All Activity

It was in the nws forecast discussion, and SPC had a good chunk of the area highlighted for marginal risk of severe thunderstorms today for the past several days and had all of pennsylvania included in the thunderstorm outlook, other than that, I never heard it mentioned either. I actually had two thunderstorms here today, about two hours apart.

Christmas period needs watching. Otherwise just a parade of fronts around the holiday.

Potential storm moving in around this time.

Chilly Thanksgiving with some lingering wx in the SE sub. LER/S in the mix.

On Veteran's Day expecting a strong front moving through. Shwrs/stms with LER/S afterward.

Yes

Pretty good rain today. Just over an inch in southborough and .64 at the woodyard.

I finally got the IRI links to work:

That’s what the ol wifey once said

I wonder if this has to do with climate change? That is, if the climate were actually changing....

Bass?

Burn baby burn

You did introduce me to my first vape ever in 06 in Baltimore. Remember that monstrosity. Lol.

Hell of a write up! Thanks for sharing!!

Peas

This was.an interesting read and brings two questions to my mind. First, what AI are you using and did you air gap it? Have you found it difficult to maintain? Second, have you found anything significant with respect to short term snowfall forecasting?

Posts this winter should be epic base on the ones posted this weekend! Looking forward to more meltdowns!

I'd take it over my current 109/59 with no rain for 40+ days

No one should be saying definitely about anything related to the weather 4+ months out.

Heavy thunderstorms brought hourly rainfall of 1.25" at Newark and 1.44" at Bridgeport. Bridgeport saw 2.36" of rain through 5 pm with 2.34" falling in a two-hour period). That broke its daily mark of 1.69" from 1970. Tomorrow through Wednesday will be mostly sunny and pleasantly cool days. Highs will generally top out in the upper 70s. Showers and thundershowers could move through the region on Thursday. Temperatures will remain in the upper 70s and lower 80s into next weekend. No excessive heat appears likely through the remainder of August. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -14.69 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.426 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 57% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

2 bees in a bucket mother mother f it

College football has gone to hell. The NCAA is such a joke. The judges that are allowing this crap are also a joke. https://x.com/PeteThamel/status/2091630166225117535