NEG NAO Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: If I knew the answer to that. No the models know better than we humans do. But I will say that historically it's gone both ways. And it's also possible they'll bring back and less magnificent storm of 1-3,2-4, 3-6" or so or that we'll remain in the outer snowbands with a lighter/wetter snowfall. We need the ridge out west to stay stronger and leave enough room for this system to get wrapped up the way some of the models earlier depicted it. On most of the 00Z runs the top of the ridge was flattened making for a more progressive flatter trough in the east. As long as the AI models have this thing IMO it's a legitimate threat. WX/PT IMO - I don't think the energy (storm) that is going to track across the country in the next few days has been fully sampled yet and fed into the models along with the northern energy. The west coast storm is progged to reach the west coast by 12Z Thursday. IMO expect further changes in model solutions over the next few days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: IMO - I don't think the energy (storm) that is going to track across the country in the next few days has been fully sampled yet and fed into the models along with the northern energy. The west coast storm is progged to reach the west coast by 12Z Thursday. IMO expect further changes in model solutions over the next few days Horrible 0z suite. Onto 6z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Horrible 0z suite. Onto 6z. why would 6Z be any different with old incomplete data ? Plus read my post about the storm not entering the west coast till 12Z Thursday - now the storm is probably in a sparse data region in the Pacific and not fully evaluated yet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, NEG NAO said: why would 6Z be any different with old incomplete data ? Plus read my post about the storm not entering the west coast till 12Z Thursday - now the storm is probably in a sparse data region and not fully evaluated yet I know. Its just a bad night for the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 21 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I know. Its just a bad night for the models. yes look at the 0Z Euro starting at 12Z Thursday tracking that western storm which disappears in transit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Can't make this stuff up - No Snow For You ! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Can't make this stuff up - No Snow For You ! The whole NY gets snoe except us. We truly live in the worst spot in NY for winter weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted 49 minutes ago Share Posted 49 minutes ago 2 hours ago, NEG NAO said: Can't make this stuff up - No Snow For You ! Annnd this is why I had someone else into starting the thread. My record is still intact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 22 minutes ago Share Posted 22 minutes ago Nam and Rgem are slightly more amped than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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