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But then you have to live in Kamchatka

WB 6Z GEFS. Best run in years.

Ya we need recon. I never seen a forecast two days out where it could be sunny or snowing 2-4” lol

That looks similar to the January 6, 2025 storm, but that storm had a -NAO.

So it’s coming?

Might have to start taking the RRFS A a little more seriously. Last night's 0z and the 6z snowfall pattern were near identical to the 0z and 6z Euro.

I’m big on hunches.

Airmass or borderline to start. Probably wet snow or RASN here to start before it gets heavier.

Sunrise this morning. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

So how cold will it actually be, we think?

Wouldn’t we see more of a Cold Air Damming affect with this system? .

Phase 8 should help

6z gfs saves scooter’s marriage and his kids still love him…

0z Eps and Geps snowfall pattern at 360hrs sure look similar to me. Never saw that before. And no detailed dissection of the snowy 6z Gfs? Lol

Well, all I issued was a threat assessment.....but it's still bad practice to have to scale back from that preliminary stuff. I really hedged on mentioning 6"+. Sometimes I play hunches.

Winter has arrived.

Pretty much the same for me except I don't know the exact dates.

Turned into more of a classic nw to se gradient, which isn't great for me....was hoping it would be more of a longitudinal deal.

Lol You’re like my boy at the blackjack table…he’s down a G but ain’t getting up.

Difficult pattern with a lot of NS chaos. Probably more error associated with initial conditions, and maybe not enough data in some cases.

6z cmc a good hit

Deepest darkest New England?

Not sure I seen models be like 150 miles apart this close before. Maybe the usual 25-50 but this is comedy

I did that storm on WWBB. That was my first winter posting. I had lurked previously…even back to ne.weather in the 2000-01 season.

best climo