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Wow. Impressive. Snow on snow event would be a dream. 1993 storm had schools closed for 2 weeks here. Kids had to in on Saturdays for the rest of the year to make up the missed days.

The 0z AIGFS looks like the NAM with heights rising in front. Cleaner more NE

Hey neighbor! Funny how out of the three years I'll have been in Columbia, lake Elkhorn has been walkable twice. Late January last year was solid enough to cross, though not as thick as it'll be this year of course.

I hear you. But the last 2 ninos did you no good. My only point was assuming a Nino fixes this seems flawed. The issue hasn’t been enso.

1966-01-25 32 28 30.0 -11.8 35 0 T T 0 1966-01-26 33 27 30.0 -11.8 35 0 1.34 7.1 2 1966-01-27 35 25 30.0 -11.9 35 0 0.24 2.3 9 1966-01-28 33 19 26.0 -15.9 39 0 0.00 0.0 8 1966-01-29 33 18 25.5 -16.5 39 0 0.96 4.6 8 The 2nd column to the right is the snow total. Thats for ORF. Here in NN we got 13 inches with thundersnow in the first one and 9 inches of snow/sleet in num 2. School was out 2 weeks.

It is creeping north. I’ll take another inch or two!

Recorded a 50 mph gust a little bit ago. Very common with a coastal bombing out to get these winds funneling down tne escarpment from the N. Same reason I have one of the lowest snow totals in the state.

Right now the snowfall is light to moderate in your area, but watching the banding the east near and north of Goldsboro. If that can make it to the RDU area, you could push 7-8", no question. That stuff is heavy over in that direction. Likely 1-2"/hr stuff. 5" in 4hrs is incredibly impressive. So glad you guys in the RDU area got in on the action after a ridiculous hole in the precip field.

Saturday, February 14, 2026 1:28PM EST Blizzard Warning in effect from 5PM EST Saturday, February 14, 2026 until 4AM EST Sunday, February 15, 2026. Cold Weather Advisory in effect from 9PM EST Saturday, February 14, 2026 until 9AM EST Sunday, February 15, 2026. Showers and thunderstorms have started popping up along the cold front along I-81 in Maryland and extending down into northwestern VA. These will get more organized and quickly move east across the region with the front cruising through. With MLCAPE approaching 500 J/kg owing to the cooling mid-levels above surface temperatures and dewpoints into the low/mid 60s and upper 40s/low 50s respectively, some hail, perhaps marginally severe, as well as strong/damaging wind gusts will accompany these storms. This is in response to a very strong and compact, cold shortwave diving out of the northwest. As we get into the late afternoon and evening hours this shortwave will be strongly interacting with the frontal boundary that will be over our eastern areas during this time. As a result, a surface low will explosively deepen over southern MD as increasingly heavy anafrontal precip blossoms over the entire region as very strong lift underneath impressive upper-level divergence overspreads the region. Rain will quickly change over to snow as precip becomes heavy and as much colder air behind the front surges in. The deepening low will not be moving much as it phases in with the shortwave allowing bands of very to extremely heavy snow to organize over the region west of the Chesapeake Bay. This will also increase the surface pressure gradient leading to strong/damaging NW winds gusting up to the 55 to 65mph range. Continued strong CAA through the evening will allow temps to drop into the upper teens in most areas, especially as the storm starts pull east later tonight, dropping windchills to near 5F below zero. All in all, with 3 to 5+ inch/hr snowfall rates and sustained winds over 40mph w/ up to 65mph wind gusts reducing visibilities to 200 feet or less at times over the course of roughly 5 to 7 hours, this will far exceed the threshold for blizzard conditions. Sensible weather-wise this will be similar in magnitude to the Presidents Day Storm of 1979 with the two noticeable differences being the most intense blizzard conditions occurring over the immediate DC metro area and the fact that it is very warm leading up to this storm. The pre-storm warmth will mean that there is the added danger of initially wet pavement and roads freezing over once temperatures drop below freezing making for dangerous travel conditions. After midnight the compact storm will pull east-southeastwards allowing snow to end from west to east. Snowfall totals will range from 18-24 inches across most of the region with localized spots getting up to 30 inches, particularly higher windward elevations north and west as well as any areas that get stuck under a heavy snow band. With the high winds associated with the storm, however, snow drifts could be as high as 12 to 15 feet in some spots.

Cold.

This is going to be the 21st Century winter storm of record for many in the Carolinas ultimately, especially with blizzard conditions occurring at the coasts.

Hopefully it makes it to the southside

I am quite old. I can remember when we got 3 or 4 strong coastal lows a winter. OF course they were usually rain but a few big snows mixed in. The double storms of Jan 1966 i will never forget. Now i look at any snow i get as the last i will ever see. As much as i wanted those 2ft models to verify i have to admit im not upset at missing out on all the snow removal, LOL

@Stormpcanother band may be setting up for you!

Yeah I’m not sure where or how they do their reports. It was spot on just about for my area .

Light snow here. Future radar shows the lake moisture snow arriving overnight. No idea if it actually will or not.

Impressive. Nothing like palm trees in heavy wind blown snow. So much for global warming lmao. That’s an impressive temp too, to say the least. 8 degrees here in CT. at the moment. What an airmass.

When I look at the NWS radar I see all of this precip coming towards us in triangle. Is this supposed to be heavy or just flurries? I have over 5” in 4 hours so I can’t imagine it being that heavy.

Just missed having a supreme couple of winter weeks with this storm just to my south .. As is the last 10 days have been epic - Looking at these huge snow/sleet piles - If you just sobered up from a week long alcoholic binge you would think a 2 foot+ blizzard slammed the area... It may not have been 96 or 2016 but combined with the temps this glacier storm ranks as a top 10 for myself...

Things are winding down here in SW Winston-Salem, only on and off light snow and flurries now. We're at about 8" of snow. A good storm!

ICON 0z positive and flat out front allows system go ots. NAM 0z not as positive and has heights rising in the Atlantic and allows system to come up north. Of course it's at the long range that isn't accurate. Wait for AI models.

It was and appears inaccurate too. Here is what WCNC is reporting in and around Charlotte.

Ok, makes sense there. Not arguing that part. The part that doesn’t add up, is the thought(and not from you) that this is some how some sort of new regime, or idea. It is not. Kind of like the whole silly idea the past few years that clippers were a thing of the past. How come no more clippers? Where are the clippers? Well, now they’re back and in abundance once again. Whatever is causing the coastals to not get up here..or amplify close enough to the coast lately(forcing,flow etc etc), for SNE Will at some point change and that will be that. And I Appreciate your insight Ray on these ideas.

Dont agree with this.This is more or less some hybrid weather pattern this winter,plus while it can happen the atmospheric river into the west is more Nino than NINA,you cant possibly say the west has been dry this winter,California is over 300% in some parts of abnormal QPFS

I agree.