All Activity

What I'd like to see is the base of the h5 a bit more south these next few runs this aftn and evening. That and we'd like to see things sharper unless the whole orientation is going to slow down a bit and allow what we need despite a broader trough.

Glad someone said it.

February 20 1981: Due to the long spell of warm weather in the 60s, a farmer near Le Center is plowing some alfalfa ground. For Friday, February 20, 2026 1805 - The Potomac River was opened after being closed by ice for a period of two months. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1898 - Eastern Wisconsin experienced their biggest snowstorm of record. Racine received thirty inches, and drifts around Milwaukee measured fifteen feet high. (David Ludlum) 1953 - A snowstorm in Nebraska, South Dakota, Iowa and Minnesota produced drifts ten feet high which derailed trains. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A storm system over Arizona spread heavy snow from the Southern Rockies into the Southern Plains Region. Thunderstorms in central Texas produced golf ball size hail about the same time north central Texas was being blanketed with up to 8 inches of snow, closing many schools. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Snow and strong northerly winds ushered arctic air into the Great Lakes Region. The temperature at Sault Ste Marie MI plunged from 30 degrees at 5 AM to one below zero by 3 PM, with a wind chill reading of 40 degrees below zero. Five cities in Florida reported record high temperatures for the date. The afternoon high of 90 degrees at Lakeland was just a degree shy of their February record. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the early afternoon produced severe weather from eastern Texas to Alabama and northwest Florida. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes during the afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms also produced 90 mph winds around Vicksburg MS, and 100 mph winds around Jackson MS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Heavy snow spread into southwestern Kansas and the panhandle region of Oklahoma and Texas. Heavier snowfall totals included 12 inches at Boise City OK, 11 inches at Liberal KS, and 10 inches at Spearman TX. Blowing and drifting snow closed roads in the Oklahoma panhandle. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

The delta beween the 'expected' and 10% on the LWX Snow and Ice forecast page is maybe the highest I've ever seen this close to an event. Crazy levels of uncertainty here

Dry thunder.

2006

The potential scenario is very dynamic and nothing is out of the question with a ~975 bombing out.

The UKMET was on the front lines of showing the snowcrete storm as a full fledged HECS for everyone. So yes I’d take it with a grain of salt especially when it’s alone.

Ukie all rain for DC, WTF, ha ha.

Sorry man…had to.

Oh I agree, totally what we want to be seeing.

USA vs Slovakia hockey today BTW. USA USA USA!!!

GFS ticked east so maybe a meet in the middle scenario is unfolding

Not 1996. Might have been 2006.

Are there any similarities to the 93 storm? Im not saying the B word, but can we get 10-12 widespread wind-driven snow? Sent from my SM-A146U using Tapatalk

ACWATT

They can have it. It's golf and baseball season

More snow than sleet for a minute now

Looks like it's dropped to 33 near where I live. Southwick will be a couple degrees cooler. Wish I was home. Rainy day down at the shore.

So just logged in and check my emails for posts on this thread since 9pm last night. I had not check anything since the 18z runs ydy. 600 posts??? I knew immediately what had happened! The GFS..."WINNING!!!" and CoastalWx is dancin' in the streets!

Until the euro crashes the party and steals the keg away from us…

As stated by Terpeast those totals would be cut. My question is instability in the atmosphere. Can there be thunder?

Hopefully it's too aggressive with temps. I recall it wasn't the greatest with the snowcrete storm? Also maybe another jump like that and the rates pull through.

Can only hope the trends are a sign the gfs is the one with the central solution and hope the others keep going. The damn euro is starting to look like the odd man out...I'm sure it still will in an hour.

I'll have number 11 with fries please