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ANd see, this is why I sent the PM I did. You think you are better than others. Some of us are nuts. You are of course, normal. Sit down. You aren't.

Even that run verbatim there's just no cold air, would be 90% rain in the WCB.. 925 is torched til the end

1” last night

Terrible when 3 Mets come in and ruin everything.

Also the 50 50 low in a way different position

Snowy

Shitstreak ftw for a change?

I'd assume this is as good as it gets before it ticks back south.. Power out for days in SNE.. A lot of the features are in place by 72-96 hours would be an epic fail by the euro or an even worse fail by all other guidance

I agree with you here. If there ever was a good month to torch, it's March, at least after the first week to 10 days. Sure, if you are going to get some blockbuster snowstorm, I'm all for it, but a 2–4-inch snow in March is more of a nuisance than enjoyment vs if it happens in DJF.

The first 15 min of a zombie movie

Theres still time to score, no need for the hail-mary...yet.

Most storms since 2018-2019 have been cutters, huggers, and suppressed Southern Stream storm tracks. From 2010 to 2018 we had a record number of benchmark storm tracks. During the 2002 to 2009 period we also had more benchmark storm tracks. From 1993 there to 2001 we had a blend of storm tracks including the Miller A track east of the APPS which used to give Central and Eastern PA the record snows those years. That track has mostly been missing over the last 20 years. The 1960s to 1980s featured more of a blend of storm tracks. So there haven’t been any years since the mid 90s that the coastal areas from EWR to ISP didn’t reach 25” without at least one major 10”+KU benchmark snowstorm. Prior to the mid 90s we had a wider variety of the storm tracks so we didn’t have to exclusively rely on 10”+ major benchmark snowstorm tracks to get to 25” from EWR to ISP.

Yep. Pancake ridge to the west too. I’ll sell anything good.

Must have poured freezing rain wow insane

Euro is too amped and inland

It’s a weird look on the euro with that late diving energy in the northern stream to bring this north. It doesn’t really look like it should have any business digging like that and the other models aren’t doing it either.

If the 12z models are board, they will be updating again later today.

PD Storm III. No one start a thread until Saturday.

I do view it on the whole rather than month by month, and we all want / enjoy things differently, combined with the fact even in a really good storm not all our yards get the same experience. To me that storm in Jan with a foot of snow, snow falling during the day, with temperatures in the low teens followed by 2 weeks of snowpack is pure perfection. I weight that much higher than some 4-6 event in late Feb or early March that melts 12 hours later. I also weight a colder and snowier December higher than if it happened in February. I think the other thing is the consistent cold, sure we had thaws, but we were tracking snow possibilities the entire season to this point which is rare. Put it this way, if next November I was given the option to have a repeat of this winter play out similarly over the course of December and January, or roll the dice and "hope" for something better it would be hard to pass up on that offer.

I know, seems they are really downplaying the event this morn.

It’s not me… I am showing what the models said… Also, I posted their discussion from yesterday evening & CTP was certainly monitoring the potential.

Euro ai a bit north tickling cape. 19th interesting with 988 on Huron transferring to 988 off portland. More confluence and that’s a biggie

Temps look marginal but I think.we would be ok here