mayjawintastawm Posted April 4 Share Posted April 4 Let's see if we can shake off some drought the rest of this Spring-Summer-Fall. What do you all think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Friday at 04:54 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:54 PM On 4/4/2026 at 4:18 AM, mayjawintastawm said: Let's see if we can shake off some drought the rest of this Spring-Summer-Fall. What do you all think? The recent CPC says there is about a 20% chance of a super El Nino for the winter (Nov-Jan). It's at the end of their forecast graphics. So how's a super El Nino for getting rid of the drought? Pretty good chance to have large rainfall in the southern USA. Things have not gone well for the West and Southeast, two huge parts our country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Friday at 05:03 PM Share Posted Friday at 05:03 PM Recent rainfall and snowfall for you guys in Colorado. NWS snowfall analysis says it snowed above 6000-7000ft. The Rocky Mountain national park views have some snow visible above 11000ft today. Frisco/Breckenridge had some snow in town. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frontranger8 Posted Saturday at 01:38 AM Share Posted Saturday at 01:38 AM Disappointing week here. Had less than .15" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Saturday at 02:01 AM Share Posted Saturday at 02:01 AM Models again showing rain and snow Tuesday for the Front Range. How will Lucy pull the football on this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Saturday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:09 PM 13 hours ago, smokeybandit said: Models again showing rain and snow Tuesday for the Front Range. How will Lucy pull the football on this one? My experience of many years in the foothills - early May storms excite me. But that is a foothills perspective and setups like this in May usually have a steep accumulation gradient. All or nothing usually within 10 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Saturday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:00 PM GFS keeps pumping out hefty totals in true GFS form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Saturday at 09:08 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:08 PM The ECMWF has mostly light rain for you guys but the GFS and Canadian have snow and 37 in the daytime this week. It's getting a bit late in the year for snow in the daytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Sunday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:44 PM 12z NAM says let's do this. Even the Euro is now showing a few inches for the Front Range. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Sunday at 04:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:44 PM Meanwhile, the 12z GFS agrees. Either both are off their rocker, or the foothills and divide are gonna get rocked. Either way, the models all seem to be trending in the right direction and I am starting to get cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Sunday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:17 PM Euro is now generally on board, too, though its snow maps look kind of goofy around the Palmer Divide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frontranger8 Posted Sunday at 06:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:51 PM Somewhere above 6000' is gonna get buried. Doubt I get more than an inch or two here in the city, but at least it looks like a much needed soaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Sunday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:57 PM The 12z Euro went bonkers too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Sunday at 09:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:05 PM 18z NAM even bigger than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gallopinggertie Posted yesterday at 12:24 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:24 AM Today was the earliest ever 91-degree high at PDX (Portland, OR). This beats the previous record by three days. Pretty odd to have a heat advisory on May 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago I checked the SREF and GEFS for you guys. The SREF has 1 foot for Fort Collins-Loveland airport. That's nuts. I don't how it gets that cold. It would be roughly equivalent to May 1, 2013 when it snowed 1 foot at Fort Collins. I'm hoping you guys get wet somehow. Not sure about the whole freezing the gardens and crops type stuff. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 16 minutes ago, Chinook said: I checked the SREF and GEFS for you guys. The SREF has 1 foot for Fort Collins-Loveland airport. That's nuts. I don't how it gets that cold. It would be roughly equivalent to May 1, 2013 when it snowed 1 foot at Fort Collins. I'm hoping you guys get wet somehow. Not sure about the whole freezing the gardens and crops type stuff. I am just outside of Estes and it is trending towards quite a dumping. But May has had some big storms in the past. May 17th 2017 was particularly impressive, and up here I picked up 40” over the course of 2 days. This storm likely won’t come close, but someplace in Larimer County could get 20”+ as it looks currently. i have a ton of trees on my property that I worry about with May snows, but this year that feels like an easy trade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frontranger8 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago Go figure, we couldn't get snow in February and are now gonna get slammed in May. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago I’m gonna be super pissed if the weather gods pull this one away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 hour ago, ValpoVike said: I’m gonna be super pissed if the weather gods pull this one away. I'm already pre-pissed so when it happens I'm not as disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Thundershowers getting going in Larimer County I wonder how much this transforms into a white scene 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frontranger8 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Think this is the first time I've seen a WSW in May. URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Denver CO 116 PM MDT Mon May 4 2026 COZ038>041-050800- /O.CON.KBOU.WS.A.0003.260506T0200Z-260506T2100Z/ Larimer County Below 6000 Feet/Northwest Weld County-Boulder And Jefferson Counties Below 6000 Feet/West Broomfield County-North Douglas County Below 6000 Feet/Denver/West Adams and Arapahoe Counties/East Broomfield County-Elbert/Central and East Douglas Counties Above 6000 Feet- Including the cities of Golden, Elbert, Highlands Ranch, Brighton, City of Denver, Longmont, Kiowa, Fort Collins, Denver International Airport, Larkspur, Lakewood, Littleton, Fondis, Parker, Arvada, Loveland, Nunn, Boulder, Hereford, Aurora, and Castle Rock 116 PM MDT Mon May 4 2026 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 3 and 8 inches possible, heaviest on colder surfaces and west of I-25. * WHERE...Fort Collins, Boulder and the western suburbs of Denver, Denver, and Castle Rock. * WHEN...From Tuesday evening through Wednesday afternoon. Heaviest Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Heavy wet snow will accumulate on tree branches and powerlines, possibly causing them to break and lead to power outages. Despite lesser accumulations on roadways, slick and hazardous conditions are still possible for the Wednesday morning commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Well we're 24 hours out and local mets are increasing their snow amounts. Right on schedule for waking up tomorrow with the totals halved. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 24 minutes ago, smokeybandit said: Well we're 24 hours out and local mets are increasing their snow amounts. Right on schedule for waking up tomorrow with the totals halved. Buzzkill. But do feel free to give me a told ya so tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frontranger8 Posted 45 minutes ago Share Posted 45 minutes ago This one's looking pretty juicy. Not sure how long temps will be cold enough for snow, but I don't think precip will be an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted 37 minutes ago Share Posted 37 minutes ago Yeah I am getting a nice soaking 0.23”/hour steady rain. Temp is down to 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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