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Ah. I think I see it now. It's showing both wind speed and wind gust. Wind Speed: 23.4+20.2+23.5+27.4+20.4+21.7+23.5 Wind Gust: 53.7+42.1+51.2+58.4+43.2+41.2+41.8 Still not getting a mean wind speed of 17.8 though. I still like the visual/display!

I am dreading this. Probably going to lose power again if the RGEM verifies.

99 problems but the atmospheric pressure ain’t one?

that's exactly what it was like in the city too - you could hear the roar between the buildings, and occasionally those gusts would mix down to the surface and just tear through scaffolding, etc.

Not sure if the RGEM has the same bias as the 3k NAM but it has one hell of a storm and it’s still raining well into Monday. Widespread 4-5” totals well into NJ and SE NY. The only good thing is that it’s weakening as it comes onshore.

That would certainly give us the damage Kev is looking for.

99mb is pretty low....

Last year Good Charlotte it poured. Blink the year before that was tropical monsoon level rains for hours hahaha the year before was rainy fri/sat. I’m used to it!

I lived on a barrier island which made whatever rain irrelevant (10 foot storm tide).

Naked swirl

ICON initialized exactly at 995mb for what it’s worth. Gets it down to 987mb

yes...remember the blink 182 issue there 2 years ago? They came on late after a lot of people left?

Wow! That explains a lot of why the forecast keeps getting worse for this beast. It hasn't even begun to deepen rapidly and its already down to 995. A lot of the forecasts from the EURO and GFS kept it just at 988 or even 987. I wonder if we get into the 970s and if we do, that's a completely different beast than what we were looking at early to mid week this week.

I think they have the Country Calling concert next week and if they get them up, they will stay for next week.

It’s happened every year. Just layer up, have another drink and vibe.

Those strong EWB'S the CFS shows into the IO is probably a sign where the MJO is at as we get further into Oct.This would cause a spike in the +IOD from MJO/ DWKW in which the IOD during boreal autumn peaks into fall sorta speaking,in a strong NINO.Only the strong NINO OF 97 We ever saw the +IOD above +1 since 1950 ,yet alone +1.39 that year into NOV

It will shift north about 50-100 miles if every global is correct, take the blend and since the “trend is your friend”, this will rival the blizzard of 1978, minus the cold. Usually, anomalously cold temps and a kiss of tropical air are not forecasted well.

ICON/RGEM both south of 6z, neither “land falling” info Long Island anymore. But RGEM was stronger than its previous run.

Sandy had been a Cat 3 hurricane at one point and had a pressure around 940mb. This is not Sandy.

We had a crazy gully washer on Wednesday. My PWS peaked out a 8.12"/hr. That is the highest rate I've ever recorded. It rained 2.18 inches in just over 20 minutes. Every detention pond in our subdivision was using the emergency spillways.

Paging @Ginx snewx

Looking pretty impressive on the latest Vis Sat image

You know ...there are certain things the NAM is good at - though they seldom if ever opportune to showcase for this forum. Namely, 'convective initiation' Another thing, I really like looking at the FOUS grid before winter storms. I know it's error and idiosyncratics. I apply those second nature on the fly and find those numerical aspects to be hugely useful for interpolating weather aspects. So it will be missed. I'm not trying to defend it's synoptic horror show ...particularly beyond 48 hours, no. But when this model goes away, there will be no FOUS gridded product from these other models to be acquainted with.

Tropical storm condtions expected. Sounds like fun.