Noah get the boat, the wet pattern begins. Late May/June 2026 Medium/Long Range

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Also, Apr-May 2026 SOI will be the lowest 2-month SOI since Apr 2016.. Already the Strongest Nino in 10 years. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

August is a big test month for how the El Nino is propagating to the mid latitudes

June-August has decent correlation numbers

CPC is going with no below average at all on their Summer forecast maps.. let's see if the warmth wins out, like they are forecasting

[frd]

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. 

[frd]

5 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. 

More active pattern as we near mid-June possibly. 

[JenkinsJinkies]

56 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. 

There must be a localized force field for you. My first storm was in March.

[CAPE]

2 hours ago, frd said:

Not sure about that dude. And he used the word 'risk' twice in one sentence.

[Weather Will]

WB 6Z EURO.  Quiet, dry work week ahead with heat slowly building back in with Friday in the low 90s.

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EPS for 2nd week of June.  Summer returns with above normal temps. Precipitation normal to slightly above.

[Weather Will]

WB latest Euro weeklies for mid June to mid July.  Amazing how fast time flies already posting thru mid summer...

[frd]

https://x.com/webberweather/status/2061163954496237618

Eric Webb

 

@webberweather

 

 

This is probably the biggest Pacific Jet extension I’ve ever seen in June & it isn’t surprising to see as we discussed several days ago. Buckle up…

 

Eric Webb

 

@webberweather

 

 

All the ingredients are there for a gigantic Pacific Jet extension later in week 2 & 3, which should lead to a more favorable pattern for tornadoes by mid-June:  Kara Sea ridge >> East Asia cold shot  Mei-Yu front south of Japan  Pacific MJO event  Developing Super El Niño

[frd]

19 hours ago, CAPE said:

Not sure about that dude. And he used the word 'risk' twice in one sentence.

I even take normal.

 

[frd]

Looking beyond days 8 to 14 

 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

12z EPS really warmed up over the region, for pretty much June!