All Activity

Starting to think the euro/cmc blend is right and we’ll start to see the gfs/nam start trending towards them. They’re just the better models especially at this range. Still a 5-10” snow event for Philly with 10-16” E NJ. I don’t buy the NAM when it’s now all alone. The 00z models probably the high mark of the event. In the end though Boston will get the most snow out of everyone, as always, bastads

I have a very hard time believing the Euro would be as east as it is with what it's giving us at the upper levels. It's essentially lock step with other guidance now, perhaps 20-25 miles further east with the h7 low passage. For folks in the Lehigh Valley and Berks, yes those 20-25 miles could be the difference between 6-8" or 12-16". For Philly SE, I think the Euro is still catching up

we pretty much have consensus here, i think it's between nam euro and gfs at this point it's safe to say 10-20 inches are a lock NYC and east, with blizzard winds blowing and drifting definitely a concern! What happens west of Bergen county is still in question and will be ironed out today!

Likely a blend.

I see Upton has blessed the title of this thread. Excellent

Barely a dusting here. There are some cool crystal shapes in it. Yeah what's with that Hudson Valley gap?

what are they basing this off? 6z gfs shows eastern berks getting almost two feet

Agreed I think only Anthony and Weathergeek might have been the only 2 humans to want that to continue - I told my son " I just wish the one weather model that is holding out will cave so I can get some sleep and just end this slow pain "

never give up good morning, i see some of my posts were deleted. I think this is just a sign that the westerly trend is over and the models will correct back to around where the GFS is. Remember all models trended towards the GFS yesterday 80% models had nothing. We will see by tomorrow but I honestly still think the euro is the most overrated model there is, icon may be better at this point! We'll see but to me it just looks like the west trend is over and they'll just wobble back and forth between GFS and maybe Euro AI solution!

CTP reissued the Watch early this morning and is going with 5 to 10 inches of snow at this point with winds up to 35 mph. (yes @canderson this includes downtown Harrisburg…lol) Winter Storm Watch URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 439 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 PAZ057>059-064>066-220000- /O.CON.KCTP.WS.A.0004.260222T1000Z-260223T1800Z/ Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Hershey, Harrisburg, Gettysburg, Pottsville, Lancaster, York, and Lebanon 439 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 10 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph Sunday night and Monday. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From late tonight through Monday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...There is still some uncertainty regarding the track of this storm. Any westward shifts in the track may result in higher snowfall amounts. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

Wohoo!! .

Should be some. You can thank me.

Got a glorified dusting overnight. All surfaces covered. Waiting for my watch to become a warning, amazing that Albany is still hesitant. .

I honestly think everyone was except the Gfs

6.0" Salem NH. 18" OTG. -SN 30F.

I was about to give up Thursday afternoon but the GFS refused to let it go.

Thanks, I’m hoping that they’ll be willing to land in light snow. As for making it back to NJ if we land, I guess I’ll leave my life in the hands of the Uber gods.

accuweather forecasts are the worst and their even worse on the radio side where they have 3-6 inches as of last night..

Just a dusting overnight but trees are caked in ice . Beautiful out there https://imgur.com/a/FNNUBoS#5wEzfVH

Just wild to think of where we were at and what the models were showing ( besides the GFS ) 48 hours ago and where we are right now

Foxyynew just gave me a solid, 1 to 3 .

AI was unchanged

Interesting later today into tonight from about ORH west and south . Nice convergence zone showing up along the back door . Drops an inch or so evening into overnight

That's a sigh of relief that the euro looks a bit better then it's 0z run.