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  2. Hurricane Agnes
    Finished up with 0.40" yesterday (the heaviest missed me mostly to the south). That brought my July total to 3.81" so far. Topped out at 80 after a 69 low yesterday. Currently 72 (my low so far) with dp 71. As a sidenote, I heard Ray on KYW this morning,
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    mejores farmacias en línea: VacunasyMiSalud - farmacia online https://apothekenradar.shop/# Apotheke Testsieger
  4. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    mejores farmacias en línea: VacunasyMiSalud - farmacia online https://apothekenradar.shop/# Apotheke Testsieger
  5. Today
  6. John1122
    This wasn't a shower moving over. It just exploded. This is the radar at 3:25 and 5 minutes later at 3:30 at my location.
  7. John1122
    I just got woke up by an absolute gulley washer that popped up directly over my house. It went from a blank radar to a deep red return in one cycle. Don't recall seeing that heavy of a shower develop from nothing in a handful of minutes.
  8. GaWx
    Based on my own look just now at the comparison of anomalies in the 4 Nino regions, I have only 4 clearcut Modoki El Niño events since 1950: 1. 1968-9: Month……..1+2……3……3.4……4 Nov………-0.1……+0.1….+0.5…+0.4 Dec………+0.2….+0.4….+0.7….+0.6 Jan………-0.2……+0.5…..+1.0….+0.9 Feb……..-0.8…….+0.3…..+1.1…….+1.1 Mar……..+0.3……+0.2……+0.5.…+0.6 2. 1977-8: not as Modoki as 68-9 Month……..1+2……3……3.4……4 Nov……….-0.5…..+0.2….+0.5…+0.3 Dec……….-0.6…..+0.3….+0.7….+0.4 Jan……….-0.4…..+0.1…..+0.6…..+0.4 Feb……….-0.4…...0.0……+0.3…..+0.2 Mar……….-1.2……-0.5…..-0.2…..-0.1 3. 2004-5: the most Modoki Month……..1+2……3……3.4……4 Nov……...+0.7…..+0.6…+0.7….+0.8 Dec……..+0.4……+0.7….+0.7….+0.9 Jan……...0.0……..+0.3…..+0.7….+0.9 Feb……..-0.9…….-0.1…….+0.4…..+0.7 Mar……..-1.5…….-0.1…….+0.5……+0.6 4. 2014-5: 2nd most Modoki Month……..1+2……3……3.4……4 Nov……….+0.8….+0.8…+0.8…+0.7 Dec………+0.4….+0.7…+0.7….+0.8 Jan………-0.2…..+0.4…+0.5….+0.8 Feb……..-0.5…..+0.1….+0.4….+0.9 Mar…….+0.1…..+0.1….+0.5…..+0.9 So, based on the above, the most Modoki (W based) El Niño events since 1950 were (starting from strongest): 1. 2004-5 2. 2014-5 3. 1968-9 4. 1977-8 Based on this, it appears to me that regarding wintry precip in El Niño seasons, the SE (based on ATL and RDU) seems to do somewhat better with C based (3.4 with clearly the warmest anomalies) than Modoki/W based. If I’m not mistaken, the NE tends to do better with W based (Modoki) over C based. Please correct me if that’s wrong. Interesting! https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/ersst5.nino.mth.91-20.ascii
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not crazy about that ELI ....they state that it does a pretty poor job of identifying Modoki events and it absolutely does....it has 2023 similar to 2009 and 2004. It lost me right there. Two issues...first of all, the 165-170E Modoki range is too restrictive, which is likely why Modoki events are underrepresented in the data set. Secondly, it fails to distinguish the MC forcing of 2023 from Modoki forcing, which makes it no better than VP and OLR. I still like using the RONI for that distinction.
  10. NEG NAO
    Good chance it is going to be well up in the 90's around here and maybe 100 again at some point later next week
  11. GaWx
    Indeed! Yeah, Chuck, it’s confusing because when I searched for it, I first found the new FB post, dated 7/2/26. At first it looked on the surface like a new record/first time over 100 in Arctic Circle based on the 1st 2 paragraphs. But then the 3rd paragraph said that on June 20, 2020, it hit 38C/100.4F. Then I was curious to see the comments below. The first one incorrectly said that was Antarctica lol. Then the 2nd comment said that it was 6 years ago and was critical of the story being posted now for no good reason other than to confuse.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    How do you equate that?
  13. PhiEaglesfan712
    Last summer was as frontloaded as you can get temperaturewise. The highest temperature was reached in June, and the summer was pretty much over on July 31.
  14. OHweather
    There have been a few of these massive downpours over Lake Erie during the summer months over the last several summers. It happens when the lake water is in the upper 70s/lower 80s and we get slow moving convection over the lake (usually at night). Put-In-Bay got 8-10” of rain and flooded one night in August 2023, and there have been a couple other times where I remember radar estimates of 10”+ over the open lake. This event was very high end and affected an island directly. There was significant flooding from 4-7” of rain (after 1-3” the day before) along the western Lake Erie shoreline on Monday from continued lake enhanced thunderstorms.
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    Oh, I thought it was recent. My mistake. Facebook things posted out of context. I assumed the record cold >80N was creating a ridge underneath. The cold this year up there is certainly impressive!
  16. Mrs.J
    Total to end the day 3.86” Honestly cannot remember the last time I have gotten that kind of amount. That first storm thundered for close to an hour. It caused a lot of flooding all over Frederick. Got word that the local farm where I get my CSA and plants they had about 5” of standing water on the grounds and in the green houses.
  17. GaWx
    “In 2020, the town of Verkhoyansk, Russia, reached a temperature of 100.4 degrees Fahrenheit, the highest temperature ever recorded in the Arctic Circle.” https://www.upi.com/amp/Top_News/2026/06/20/On-This-Day-Arctic-Circle-reaches-record-setting-100-degrees/2481781913298/
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    I just saw this Apparently it was verified by the WMO
  19. Herb@MAWS
    Imby Columbia 0.35” today. 3+” from rain each day July 4-9.
  20. BBasile
    Ended up with 1.77" on the day. 5.52" for the first 9 days of the month.
  21. GaWx
    Hey Chuck, Do you have a link? The only thing I saw was a story from just a few days ago but it said that on 6/20/20 it hit 100.4F at Verkhoyansk, Russia (Siberia): https://www.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1023286790456624&id=100083259374691
  22. ThePhotoGuy
    Rainy couple days in Pasadena: 7/4: 1.25 7/5: 1.29 7/6: 0.26 7/7: 0.29 7/8: 0.07 7/9: 0.46 Total: 3.63
  23. SACRUS
    Today's Highs: LGA: 89 EWR: 86 ACY: 86 TEB: 85 New Brnswck: 84 BLM: 83 JFK: 82 ISP: 82 NYC: 82 PHL: 81 TTN: 81
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    Did you see that it just hit 100 degrees in the Arctic circle for the first time ever, on the Russia side.
  25. a.salt
    Nope, cold all the way my friend!
  26. CAPE
    Elias.. gaslighting fans
  27. Met1985
    I remember him for sure. He had some great posts and observations. I wish I had went to his get together but that was my early years here on the site. Eff cancer! Took my mom at the age of 56. Throat cancer is very difficult.
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