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  2. Wound up with .19". Some possible rotation around Cary Crossroads. Wind was decent too. mPING reported hail reported in the area. edit: this time of day should produce some nice rainbows.
  3. We were on the edge of the storm enough that it stayed really bright, which just made it clear just how insanely windy it was. We also got a nice burst of hail.
  4. Thanks, Adam. Note how much the WPAC has cooled from Korean Pen. to E of Japan! Also, check out the impressive N Atlantic cooling! That ATL cooling along with cooling tropics (-AMO trend) may be indicative of a major pattern change for N America toward colder winters coming up.
  5. I tried to find the most defensible position in putting every summer day from 1895 to 2025 on a 2025 scale. I looked at various methods. Homogenization is not meant to answer that question and it provided less clarity the deeper I went. Future work is to try to get more a handle of what I saw there. This i feel is a strong position where I honestly put forth confidence positions. I look forward to feedback. For future work I think there's lots of potential in an area I have not seen developed at all and that is using the aerial surveys that were digitized by Penn State starting in the 1930s through the 1960s all across Pennsylvania where we could actually see the land use changes in real time in the placement for some of these long-term climate sites and the stations that they are correlated with maybe combining that with the metadata we can get a better idea of what was going on at different times and what adjustments are supported which ones are artifacts of piecewise correlations. I find this absolutely thrilling and exciting because it really has a bit explored much from the angle I'm looking at. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  6. Tomorrow will feature high temperatures in the lower to perhaps middle 80s and the Friday could see highs in the upper 80s. A few of the hot spots could approach or reach 90°. Showers or thundershowers are possible on both days. The weekend will turn somewhat cooler with highs mainly in the lower 80s. No excessive heat appears likely through mid-month. However, some of the guidance has grown hotter near mid-month so that situation will bear watching. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI is not available due to data feed issues. This could be an extended issue. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.987 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 62% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.8° (1.3° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  7. Brining me back to 2014-16 summer times. Love it
  8. Moderate +NAO 1973 2 1 0.250 1973 2 2 0.252 1973 2 3 0.237 1973 2 4 0.525 1973 2 5 0.834 1973 2 6 0.944 1973 2 7 0.807 1973 2 8 0.672 1973 2 9 0.656 1973 2 10 0.718 1973 2 11 0.924 Moderate to strong +AO 1973 2 1 1.868 1973 2 2 1.709 1973 2 3 0.930 1973 2 4 0.511 1973 2 5 1.958 1973 2 6 2.915 1973 2 7 2.326 1973 2 8 1.437 1973 2 9 1.385 1973 2 10 1.560 Neutral to weak +PNA 1973 2 1 0.304 1973 2 2 0.161 1973 2 3 0.229 1973 2 4 0.295 1973 2 5 0.179 1973 2 6 -0.004 1973 2 7 -0.097 1973 2 8 0.154 1973 2 9 0.349 1973 2 10 0.166 Moderate to strong -EPO 1973 02 01 74.97 1973 02 02 -15.68 1973 02 03 -165.84 1973 02 04 -262.56 1973 02 05 -228.20 1973 02 06 -209.60 1973 02 07 -231.67 1973 02 08 -209.49 1973 02 09 -159.81 1973 02 10 -29.44 Neutral to weak +WPO 1973 02 01 247.35 1973 02 02 202.33 1973 02 03 119.68 1973 02 04 71.22 1973 02 05 36.31 1973 02 06 9.54 1973 02 07 -8.75 1973 02 08 -19.39 1973 02 09 0.37 1973 02 10 21.42
  9. Been coming for 10yrs or so. Celebrating our 22nd anniversary Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
  10. https://x.com/bam_weather/status/2074967466472853560?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg Context bam weathers forecast for fall a active sub tropical jet stream hugging the Deep South and southwest states and polar jet stream in Canada dipping down into northern Midwest and Ohio valley also get this could be cooler according to their forecast for the south deep south .
  11. Mount Holly in my grid has one to three inches of rain tomorrow night
  12. Southern Wake getting in on the fun! Storm actually had decent rotation over Harris lake. Would’ve been photogenic @eyewall
  13. Bruh I can't watch the deep south get pummeled again, lol Wonder if 72-73 had strong blocking that produced that snowstorm down there?
  14. Hopefully i received some back at the house... In Charlottesville for work - no rain over here..
  15. I wonder if we are going to get a single good cape verde Atlantic storm this year or if it will all be Gulf and homebrew Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  16. I need to get the video from my friend. He does his roto drone up so we had a good view of rotating wall cloud. It was cool as shit Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  17. Today
  18. Last year vs this year at this time, ENSO and the PMM stealing the show….
  19. Hey Frederick County folks, we got another mesonet station online in Frederick County at the community College! https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-45
  20. 92/109 at 5:55pm. Dew at 79. Storm approaching is following the "stay south of US1/64" law.
  21. Just not too strong of a block...PLEASE!!!
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