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Both the Euro and GFS are hinting at a record Southeast ridge next week.

in a few years the definition of torch will be +20

your avg. is like 73. +10+ is torchy

look at this mauve stinger sting i got because of climate change

Yeah. I set my t-stat to 68 cool from pretty much April to October. This is what my central air usage looks like just about every year.

sometime in 2027

i think that's in AMS' official glossary, yeah... 5 = torch

We know this ... but just in case. The idea that acorns can predict a wet warm or snowy cold winter has very low or no skill as a forecasting metric. Years with perceived surpluses of acorns have nothing to do with ensuing seasonality. According to all science/peer reviewal, those were influenced/triggered by past environmental factors - so yeah... , it was cold and snowy last year. or warm and wet... which ever. tell us what we already know. but obviously... we are so fantastically bored -

Don't disagree, but more for my Mid Atlantic peeps who have suffered through enough snow falling within 500' asl with rain/mix at the surface. I witnessed it enough times living/working under or near flight paths near BWI to scar my weenie memory. Lol

Some nice, plump red oak acorns this year.

Pretty big acorn year. Not the worst I’ve seen here, but there’s a lot . Nightmare

A torch is 5 or more AN. Just like toddy and how it’s mainly been Torch !

September Copernicus (Euro related) DJF Monthly Temps & Precip

I used 850t anomaly because I feel thats a better metric for snow but either way.

It's time for the increasingly annual tradition! Happy Peak Season everybody!

I'm beginning to see some consistency in the the various models that the first shot of chilly air could arrive in about 10 days. Fingers crossed that those models are correct!

October 15th

September 10 2002: A late-season tornado strikes Albertville just after midnight .According to a damage survey conducted by NWS personnel, it touched down on the eastern edge of Cedar Creek Golf Course, then it moved straight east and dissipated in a city park just west of the railroad tracks. It completely tore the roof off of one home. Roofs were partially off a number of other homes, many attached garages collapsed, and a couple of houses were rotated on their foundation. About 20 homes were damaged, nine of which sustained significant damage. 1986: 3 inch hail falls in Watonwan County. 1947: Downpours fall across the Iron Range. Hibbing receives 8.6 inches in three hours. 1931: St Cloud experiences a record high of 106 degrees, and it reaches 104 degrees in Minneapolis. 1910: The shortest growing season on record in Duluth ends, with frost free days from June 14 to September 10 (87 days). Normally the frost-free season is 143 days. For Thursday, September 10, 2026 1919 - A hurricane struck the Florida Keys drowning more than 500 persons. (David Ludlum) 1960 - Hurricane Donna struck the Florida Keys, with winds gusting to 180 mph and a thirteen foot storm surge. The hurricane then moved north along the eastern coast of Florida and inundated Naples before moving out to sea. Hurricane Donna claimed fifty lives, injured 1800 others, and caused more than 300 million dollars damage. The Marathon/Tavernier area was almost completely destroyed, and in the Citrus Belt, most of the avacado crop was blown from the trees. Hurricane Donna wreaked havoc from Florida to Maine, with wind gusts to 100 mph along much of the coast. Hurricane Donna produced wind gusts to 121 mph at Charleston SC on the 11th, and wind gusts to 138 mph at Blue Hill Observatory MA on the 12th. The hurricane finally died over Maine two days later, producing more than five inches of rain over the state. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A late afternoon thunderstorm roared through Austin TX producing wind gusts to 81 mph, and 2.17 inches of rain in just sixty minutes. The high winds toppled six National Guard helicopters at the Robert Mueller Municipal Airport, and damaged or destroyed numerous other aircraft. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Cool air sweeping into the north central U.S. brought snow to some of the higher elevations of Montana. The town of Kings Hill, southeast of Great Falls, was blanketed with six inches of snow. Tropical Storm Gilbert strengthened to a hurricane over the eastern Caribbean. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Light snow fell in Montana overnight, with three inches reported at Fairfield. Billings MT reported a record low of 33 degrees. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S., with record highs of 86 degrees at Caribou ME and 90 degrees at Burlington VT. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) Observances: 10 Thu National School Picture Day 10 Thu National Swap Ideas Day 10 Thu International Makeup Day 10 Thu World Suicide Prevention Day 10 Thu National Anti-Junk Light Day 10 Thu National TV Dinner Day 10 Thu Swap Ideas Day 10 Thu World Top Up Day