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EPS went crazy!

Looks like the UKMET and the AIGFS are phasing too early over Arizona,giving this a chance to be amped up,delaying the cold press,and letting it cut. If its going to phase it needs to over around the Rio Grande like the 12z Euro.Or you miss the phase and get a storm with either shortwave. Just my opinion.

As @Scottie16said...last thing our county needs. Lately if a squirrel farts wrong, Flec seems to lose transmission lol.

Massive cold dome with trough out west and SE ridge in place. This will yield a massive overrunning storm. Yes there will be a brick wall somewhere but good chance it ends up affecting areas pretty far north. Very PDII esque on AI models

The Euro is less QPF than other models, but would still have around .7 qpf as ice down that way, capped with some snow.

I think -16F is my record low since moving to Greenfield. Challenging that is impressive.

The last thing our county needs. .

Just had a random though that this is kinda similar to the January 14th 24’ storm .

With surface temps area wide in the 20s..that lights out recipe south of 40

Sat night

Euro OP ever so slightly tried to nose the LP up the spine of the Apps vs 12z, which allowed the 850s to surge up.

This looked interesting but it was a nothing burger

Buns for one. Buns for all. Vodka cold next weekend.

Damn you’re right my bad!

We all know the Richmond jackpot always verifies.

what's the time frame here of heaviest snows?

18z only runs to 144,s orry.

Can you post the 18z snowmap for comparison?

btw the 20:1 ratios are real according to mark mcgarbage

We go deep into the ice box on the Euro with that snow cover. Some -10ish stuff showing up in Western areas.

a very light dusting here, but down to 23.4F. 25F at DCA.

Fresh arctic air on a fresh, deep snowpack will let those temps bust low.

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