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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion


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Mostly snow glob snow for the RVA area later today …looks like the rain is going to hold on a little longer all the way & into the Philly area/surface temps even warm still up there..…I would expect still some blizzard conditions  around there but the real high snow totals prob won’t be crazy until you get into Mid NJ /NY /Mass area especially because the storm getting up that way at night.

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Hours to go yet in the RVA area for any real snow .. Temps have actually gone up still 4O degrees last time I looked ..

Will be cool to see the heavy snow later after 6pm .. but prob won’t last that long here since we will be right on the back edge as the storm pulls away….

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7 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Hours to go yet in the RVA area for any real snow .. Temps have actually gone up still 4O degrees last time I looked ..

Will be cool to see the heavy snow later after 6pm .. but prob won’t last that long here since we will be right on the back edge as the storm pulls away….

850's forecasted to drop before that 

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28 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Mostly snow glob snow for the RVA area later today …looks like the rain is going to hold on a little longer all the way & into the Philly area/surface temps even warm still up there..…I would expect still some blizzard conditions  around there but the real high snow totals prob won’t be crazy until you get into Mid NJ /NY /Mass area especially because the storm getting up that way at night.

South Jersey will jackpot also especially close to the coast 

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1 minute ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Sure it may snow before that but nothing is going to stick until after 6pm ..The surface is just too warm … A quick heavy bust is still forecast right before it ends hopefully it happens 

For sure -I'm just saying nothing has changed since yesterday. Wakefield actually has RVA proper at forecasted at 1.7 inches -highest they've had so far 

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Latest HRRR

sim radar

there is only a couple hours of decent snow for RVA. 

mkgif.php?rate=220&pause=300&startLabel=

p-type

mkgif.php?rate=220&pause=300&startLabel=

DGZ 

The DGZ is a favored thermal range within the cloud-bearing layer for ice crystal or dendritic growth. The depth of the DGZ is calculated as the total depth of the thermal profile that falls within this -12°C to -17°C range.

mkgif.php?rate=220&pause=300&startLabel=

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2 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said:

Rain and snow now. Bands redeveloping over central VA. Will be a fun afternoon evening. Storm is still turning negative now and to me looks like we will maximize our chances. 

Good to hear, thanks for the report.  Radar is starting to blossom and fill in over RVA.

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4 minutes ago, mikeeng92 said:

Rain and snow now. Bands redeveloping over central VA. Will be a fun afternoon evening. Storm is still turning negative now and to me looks like we will maximize our chances. 

Hopefully all snow  soon

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6 minutes ago, D-Money said:

Latest HRRR

sim radar

there is only a couple hours of decent snow for RVA. 

mkgif.php?rate=220&pause=300&startLabel=

p-type

mkgif.php?rate=220&pause=300&startLabel=

DGZ 

The DGZ is a favored thermal range within the cloud-bearing layer for ice crystal or dendritic growth. The depth of the DGZ is calculated as the total depth of the thermal profile that falls within this -12°C to -17°C range.

mkgif.php?rate=220&pause=300&startLabel=

Let's go!! I grew up in South Jersey with these types of storms a lot of people that live away from the ocean don't understand how these storms wrap around like this. And they look at radar and say well nothing's happening it's not over running snow you can't try to look at radar and see what you think is going to happen. South Jersey already snowing heavily all the way to the beaches. Family is sending me videos radar is not even showing it really

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What I mean by maximize our chances is the models over the past couple days that gave Central VA the most snow had a fully phased storm with a tucked in low off the delmarva. That seems like its happening, we'll see if we can actually cash in. Probably not but someone in the RVA area might get  4" on the grass. My guess is Midlothian-West end Henrico- Western Hanover.

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5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Let's go!! I grew up in South Jersey with these types of storms a lot of people that live away from the ocean don't understand how these storms wrap around like this. And they look at radar and say well nothing's happening it's not over running snow you can't try to look at radar and see what you think is going to happen. South Jersey already snowing heavily all the way to the beaches. Family is sending me videos radar is not even showing it really

Looking forward to seeing the storm totals up there. Will be impressive. 
 

nexrad is one of my favorite radars. It’s dumping on southern NJ. 

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=DOX-N0Q-1-24-100-usa-rad

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5 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Yeah, umm no lol .. Maybe a bit NE of RVA… I can’t see this happening in the City area/West unless this thing really backfills & blows up..

Wakefield is probably the most conservative weather station I've ever seen. If they put 3 inches as they're high-end total for spots around here there's a reason why they are putting it so of course it has to backfill that's the whole point and why they made that forecast it's ridiculous now to even go back-and-forth about this cause we're all gonna see. I did say a couple weeks ago with the clipper system that gave me almost 4 inches of snow when only 1 inch was forecasted and I really thought that would happen also and it did

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5 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Everything is covered in egg Harbor Township New Jersey which is Atlantic County I would be shocked if they didn't see at least 15 inches of snow so jealous right now

To me, once  you get  north of Virginia if its snow  it  might as well be  in Uzbekistan, lol

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It's where I grew up so I'm kind of rooting for them lol right near the beaches sometimes it's hard to get snow also-all right no more South Jersey reports lol does sound like the low pressure is getting wound up pretty fast and closer to the coast I'm reading on the other thread so that'could bear well for us with the pinwheel effect later on tonight

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1 minute ago, wasnow215 said:

It's where I grew up so I'm kind of rooting for them lol right near the beaches sometimes it's hard to get snow also-all right no more South Jersey reports lol does sound like the low pressure is getting wound up pretty fast and closer to the coast I'm reading on the other thread so that'could bear well for us with the pinwheel effect later on tonight

I hope you are right!

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12 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Yeah, umm no lol .. Maybe a bit NE of RVA… I can’t see this happening in the City area/West unless this thing really backfills & blows up..

It’s going to come done to rates and banding. You’ll want to see silver dollar parachutes dumping. Then it’s just pile on city. Obviously soil temps are bad and we are hoping to be 32-33 degrees when it’s puking. But the chance for busting is high - moderate rates/34 F.
Hoping for some surprising outcomes. 

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1 minute ago, wasnow215 said:

I think we need a new leader since our friend left from last year I vote @D-Money!! Lol

 

Tou do the best with maps and stuff anyway so it's a natural fit!

WAIT!! My tiny little box  maps are awesome!!

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