Noah get the boat, the wet pattern begins. Late May/June 2026 Medium/Long Range

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Also, Apr-May 2026 SOI will be the lowest 2-month SOI since Apr 2016.. Already the Strongest Nino in 10 years. 

[Stormchaserchuck1]

August is a big test month for how the El Nino is propagating to the mid latitudes

June-August has decent correlation numbers

CPC is going with no below average at all on their Summer forecast maps.. let's see if the warmth wins out, like they are forecasting

[frd]

[Stormchaserchuck1]

Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. 

[frd]

5 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. 

More active pattern as we near mid-June possibly. 

[JenkinsJinkies]

56 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Still haven't had a thunderstorm here this year, unless I missed one. 2023 it wasn't until June 24th. Over the last few years/decades, our storm season has moved away from Spring, and more into Summer. 

There must be a localized force field for you. My first storm was in March.