2025 foothills Thread

[BooneWX]

I want to send SEAL team 6 after this guy


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[wncsnow]

I still have heavy frost and it's only 32.6 with clouds taking over. May not get much above 40 today unless we get more filtered sun.

[BooneWX]

Just now, wncsnow said:

I still have heavy frost and it's only 32.6 with clouds taking over. May not get much above 40 today unless we get more filtered sun.

That’s my shred of optimism as well. I just don’t see how low 50s are doable with this cloud deck moving in.

[BooneWX]

Idk if I’m hitting low to mid 50s. 43.9 at almost 1 pm.

[wncsnow]

47 here. We cooked. 

[strongwxnc]

17 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

47 here. We cooked. 

45.9 here grey skies 

[strongwxnc]

I assume
This will change this afternoon …
That’s a big %


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[mercurydime]

46 here with a DP of 33. 

[BooneWX]

15 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

I assume
This will change this afternoon …
That’s a big %


.

I’d like to know what they’re seeing. That’s a substantial increase for an area that by all accounts, won’t dip below 35.

[wncsnow]

6 minutes ago, mercurydime said:

46 here with a DP of 33. 

Not even close for us

[wncsnow]

The SE Ridge is the main culprit here

[BooneWX]

1 hour ago, wncsnow said:

Not even close for us

My wet bulb is currently 40°. We do nothing right around here. 

[wncsnow]

43 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

My wet bulb is currently 40°. We do nothing right around here. 

Yes it's 50 now Iol

[BooneWX]

Honestly thankful I can go to sleep in peace instead of getting my soul crushed in the morning 

[wncsnow]

4 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

Honestly thankful I can go to sleep in peace instead of getting my soul crushed in the morning 

Exactly how I feel. 2 hr delay for cool rain tomorrow 

[mercurydime]

Being a late-nighter anyway, I'm sure I'll be checking, but if this were a poker hand, I'd be wise to fold. 

[strongwxnc]

45.3 and it feels cold.


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[BooneWX]

6 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:

45.3 and it feels cold.


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If I hadn't seen any models and I was just basing it off of feel, cloud cover and the overall vibe, you’d think we’re about to get buried in all honesty. It feels and looks like a snowfall is coming. 

[wncsnow]

One thing I have noticed is the Hi Res models have very little precip here period. .2 or less mostly

[WiseWeather]

42 here … dewpoint at 36


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[BooneWX]

Temp rising. 43/39. Trending towards a cool but not overly cold rain. 

[wncsnow]

Its 44/36 here. Cool drizzle incoming 

[wncsnow]

Still a bit of ridge causing the storm to lift north late

[BooneWX]

If anyone is interested, the late Monday storm is coming back on some models. Don’t sweat it tho, it’s another score for the eastern triad to the coast! NEXXXXT

[WiseWeather]

Holding firm here at 42… :/


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[CentralNC]

Pretty clear bustogenesis here in the Triad on this one.  Precip too early, late cold air push.  Gotta head to southern VA to see anything.

[calculus1]

Yeah, 42/35 doesn’t seem like ripe conditions to see any accumulating snowfall. #itdoesntsnowanymore


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[mercurydime]

43/31 here. 

[wncsnow]

As I perused through NCDC data, NC State data and Webber weather data, I noticed a lot.

1. We used to get a lot more small events per year. 2 to 4 inch snow/mix storms happened 2 to 4 times per year most winters. 

2. Its now feast or famine. Really since 2010, its either been big snowstorm or nothing. Very few 2 to 4 inch type storms in the past 15 years. 

3. There is no true set of conditions that will lead to snow for us. MJO, NAO, PNA, QBO, AO? Of course if all of these are optimal that helps but some of our best storms have occurred in the "bad" phases of each.

 

In my amateur opinion, something isn't right with the atmosphere in relation to snow across most of our area. 

Is it because of the solar max?

Is it because of the warmer oceans?

Is it because of the crazy Active Pacific?

Arctic Sea ice? 

Global warming? Too many cows farting in the Midwest?

 

I'm not completely sure but I do know it takes absolute perfect conditions for it to snow here now. 

 

 

 

[CentralNC]

3 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

As I perused through NCDC data, NC State data and Webber weather data, I noticed a lot.

1. We used to get a lot more small events per year. 2 to 4 inch snow/mix storms happened 2 to 4 times per year most winters. 

2. Its now feast or famine. Really since 2010, its either been big snowstorm or nothing. Very few 2 to 4 inch type storms in the past 15 years. 

3. There is no true set of conditions that will lead to snow for us. MJO, NAO, PNA, QBO, AO? Of course if all of these are optimal that helps but some of our best storms have occurred in the "bad" phases of each.

 

In my amateur opinion, something isn't right with the atmosphere in relation to snow across most of our area. 

Is it because of the solar max?

Is it because of the warmer oceans?

Is it because of the crazy Active Pacific?

Arctic Sea ice? 

Global warming? Too many cows farting in the Midwest?

 

I'm not completely sure but I do know it takes absolute perfect conditions for it to snow here now. 

 

 

 

Not sure but I can tell you the same conversations were being had right before Superstorm 1993.