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Is that accurate. That's 10"+ in central NJ over the next 2 days

Last night in Raleigh (as close as I could fly without violating a TFR).

Some hits, lots of misses

PECO saying power won’t be restored until 11pm tonight. Glad it’s not an NFL Sunday.

Members 16k Location:NYC-NJ Posted 3 minutes ago Today's Highs: ACY: 106\ BLM: 101 PHL: 101 New Brnswck: 100 JFK: 100 EWR: 99 TTN: 98 LGA: 97 TEB: 97 ISP: 96 NYC: 94

0.34”

The Euro update from a few minutes ago now has the strongest traditional ONI on record near +3.8 to +3.9. June set new all-time SST records for developing El Niños in all Nino regions except 1+2. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/ersst5.nino.mth.91-20.ascii All-Time June SST records in bold YR MON NINO1+2 ANOM NINO3 ANOM NINO4 ANOM NINO3.4 ANOM 2026 6 25.94 2.82 28.33 1.71 30.19 1.22 29.17 1.44 2023 6 25.63 2.50 27.88 1.26 29.55 0.58 28.57 0.84 2015 6 25.32 2.19 28.07 1.45 29.88 0.92 28.90 1.18 1997 6 26.12 3.00 28.13 1.51 29.23 0.26 28.82 1.09

Pictures from Harrisburg that my son sent me

The Euro ensemble spread narrowed at a little higher mean on the new July run to what looks like an around +3.8 to +3.9 on traditional ONI ensemble mean peak. July run June run

0.07 last night. Something tells me we’re going to be pretty dissapointed with the rain we get in this area. Wagons west

It could have been a hell of a lot worse for our area had the soil been saturated.

It’s crazy record warmth during an Super Nino

I hope everyone that lost power gets it back soon! .16” of rain from the storm last night. Got up 3:00am for a P break 74 degrees. Now we’re in a flood watch. Crazy Summer !

Yes one of the more intense storms I've witnessed.

I think I was east of most of the storms last night, though had some good flashes and distant thunder while going to bed. Based on the puddles outside, we managed at least a decent drink.

The RRFS? Found it quickly . Might not be right but wagons def south for heaviest

The one thing I noticed every place had in common along my drives last night, and this morning was the smell of freshly cut timber. I think a lot of people are going to be surprised about how widespread and damaging ithis wind event actually was as pictures and stories roll in. Some of the hardest hit places along my drives were the Heritage golf course in Lisburn, neighborhoods surrounding the I81 and Carlisle pike Interchange, areas around Cedar, Cliff high school, including the Cliffs, and the north end of Greenlane farms. My son also sent me pictures from front street in Harrisburg and I can also confirm that that area seems particularly hard hit. Unfortunately, driving last night required extra attention so I got very few pictures and videos ,but seeing the damage fresh leves, no doubt in my mind that this was the worst windstorm in my hometown and many surrounding areas in my lifetime. The picture below is what it looks like outside my sliding door and looking directly back at it from my woods. I lost four large connifer trees just in that view. I also lost 2 large poplar trees and small dogwood and had several deadfalls.

That’s the future right there

There is a flood watch posted for a wide region. Even a historic heat wave with high dew points does not result in a decent rainfall at the end, pretty pathetic.

Min 56.3° Kinda chilly A few models are tickling some precip up here on Tue. Just asking for 0.75”+.

0.06”

As had likely been the case during the record June 2025 heatwave, Central Park likely had two 100° or above days during the most recent heatwave. Only one such day was recorded due to Central Park's well-documented tree overgrowth. Moreover, July 3, 2026 was likely one of Central Park's hottest days on record, as was the case at surrounding sites: JFK Airport: 102°; LaGuardia Airport: 104°; and, Newark: 105°. As noted previously in this thread, I would run the statistical analysis based on the most recent 30-year period prior to the issue of tree overgrowth. The numbers are below. Since 2010, numerous summer records have been affected by the tree overgrowth. Based on the statistical calculation, below are the summer records that would likely have been tied or broken without the tree overgrowth issue: June 8 — 2011— Calculated 97, record 95, record year(s): 1933 June 9 — 2011— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1933 June 11 — 2026— Calculated 97, record 95, record year(s): 1973 June 12 — 2026— Calculated 97, record 93, record year(s): 1933, 1973, 2017 June 13 — 2017— Calculated 100, record 96, record year(s): 1961 June 20 — 2012— Calculated 98, record 98, record year(s): 1923 June 21 — 2012— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1953, 1988 June 23 — 2025— Calculated 97, record 96, record year(s): 1888, 2025 June 24 — 2025— Calculated 102, record 99, record year(s): 2025 ***New June Monthly Record*** June 25 — 2025— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1943, 1952 June 28 — 2010— Calculated 97, record 96, record year(s): 1969, 1991 June 30 — 2021— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1964 July 2 — 2026— Calculated 104, record 100, record year(s): 1901, 1966, 2026 July 7 — 2010— Calculated 101, record 100, record year(s): 2010 July 18 — 2012— Calculated 102, record 101, record year(s): 1953 July 22 — 2011— Calculated 106, record 104, record year(s): 2011 ***Tied All-time Record*** July 23 — 2011— Calculated 101, record 100, record year(s): 2011 July 24 — 2022— Calculated 100, record 97, record year(s): 1999, 2010 July 25 — 2025— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1999 July 29 — 2025— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1949 July 30 — 2025— Calculated 99, record 98, record year(s): 1917, 1933, 1940, 1988 August 12 — 2016— Calculated 97, record 97, record year(s): 1944 August 12 — 2021— Calculated 97, record 97, record year(s): 1944 August 25 — 2021— Calculated 95, record 95, record year(s): 1948 In sum, the tree overgrowth has already affected a growing number of records.

The fireworks display at Wisp was awesome. Had a few sprinkles ~8PM which dropped the temp into the mid 60s so it was quite refreshing. What was super strange was after we got back home and turned on the Cubs game, Wrigley Field looked like the London Fog of 1952 - even delaying the game due to fireworks smoke. I used to live within walking distance of Wrigley and don't remember fireworks let alone those kind of after effects (I realize the wind was calm, etc.). Hit 88 yesterday and so, never reached 90 this past week.

0.20” for 7/4 imby/Columbia, which is also the monthly July total at this point. Not much rain, but still a fairly nice watering of shrubs, grass, etc.