Powerball

As usual, there's that cap... The sounding actually looks less impressive than it did this morning.

And there is it. Tornado Watch in effect until 9pm...

There's definitely some empirical evidence to support a eastward shift (towards Dixie Alley) over the past few decades

And that's what the latest warning in Wise County calls for (Tennis Ball Size Hail).

I think I know where they're going with this, but for now, they only issued a Severe T'Storm Watch for the northern 2 row of Texas Counties. I'm thinking it's going to be a Tornado Watch for everyone else (we'll find out soon).

That one cell moving into Jacksboro is currently warned for Golf Ball Size Hail.

Will just have to keep an eye on the radar trends at this point. A watch (Severe Thunderstorm) is incoming...

The last few runs of the HRRR, which has the most bullish of all the Hi-Res models for DFW, seem pretty consistent with keeping the severe activity south of I-20 and west of I-35.

No.

In addition to tying the record high, DFW also saw its earliest highest dewpoint ever observed with the dewpoint topping out at 78*F today. Previous record was also 78*F on 5/13/1995.

DFW achieved a high of 91*F yesterday and 95*F today. Today's high ties the record, and it's also the first 95*F+ day of the year.

It just so happened that all of the ingredients, this time, came together further to the north and west. This was a pretty significant outbreak for NW Indiana and SW Michigan.

FWIW...

The cell has weakened a bit, but it was pushing over 80 DBZs for a good minute.