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An interesting question in the intermediate term is whether our online society will become a bit less online. If AI tools become too good at hacking, do we need to reorient the ways of doing business such that they are no longer always online. Instead of killing us all, do we end up back in 1990?

I'VE been really disappointed with Rubenstein. If we're running it back with Elias and Albernaz then why would anyone expect better results? Elias has had 8 years and when he declared lift off we've had back to back last place finishes. Albernaz is in over his head. I don't think giving him another year will make a difference. ( I hope he proves me wrong) How many bites at the apple does a GM get? It's just ridiculous.

Precision steining.

It's nice you can actually buy a mix that's optimized for sun and shade. My yard gets blasted by the sun all summer, so I was looking for something specifically for heat tolerance. Apparently Scott's Heritage is formulated for exactly that, so we'll see!

Bridgeport, new haven, islip and montawk, all between sixty six and seventy degrees yesterday. And in the middle of the sound over the water, it was 75 to 77 yeah okay

I consider it a blessing.

Get it out of the way now before winter sets in? Preemptive ?

I am enjoying one last sunny day before four straight dark, wet, cool days coming up. The best rain amounts with this pattern should be the normal rain shadow areas east of the mountains - that means you Stephens City!

Another steining to remember.

A steady soaking here too, up to .95

A nice soaking rain all morning, the radar doesn't do it justice, up to .95 on the day, 4.08 for the month, 60/58.

It’s been rainy out this way since the early morning hours; nothing too heavy, just persistent.

Cloudy. Was hoping for a washout today

September 20 2001: 3/4 to 1 3/4 inch hail falls in Freeborn and Faribault counties. 1972: A downpour in Duluth produces 5 1/2 inches in ten hours. For Sunday, September 20, 2026 1845 - A tornado traveled 275 miles across Lake Ontario, New York and Lake Champlain. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1909 - A large and deadly Category 3 hurricane made landfall near Grand Isle, Louisiana during the late evening hours. The states of Louisiana and Mississippi showed catastrophic damage resulting in 371 deaths and $265 million in damage 1926 - A hurricane which hit Miami, FL, on the 18th, pounded Pensacola with wind gusts to 152 mph. Winds raged in excess of 100 mph for four hours, and above 75 mph for 20 hours. (The Weather Channel) 1967 - Hurricane Beulah moved into South Texas, and torrential rains from the hurricane turned the rich agricultural areas of South Texas into a large lake. Hurricane Beulah also spawned a record 115 tornadoes. (David Ludlum) 1983 - The temperature at West Yellowstone MT plunged to six degrees below zero, while the temperature at San Francisco CA soared to 94 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and west Texas. In Oklahoma, a thunderstorm at Seiling produced three inches of rain in one hour, golf ball size hail, and wind gusts to 60 mph which collapsed a tent at the state fair injuring nine persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Showers and thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains in central Wyoming, and snow in some of the higher elevations. Casper WY reported 1.75 inches of rain in 24 hours, and a thunderstorm north of the Wild Horse Reservoir produced 1.90 inches of rain in just forty minutes. 1989 - Hugo jilted Iris. Hurricane Hugo churned toward the South Atlantic Coast, gradually regaining strength along the way. Tropical Storm Iris got too close to Hugo, and began to weaken. A cold front brought strong and gusty winds to the Great Basin and the Southern Plateau Region, with wind gusts to 44 mph reported at Kingman AZ. (The National Weather Summary) 2005 - Hurricane Rita tracked through the Florida Straits and just south of the Florida Keys. Winds were sustained at tropical storm force at Key West, where peak winds gusted to 76 mph. Observances: 20 Sun National Pepperoni Pizza Day 20 Sun National Fried Rice Day 20 Sun National Queso Day 20 Sun Yom Kippur 20 Sun Wife Appreciation Day (National Wife Day) 20 Sun National Care For Kids Day 20 Sun National Crime and Intelligence Analyst Appreciation Day 20 Sun National Punch Day 20 Sun National String Cheese Day 20 Sun International NFT Day

I’ll say this. These things are really weird — look at the hugging face transcripts — and they seem to be capable of things like solving Millennium math problems. There’s no guarantee that they keep getting smarter or better able to affect the real world, but they’re already extremely good at hacking, and all the predictions about slowing down haven’t happened yet. Moreover, at a minimum, there are real worries that these things may be able to empower bad actors with respect to hacking or, significantly more serious, biowarfare. I would say the smart version of the argument is that this is a leap into the unknown, and nobody’s sure where it ends up. Saying p(doom) = .1 or whatever is just a way of expressing this uncertainty.

What is that feeling? I know what it's like when it's 85+ degrees with humidity and high dewpoints... this? I don't know what this is.

.30" so far.

OHC of 180-100W appears to currently be at its highest yet (~+3.3): To compare, look how low was the same point in Sept of 2023 (only ~+1): Highest 2023-4 ever got was only just over +1.5:

Steady moderate rain here all morning. Crap day 63 degrees

Fay is actually overperforming. NHC now saying it's going to be close to hurricane strength.

Soil is powder here. Just put some grass/clover seed down this morning and loosening the soil was a dust bowl. Put straw down and hit it with the hose and now its raining. Getting the tail end of that weakening line. Enough to at least keep the seed damp for a day lol.

Regardless of status, the models really do have persistently strong onshore flow for days over the region. As long as this doesn't trend 500nm east or turn into a pumpkin, someone along the coast may have some trouble.