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March 10th, 2026 Severe Threat


pen_artist
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How much further north will the warm front nudge? Still about 36-48 hours to see but looking like our first crack at some true severe for Central and N IL. Also storm initiation a slight question with the latest 00z models, specifically NAM3km.

image.png.0022f943501ed9f0fdbdc362f19f17d3.png

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26 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Warm front will ride along I-80 as they always seem to do this time of the year. 

Though the Euro still has it getting up to the state line with Chicago tagging another 70 degree day. AI GFS is also further north with the warm front. Of course the back door front comes barreling through at some point in the day.

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2 hours ago, pen_artist said:

How much further north will the warm front nudge? Still about 36-48 hours to see but looking like our first crack at some true severe for Central and N IL. Also storm initiation a slight question with the latest 00z models, specifically NAM3km.

image.png.0022f943501ed9f0fdbdc362f19f17d3.png

Disregard nam. As usual it's way too cool with the sfc temps. Why it doesn't look good for storms. Not enough to break cap. It isn't going to be as cool as it shows. 

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