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  2. wow 25 is a HUGE number of 95 degree days, 1993 is WAY ahead at Newark.... 1993 and 2010 being one and two matches my climate experience here. 1944 is amazing with 20 for that era, it's good to see the Hall of Fame summers at the top!
  3. to be fair 60s and 70s are not hot lol, 80+ I'd agree with you.
  4. Newark 95 degree day season leaders Year Rank Days >= 95 °F 1993 1 25 2010 2 21 2022 3 20 1988 3 20 1944 3 20 2021 6 18 2012 7 17 2011 7 17 2002 7 17 1955 7 17 1949 11 16 2005 12 14 1953 12 14 2016 14 13 1999 14 13 1991 14 13 1987 14 13 1994 18 12 1983 18 12 1966 18 12 2018 21 11 1973 21 11 2024 23 10 2013 23 10 1995 23 10 1963 23 10 1952 23 10 1943 23 10 1911 23 10 1900 23 10 1989 31 9 1981 31 9 1959 31 9 1957 31 9 1948 31 9 2015 36 8
  5. I don't see anything that says 100 degrees. I see 1 day in the 90s, but maybe we'll get a few in the 90s.
  6. 1955 at the top matches NYC's 16 that year Interesting that LGA used to be cooler than NYC (up to and including 1993 I think.) 2010 matches JFK (they both had 11 that year, the very best summer we ever had!)
  7. LGA 95 degree days season leaders Year Rank Days >= 95 °F 1955 1 14 2020 2 13 1999 2 13 2012 4 11 2010 4 11 1991 4 11 1953 4 11 1995 8 10 2021 9 9 2005 9 9 2002 9 9 1988 9 9 1949 9 9 2018 14 8 2016 14 8 2013 14 8 2022 17 7 1994 17 7 1993 17 7 1983 17 7 1966 17 7 1952 17 7 1944 17 7 2024 24 6 2019 24 6 2011 24 6 2008 24 6 2006 24 6 2001 24 6
  8. Let's not re-write the weather. Yeah, the first half of April was a bit cool and rainy (but only slightly to the average): 2025-04-01 62 44 53.0 4.0 12 0 0.16 0.0 0 2025-04-02 57 38 47.5 -1.9 17 0 0.02 0.0 0 2025-04-03 76 48 62.0 12.2 3 0 0.04 0.0 0 2025-04-04 71 60 65.5 15.4 0 1 0.88 T 0 2025-04-05 62 49 55.5 5.0 9 0 0.02 0.0 0 2025-04-06 55 48 51.5 0.6 13 0 0.02 0.0 0 2025-04-07 51 41 46.0 -5.3 19 0 0.28 0.0 0 2025-04-08 48 38 43.0 -8.7 22 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-09 50 33 41.5 -10.6 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-10 54 42 48.0 -4.5 17 0 T 0.0 0 2025-04-11 48 42 45.0 -7.9 20 0 1.24 0.0 0 2025-04-12 45 38 41.5 -11.8 23 0 0.14 0.0 0 But as you can see, after the 12th, it turns very hot and dry (only 0.03 inches of rain after the Nor'easter): 2025-04-13 62 42 52.0 -1.6 13 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-14 70 44 57.0 3.0 8 0 T 0.0 0 2025-04-15 69 48 58.5 4.1 6 0 T 0.0 0 2025-04-16 57 44 50.5 -4.3 14 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-17 63 37 50.0 -5.2 15 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-18 72 42 57.0 1.5 8 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-19 80 63 71.5 15.6 0 7 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-20 73 51 62.0 5.7 3 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-21 66 50 58.0 1.4 7 0 T 0.0 0 2025-04-22 80 53 66.5 9.5 0 2 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-23 77 54 65.5 8.2 0 1 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-24 79 50 64.5 6.8 0 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-25 79 51 65.0 7.0 0 0 T 0.0 0 2025-04-26 75 53 64.0 5.6 1 0 0.03 0.0 0 2025-04-27 72 50 61.0 2.3 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-28 75 47 61.0 2.0 4 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-29 83 50 66.5 7.1 0 2 0.00 0.0 0 2025-04-30 80 57 68.5 8.8 0 4 T 0.0 0 The cold pattern, outside of a few hiccups, ended just after the 2/20 snow event. From about the last week of February until mid-May was mostly warm. Only around mid-May did we turn cold. 2025-05-01 81 54 67.5 7.5 0 3 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-02 86 59 72.5 12.2 0 8 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-03 85 64 74.5 13.9 0 10 0.04 0.0 0 2025-05-04 73 63 68.0 7.1 0 3 0.12 0.0 0 2025-05-05 73 61 67.0 5.8 0 2 T 0.0 0 2025-05-06 81 61 71.0 9.5 0 6 0.03 0.0 0 2025-05-07 75 60 67.5 5.7 0 3 T 0.0 0 2025-05-08 81 59 70.0 7.9 0 5 T 0.0 0 2025-05-09 64 51 57.5 -4.8 7 0 0.18 0.0 0 2025-05-10 74 49 61.5 -1.1 3 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-11 82 55 68.5 5.6 0 4 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-12 83 55 69.0 5.8 0 4 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-13 71 62 66.5 3.1 0 2 0.28 0.0 0 2025-05-14 66 59 62.5 -1.2 2 0 1.30 0.0 0 2025-05-15 77 63 70.0 6.0 0 5 0.03 0.0 0 2025-05-16 77 60 68.5 4.2 0 4 1.50 0.0 0 2025-05-17 86 62 74.0 9.4 0 9 T 0.0 0 2025-05-18 77 64 70.5 5.7 0 6 0.00 0.0 0 Pretty clearly you can see the pattern change from warm to cold: 2025-05-19 71 56 63.5 -1.6 1 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-20 69 50 59.5 -5.9 5 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-21 57 52 54.5 -11.2 10 0 0.45 0.0 0 2025-05-22 56 51 53.5 -12.5 11 0 0.56 0.0 0 2025-05-23 69 51 60.0 -6.3 5 0 T 0.0 0 2025-05-24 68 50 59.0 -7.5 6 0 T 0.0 0 2025-05-25 71 52 61.5 -5.3 3 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-26 75 53 64.0 -3.1 1 0 0.00 0.0 0 2025-05-27 74 54 64.0 -3.4 1 0 0.01 0.0 0 2025-05-28 59 53 56.0 -11.7 9 0 0.77 0.0 0 2025-05-29 74 57 65.5 -2.6 0 1 0.01 0.0 0 2025-05-30 79 63 71.0 2.6 0 6 0.88 0.0 0 2025-05-31 75 55 65.0 -3.7 0 0 0.06 0.0 0
  9. Yay some sanity has been restored !! 1993 at the top of the 100+ list lol. 1949 is a close second !!
  10. Clouds look to linger through Tue afternoon. Wed looks to clear out and low- mid 80s. Thursday is the hot day this week but could see some storms later in the day.
  11. Newark 100 degree day season leaders 1993 1 9 1949 2 8 2022 3 6 1953 3 6 1988 5 5 1966 5 5 2011 7 4 2010 7 4 1955 7 4 1944 7 4 2012 11 3 2006 11 3 2005 11 3 2001 11 3 1999 11 3 1911 11 3 2024 17 2 2021 17 2 2013 17 2 2002 17 2 1997 17 2 1994 17 2 1991 17 2 1980 17 2 1977 17 2 1954 17 2 1948 17 2 1943 17 2 1936 17 2 1919 17 2 1901 17 2 1898 17 2
  12. 2006 doesn't even make the list for the hottest summers lol lol how are 1948 and 1949 at the bottom of the list, they were much hotter at NYC, JFK and EWR. This goes to my idea that LGA heated up with more car traffic, there was clearly much less traffic in the late 40s, so LGA was cooler than the other sites. 1993 isn't on this list at all, when EWR had 9, NYC had 3 and JFK had 2 days of 100+? LGA doesn't match my climate experience at all, EWR is a much closer match actually.
  13. are we even sure we're getting *heat*? I just saw the forecast now says the sun won't come out until next Thursday (why do I feel like Annie, saying that out loud in my head lol.) And now we have a phantom rainstorm on Wednesday which didn't exist before now? I thought something can't be created from nothing-- where did this phantom rainstorm come from?
  14. only one 80 degree in March (the last day of the month and only for the first half of that day) and cool and rainy for April (yuck).
  15. April was extremely cool and rainy and please don't give me the bogus average temp *stat*
  16. Light rain moving through the same areas as yesterday 0.22 in the bucket today (so far) total from the ugliness is 0.84
  17. LGA 100 degree days season leaders 2006 1 4 1955 1 4 1953 3 3 2013 4 2 2010 4 2 2005 4 2 1999 4 2 1991 4 2 1966 4 2 2021 10 1 2019 10 1 2017 10 1 2012 10 1 2011 10 1 2008 10 1 2001 10 1 1995 10 1 1957 10 1 1952 10 1 1949 10 1 1948 10 1
  18. Today
  19. The latest Euro Weeklies, which go through July 13th, have mainly quiet in the Atlantic basin and near normal ACE in the E and W Pacific. If there are no TCs by July 13th, this would mean the quietest start in the Atlantic since 2009! Other years with no NS through July 13th since 1995 were 1998, 2000, 2002, and 2004. I really wish I could say otherwise (I’d love to finally see a weak season), but I still expect an above normal season. The Atlantic tropics, though not nearly as warm as 2023-4, are still plenty warm enough and expected to continue that way. Also, we’re looking at a ~weak La Niña during ASO per RONI. That combo typically correlates to active seasons including for the corridor from the NE Caribbean through Bahamas, FL, SE US, and E Gulf though I’m still hoping it won’t be nearly as bad there as the terrible 2024, which is suggested by the last two monthly Euro seasonal outlooks.
  20. ...Stick to the ensembles means from this range re the more important/obvious heat signal in debate. One day shot on Thursday ahead of shallow fropa, with limited backside CAA support. The, synoptic systemic circulation changes that will surge a ridge after ~ D6..7 That much is higher than climo confidence. Exact amplitude and/or interfering nuance notwithstanding... The 00z ensemble means of all three majors were incrementally improved on the heat signal comparing the prior 12z run, which was also incrementally improved on the previous 00z's means. The trend is clad, and is a spatial representation of what the numerical teleconnection correlate: PNA to -1 SD/-summer EPO/ + fluctuating NAO. The operational runs will vacillate between better and worse correlated synoptics for the next several day's worth of run cycles. Probably mid/late week they start coming to a consensus. Two notes: One, amplitude bias at this range is a real model issue. We've big signals start subtly lowering amplitude as we near enough to know this possibility lurks. Two, somewhat in conflict of that notion, we seem to emerge this heat signal above on top of the solstic, and also, evidenced is S/W/ Sonoran heat release. **This is a candidate for synergistic heat event**, but we won't get a sense for confidence in that from this range. Also, we may see a pattern entrance MCS vulnerability late this week or over the weekend as an early guess/surmise, with rapidly rising heights and a NW geostrophic wind over top WSW transport/differential theta-e advection underneath.
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