday. Tweaks I'm sure over the next few days but potential for some locally heavier totals over parts of the sub forum.

I wonder how this would look on top of Mt Washington as it rolls thru tonight lol

No, this is the first time its happened since SPC introduced that.

Was this the storm that had a crazy narrow solid line of CGs that spanned almost all of MA WSW to ENE?

90/72 HI 98

Storms dying as they approach the border.

Soon after I said that some blue sky is trying to break through and you feel the difference with that brighter sun at times. It should still be widespread low 90s, with the Park the usual wildcard

Not 10% in ME though, right?

It’s absolutely awful outside. You can smell the smoke. None of which helps me in dealing with my Parkinson’s. Breathing has become an issue in itself, and now this! Calgon take me away! 86 and putrid in Brightwaters

I do not think so, but 10% tor as an area SPC uses did not exist prior to the mid 2010s, just like ENH and MRGL did not. I think the tor probs used to go 2, 5, 15, etc. Yet you get these hype-masters going, "first time ev-A 10% tor prob in ME!" (same for ENH). Well, yes, but you are leaving out the short history here. Omitting key details that would otherwise deflate their hype. That being said, I do not recall any svr day w/ such a high risk for supercell/tors for NW ME. In fact, I do not think there has been a F3/EF3+ tor in ME/NH/VT, at least using the SPC database that goes back to 1950. Using the Tornado Project, only F3/EF3+ for NNE is the Sep 1821 cntrl NH tor. However, given the sparse population of NNE, esp. NW ME, sig tors, along w/ many weak tors, have unquestionably been missed.

headlines aren’t for temperatures.

100 isn’t happening today. Many models are over-mixing once again, just as they did with the last heat wave prior to the 4th. However, this time it’s worse.

It's those tick bites. Clearly you have Sublyme disease. I'll see myself out....