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Rgem was a lot better at 6z as well

Yup. Sun/Mon or bust for many in SNE

Well you can probably eliminate the Ukie there is literally 0 support for that

how much you expecting there? 0-T?

Yeah the ratios probably won't be 10:1. I'd probably go with 70% of that

Actually we do better with 40/69 or 39/70..but yeah that's still a crush job, and likely hammers much of eastern NE

I'm getting 3 feet of snow? If that verifies, I'm changing the GFS's name to "Tom Brady" and then finding a new hobby.

Great sign there

Just me here waiting like a kid on Christmas hoping the EURO goes full GFS

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I have my doubts about the totals at DCA. Currently, the lowest forecast temperature is 33 degrees at 7 am Monday. If the forecast temperature goes lower, I'll reconsider.

All the good winters are usually exhausting and peppered in with busts, bad luck and wasted potential 14-15 was a great winter but exhausting and frustrating at the same down here WOR. Same with 17-18 many busts that winter and still ended up with near 60". Could have been 80-100.

Yeah this is what you want to start seeing for the potential for a big dog, a bunch of members inside the BM tucked in near ACK. It's the first run of the GEFS to really do that. Mean went way up as expected 6Z 00Z 18Z

It wasn't quite done..

Hey all can we not tell folks to go tf away for asking questions? @clskinsfan lol

Waking up to 58 with a line of storms about to cross over the border. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk

I swear if this winds up being a rain storm I'd be more angry than if it whiffed, aside from putting a dent in the drought

06z NAM has zip. 06z Ukie has rain from the city south at 66 hours. It’s like these models are all in separate worlds.

The GFS feels like that very far western ensemble member that keeps giving you hope. Except this time, it hasn't budged while the eastern envelope has shifted closer towards it. We're narrowing the goal posts: the western post staying put and the eastern post shifting west. Usually we see a 50/50 compromise, maybe 40/60. This time maybe 25/75 or 20/80. It's just been unusual this go around seeing models move towards the GFS. Again, Delaware and coastal Jersey seem to be the place to be right now

GFS is a little west of other guidance right now with pivoting that vortmax around the ULL in the OH valley area. It let’s it curl up closer to the Cape.

Actually, just woke up. I’m on day shift

Seems like the heavy rain band is like 100mi north of where it was progged? Was supposed to be right through DC and it’s in southern PA?

For the love of god please don’t be a head fake

Waiting for the Euro/anything else to jump on. What a tough forecast.

'The Waiting' (is the hardest part) by Petty is appropriate as well... 35F/Rain