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Yes, not really the ENH DY2, but it's location, I can't recall anything confined to NNE quite like this, at least since ENH was a thing. And such a sharp cut off to the tstm risk itself. This screams EML capped, CoastlalWx and WxWiz will have to settle for CONS LTG DSNT N-NE! Another post coming soon on the event. Suffice to say, I am very impressed w/ this set up, and it takes a *lot* impress me these days!

Heh, not passion. truth - I don't just don't give a shit to tread lightly around people that haven't earned it. Call outs suck. too bad

That's what I'm thinking!

Clouds are shrinking a bit in coverage now. Still cloudy here, 79

A 23" and a 24" storm this winter. 0 complaints. Convection is a fools errand around here.

You get so scared over this!

We did have a couple of big storms locally. I dunno. Maybe my expectations are too high. I think the 90’s spoiled me

You want to see bad for power outages? The next hurricane landfall It will crush anything we have ever seen previously in New England. And all it would take is a min Cat 1 coming in over LI.

84/67 then with sun beamin' straight down it's gettin' there

A couple 100 readings up near the border currently. One in Meander (RAWS), and another from a PWS just N of Seagull Lake. Some other sites are getting close.

So cool (at least to me). Over on a local Facebook Page they posted the below article from 1930 about the original trained NWS Cooperative Observer for Coatesville PA - WT Gordon. Mr. Gordon (1888-1930) at that time he was looking to retire from observing the weather... but keep his legacy of accurate weather and climate reporting for Coatesville PA alive. Some of you may not know this but back in 1998 I actually purchased all of the handwritten NWS COOP pages from the NWS for Coatesville 1SW for every month from 1894 through 1948 (I know I am a weather nerd!) At the time this data was not available on the internet so during my many plane trips for work and in my spare time I transcribed by hand each and every day for all of those years into an excel spreadsheet the handwritten daily observations for those 54 years. When that was completed I accessed the data from 1948 through 1998 that was available on line to complete the data set for the NWS COOP stations of Coatesville 1SW (1893-1982) and Coatesville 2W (1983-2007).

So cool (at least to me). Over on a local Facebook Page they posted the below article from 1930 about the original trained NWS Cooperative Observer for Coatesville PA - WT Gordon. Mr. Gordon (1888-1930) at that time he was looking to retire from observing the weather... but keep his legacy of accurate weather and climate reporting for Coatesville PA alive. Some of you may not know this but back in 1998 I actually purchased all of the handwritten NWS COOP pages from the NWS for Coatesville 1SW for every month from 1894 through 1948 (I know I am a weather nerd!) At the time this data was not available on the internet so during my many plane trips for work and in my spare time I transcribed by hand each and every day for all of those years into an excel spreadsheet the handwritten daily observations for those 54 years. When that was completed I accessed the data from 1948 through 1998 that was available on line to complete the data set for the NWS COOP stations of Coatesville 1SW (1893-1982) and Coatesville 2W (1983-2007).

From elsewhere:Icon is the first Global that far out (this weekend) that shows low pressure forming in the Big Bend and hanging around the eastern panhandle. It gets to about 1007mb which isn’t particularly low. But it is at the surface. If it is close to being right, look for the other operational models to start going to that type of solution. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=icon&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2026071312&fh=3

cope

Getting crushed at the house again.

....the deniers are going to continue to deny. It is part of their DNA. I can tell you played chess just by your posts because you consider other possibilities that other people write off far too quickly.

We knew early on this was gonna be a special summer .

Strange summer. All the big heat is north and east of here. They can have it lol.

Strange summer. All the big heat is north and east of here. They can have it lol.

I have missed out on most of the real downpours so far this month. Only 2.03" MTD, which isn't horrible, by any means, but it's not making any progress into the deficit. Hopefully my time will come.

Odd pattern to the cell movement on the RAH radar at the moment. Some cells moving east, some moving west, some mostly stationary.

Someone turn off the hose. This morning has been insane.

Last winter as in this past winter?? This past winter was great.

As of the 13th I am running a + number on rainfall for the month, 2.31" vs a normal of 1.70, +.61". Decided to see what the past year ran and if a + halfway thru the month made a difference, so going backwards a year- June 2026 3.16" vs normal 4.20", -1.04" 15th 1.61" vs normal 2.10", -0.49" May 2026 3.90" vs normal 4.30", -0.40" 15th 1.42" vs normal 2.15", -0.73" April 2026 2.07" vs normal 3.64", -1.57" 15th 0.87" vs normal 1.80", -0.93" Mar 2026 2.12" vs normal 3.52", -1.40" 15th 0.83" vs normal 1.75", -0.92" Feb 2026 2.76" vs normal 2.67", +0.09" 15th 0.19" vs normal 1,35", -1.16" Jan 2026 2.84" vs normal 2.94", -0.10" 15th 0.92" vs normal 1.45", -0.53" Dec 2025 3.21" vs normal 3.32", -0.01" 15th 1.73" vs normal 1.60", +0.13" Nov 2025 1.34" vs normal 2.78", -1.44" 15th 0.25" vs normal 1.40", -1.15" Oct 2025 2.19" vs normal 2.70", -0.51" 15th 0.86" vs normal 1.30", -0.44" Sept 2025 2.28" vs normal 3.55", -1.27" 15th 0.11" vs normal 1.70", -1.59" Aug 2025 2.04" vs normal 3.32", -1.28" 15th 0.83" vs normal 1.60". -0.77" July 2025 4.19" vs normal 4.01", +0.18" 15th 2.74" vs normal 2.00", +0.74" That is a -8.75" for the 12 months, and a -7.84" at the mid-point of the month. Appears if you're in the hole by mid-month you don't recover? Feb 2026 stands out as an outlier to that. Also, it has been a year since I've been on the positive side this high mid-month.

Not the first time Upton has busted on the cloud cover forecast - happens quite often.....