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  2. Have you at least made a day trip up further in The Northland during winter to see the truly deep stuff?
  3. Yesterday
  4. Another thing i just discovered is that there was a moderate event BEFORE the major halloween snow bomb of 2011. I can't believe that. I have to re-do that storm completely because a lot of the coop and cocorahs data i used overlapped for both events. When i've been doing these extremely anomalous late or early events in Oct/Nov or Apr/May i usually assume there is no storms that overlap on almost the same day or day before/after. Clearly i was wrong to assume that. On Oct 27th 2011 there was a 0-7" interior event that covered the Worcester hills, Berkshires and bled into NW CT in the Litchfield hills.
  5. No way it dropped the idea of our late March storm in one run. Unpossible.
  6. March 2026 is likely going to finish the warmest March on record for CONUS
  7. Seems like they're all clueless to varying degrees.
  8. The official number for BDL for that storm is 12.3" in the climo data. The PNS has 20.3 lol, which i threw out. I'm just using whats in the F6 which is 12.3 for that date. So do you think i should or should not use E. Granby for BDL from that period 96-00 when BDL is missing? It sounds like the answer is no.
  9. And it's already been solidly above average over halfway through the month. Quite a different pattern from what we saw this winter with parts of the Northeast actually experiencing the greatest temp departures from normal in the lower 48.
  10. GFS with a last scoop of the winter.
  11. And add 5-10 degrees to those temps this time of year with no leaves on the trees and where winds aren’t onshore.
  12. God I have fought this war for decades and been chastised by many for my thoughts. Thank you
  13. I am beyond tired of seeing those maps... They are of little value to most folks; and grossly misunderstood... We have been in and out of moderate to severe drought levels for the past several years. And yet, here we are with solid water supplies and no water jug filling lines forming at the neighborhood fire hydrant.
  14. It's been a torch winter for most of the globe. Other than some odd cold spikes in the south.
  15. Going to be some wild weather between now and the end the month summer like warm temps and winter temps and snow chances
  16. It will begin to turn milder tomorrow. The temperatue will return to the middle 40s tomorrow afternoon. Readings will then return mainly to the 50s for Friday through the weekend. The mercury could reach 60° on Saturday. The major weather story this week is the super March heatwave that is under way in much of the western U.S. March monthly records are being set in numerous cities. Today, Flagstaff, Palm Springs, and Phoenix are among the cities setting March monthly records. Additional records are likely in coming days. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +3.73 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.539 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 74% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.7° (1.9° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  17. Weekend getting kinda interesting on some of the latest runs… .
  18. Madison County has had more tornadoes in the last 50 years than McDowell. Not many would believe that!
  19. F this. April 22nd I'm okay with it, not March 22. Basically 20-25 degrees above normal. To much too soon, like last weeks travesty.
  20. Poor GFS. It's just not mentally stable. (analogy)
  21. With the Mid-March thaw delivering a hefty blow to the low elevation snowpack across New England, the window for enjoying peak depths in the Presidential alpine was coming to an abrupt end. Ultimately the thaw provided some spectacular spring skiing up high from 3/9 to 3/11, with report after report filtering out of the Presidentials showing cobalt blue skis and little overnight firm ups folding into a superb corn surface across the Gulfs, Ravines and Snowfields. My schedule did not allow me to time up the best conditions, but with a marginal weather window available on Sunday 3/8, I decided to take it despite no guarantee of success. Having already been turned around in the alpine due to avalanche danger in January, I was wary that a second disappointment would be the result. The crux of the day was clear, trying to time the clearing of elevation fog before the snowpack up high froze solid. Saturday night's (3/7) cold front cleared New England of much of the low level moisture that enveloped the region in dense fog for much of Saturday. The lone holdout were the high peaks of the Presidentials, with just enough moisture and orographic forcing to shroud the summits in clouds. Forecasts indicated that gradual clearing of summit fog would occur through midday, perhaps opening up a window for sunshine to peek through. At the same time, colder air was beginning to filter across the higher elevations, threatening to lock the snowpack into ice by the afternoon. Pulling into the Pinkham Notch parking lot at 9:30, I checked the temperature profile across Mount Washington, the summit had quickly plummeted from the upper 30's to 34. Fortunately, temperatures at 4000 feet held firm in the mid 40s. The gradient was tightening but the window to try and steal a descent was still there. Racing up the TRT there was the constant roar of meltwater raging down the Cutler River. The evidence of the thaw was everywhere. Just a few days prior Andrew Drummond had tagged a rare descent of Empress in mid-winter conditions, while Dutchess and Dodge's were wide open for the taking for those looking for exposure. These snow packed lines had thinned out considerably only 24 hours into the thaw. Cruxes of these lines had receeded to cliffs, rocks and brush, their now hanging snowfields filled with rain runnels. By the time I reached Hojos much of the high alpine was still shrouded in fog, much to my dismay. The summit continued to inch closer to freezing, now down to below 33 degrees. It was going to be a one run type of day. Hillman's Highway appeared to be the best option as 2/3 of it's length remained in the clear and only the snowfields above the choke were obscured. Additionally, the Hillman's bootpack is one of the easier pitches in the zone and features plenty of platforms for transitioning. If the freeze came faster than anticipated there would be plenty of options to turn around and descend from. With the clearing trend forecasted, we hoped that perhaps the fog would burn off during the climb. While climbing, it was clear that wishful thinking regarding visibility would not pay off. The cloud deck actually began to lower, now fully obscuring the view once we reached Hillman's right choke. Despite the poor visibility, the snow in the couloir was a pleasant surprise. The lack of a pure refreeze overnight rendered the surface a bit heavy but wind affected enough that it wasn't pure slop. Outside of a few punchy spots the booter was drama free. Approaching the top of the line, some aspects were beginning to harden - we had just beaten the freezing line to the top of Boott Spur. The heavy snow on the descent was a substantial workout, though while shrouded in cloud cover the surface was very workable and pleasant. Once we punched through the overcast about 1/2 down, temperatures spiked quickly and the snow gained a noticible grab to it. Fortunately the sustained pitch of Hillman's helped negate the impact of the sticky snow until we reached the apron. The ski down to the car was slow going, the Sherb was melting fast and rocks were everywhere on "coreshot corner". Despite conditions not truly aligning, it was a fantastic day up high on the eastern slopes of the Presidentials! I still jealously watched footage of bluebird skies, huge linkups, and perfect corn snow all over the mountain emerge over subsequent days, but I was thrilled to not view from afar with sour regret. Sometimes you just have to go and make it happen.
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