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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Up to 1.74 inches. -
House temp got down to 66° at the lowest point so far this month. we heat off
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And yet people are clogging 93N another Columbus Day weekend to see mostly sticks.
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Yeah, this has been underwhelming so far. I have one third of an inch of rainfall, and an occasional breeze here and there. It is chilly, though. Remaining under 60 degrees. Perhaps the heavier rain will come in this evening, but that’s not what just a bare analysis of the current radar image would make you think.
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Damage in the Pensacola area looks much more significant than areas further east. Definitely structural damage in line with high-end category 2 winds.
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah that's what I was thinking as well. -
2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Moonhowl replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Had that about 20 minutes ago here in Avl, crazy to be getting chilly tropical rain. -
Eyeing tonight for some aurora potential, though clouds from Isaias' remnants may limit the visibility in most of MI
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That'll make for a crappy Columbus Day weekend for many in the Midwest and East, for sure
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Winds gusting to around 25 to 30 mph. -
2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Tropical downpours now. Coming in sideways. -
Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Great Falls MT 1056 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2026 MTZ309-312-313-321-111200- /O.CON.KTFX.WS.W.0008.261011T0000Z-261012T1200Z/ Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton-Cascade County below 5000ft- Judith Basin County and Judith Gap-Meagher County Valleys- Including the cities of Raynesford, Great Falls, Ledger, Checkerboard, Benchland, Martinsdale, Geyser, Stanford, White Sulphur Springs, Hobson, Ringling, Conrad, Moccasin, Windham, and Brady 1056 AM MDT Sat Oct 10 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy, wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 7 and 14 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Meagher County Valleys, Cascade County below 5000ft, Eastern Pondera and Eastern Teton, and Judith Basin County and Judith Gap. * WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 AM MDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Gusty winds combined with the wet and heavy nature of the snow could bring down tree branches. Isolated power outages are possible. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall amounts will vary drastically from grassy surfaces to roadways, most notably at lower elevations, with accumulations on non-grassy surfaces being confined mainly to between the evening through late morning hours.
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.08" here this day so far. I'm glad I kept my expectations low. This area really does suck for weather.
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Moderate rain, windy, and cold with the temp of 52 degrees. -
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Tyler Penland replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Been pretty calm here in Blowing Rock so far. Only about 1/3" and winds not more than 15-20 m.p.h. -
Hopefully your Texas Longhorns win today to help your spirits!
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Fantastic forecast, Ray, that was spot on other than being slightly too slow!
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Me, I badly wanted the shear from the Pacific storm to tear it apart and keep it from getting to TD status. I wanted a whole year without a hurricane, especially without one that hit land.
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I get it. Its a fine line to walk for the State. Not sure they really want to say "We think this is going to rapidly decay as it hits the mainland". Were there any mandatory evacuations? I think the "disgust" with this storm is more form those wanting chaos than those wanting the best outcome possible imho. Edit: should have used the google machine before posting. There were mandatory evacs.
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Fall 2026 Medium/Long Range Pattern Thread
KakashiHatake2000 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ya completely agree Jeff hopefully this will be a good drought busting rain despite moving around a lot which is typical with hurricane forecasts yep looks like shorts and short sleeves weather continues ugh . -
I’m glad the expected last minute weakening verified well saving from a MH landfall, but realize getting cat 1-2 H effects is of course still a big impactful event (I know first hand). Interestingly per Dr. Knabb, that same strong shear that caused the dramatic weakening just before landfall actually caused the worst of the thunderstorms/wind gusts (solid cat 2 gusts) to be in your area in the NW eyewall (where Stephanie Abrams great coverage was). It’s almost as if the NW eyewall weakening lagged behind. She said she had never seen so much lightning in an eyewall, which typically has limited lightning due to the upper atmosphere being too warm for as much ice in the clouds vs typically much more lightning in outer bands as Dr. Knabb explained. I thought TWC coverage was excellent between her, Cantore showing storm surge and sudden shift to warming S winds off Gulf in E eyewall, and Dr. Knabb.
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Interactive version is nice. My house is in the cone. What time is the Depression going to hit my house? Anyway we got much needed rain after what I'd call a flash drought from Sept. Back to AN temps next week. Shocking!
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Yep I’m glad the N Gulf finally caught something of a break with this one. Laura, Michael, Ida etc were horrific and broke the pattern of rapidly weakening N Gulf storms as they come in. Of course 2 are dead and hundreds of thousands are suffering with power out and other damage so hopefully things are running again soon.
