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Nino is notorious for early snow, I'll go Oct 27th

The last 3 strong nino/super nino have been bad for us, and its been what 5 years since we hit or went above average. at some point you just have to look at things at face value, its not good, and may very well be very bad.

September 17, 1914: A tropical storm made landfall near the Florida-Georgia state border with estimated sustained winds of 70 mph. While it may seem insignificant, this storm is notable for being the only officially-recognized Atlantic tropical cyclone of 1914.

talk about blowing through forecasted highs. it is awful combo of hot/humid out

My windshield got shelled today. Already have a crack and need to replace it. Maybe I'll wait until the end of the month.

Only got 0.20". About what I expected.

This was our warmest developing super El Niño summer relative to the long term averages. These used to be reliably cooler summers. 2015 was the first one that was warmer but not as warm as this year was.

GFS showing a gyre storm developing in the SW Caribbean and blasting north the last few runs wayyy out in fantasy land. But in case you need a reminder in how the GFS has been doing this year: Just for comparison, this is the ECM for this year so far:

CWOP site, but yeah that’s their map display. I saved the settings here for my use, but you can pan/zoom and change the variables to what you want. https://www.weather.gov/wrh/hazards?&zoom=9&scroll_zoom=false&center=43.329173667843904,-71.68579101562501&boundaries=false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false,false&tab=observation&obs=true&obs_type=air_temp&obs_popup=false&obs_density=10&obs_provider=ALL

of course it was lol

Made it to 86 so far

i know the nepal flood was at least partially caused by climate change because the usual crowd immediately started saying it wasn't

The acorn size around my area is ginourmous. Not a ton of em, but they are bigly

12Z GFS run is interesting.

Almost the season for low topped supercells with little lightning so basically no change from the present

When Jason starts ringing that bell, you know there's model consistency. Fall is close.

Thanks. Is this a NWS product?

It’s barely over water after it hits Marco Island.

Damage!

Sick! Let's hope it's right lol

We pray for the 12z GFS!

88 here see if we can touch 90

I heard it’s the motion of the descension

didn't even try