Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion

[overcautionisbad]

1 minute ago, chris624wx said:

At this point, check please! i'm at the bargaining phase lol 

Man, I really hope yall get a decent snow at least. I've given up hope of any accumulation in Chesterfield 

[wasnow215]

22 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

Polymarket  says a  98% chance  it  happens!

Too far south!! Lol!

[chris624wx]

Just now, overcautionisbad said:

Man, I really hope yall get a decent snow at least. I've given up hope of any accumulation in Chesterfield 

Thanks! Hopefully this one delivers, but if not, hopefully the next one will for all of us! 

[wasnow215]

20 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said:

DT is concerned forecasts will bust

Which means HE also will bust

[wasnow215]

Radar showing returns in southern Va not on any models -interesting 

[eaglesin2011]

1 hour ago, wasnow215 said:

Radar showing returns in southern Va not on any models -interesting 

Thats all predicted to dry out once it passes the mountains..

Honestly…just looking at the current radar,it looks like this whole storm could be a bust east of the NC Mountains and Charlotte areas…You can clearly see how much moisture is out there but it begins to die out when it passes these areas because of the dry air already in place & the coastal is also beginning to take away the energy from the low coming across  and transferring its energy into the coastal….Currently, it looks like the coastal will develop too far south & off the coast… In turn drying out everything west & NW of it… Maybe the NC/SC  coast gets back in some action late afternoon tomorrow, once the storm explodes out to sea and starts to backfill…

Raleigh up to Richmond is just being killed by the dry air already in place then losing the moisture from the upper low to the coastal..

Only chance now would be if this thing can stay closer to the coast a little longer and really ramp up quickly & backfill but this dosnt look very likely at this point, especially up this way..

 

[overcautionisbad]

57 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Which means HE also will bust

Yes, he admitted that and that he's not sure why the models are all over the place. His theory is the cuts in funding for weather balloons

[eaglesin2011]

The models are all over the place because they could not decide how & where the transfer from the upper low to the coastal would exactly be..

That combined with some of the models also struggling on how much the dry air already in place would affect this storm is why the models have been all over the place… 

Dude just can’t ever fully admit that he saw it wrong himself.. 

Funny thing is he still may end up being right is most of his predictions if the storm is able to hug the coast & backfill… 

 

[benjammin]

Yes, he admitted that and that he's not sure why the models are all over the place. His theory is the cuts in funding for weather balloons

It's possible it's having an effect. It also fits his political leanings fwiw.

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[ldub23]

IM tracking  flurries today, lol

[eaglesin2011]

Looks like the Hampton Roads area /VA beach area may get hit with a little snow shower in spots in about an hour or two.. Then get going after 12 noon … If anything makes it up to Ric to accumulate it looks like it will be after 4pm … 

[ldub23]

4 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Looks like the Hampton Roads area /VA beach area may get hit with a little snow shower in spots in about an hour or two.. Then get going after 12 noon … If anything makes it up to Ric to accumulate it looks like it will be after 4pm … 

Yea future radar shows snow aroud 1230

[jlewis1111]

obx special 

[overcautionisbad]

[jlewis1111]

I think they bust  Its going downhill every time they post a map

[jlewis1111]

Lot of mets gonna have egg on their face after this one

[VBsurf]

Tight gradient. Always was going to be. Conceivably could see a range of 2-6” N/S spread in VA Beach alone.


.

[Siberian-Snowcover-Myth]

I honestly think they don’t get 2” near the Va/Nc border. We may see some flurries here in RIC, but even that’s not a given. 

[jlewis1111]

Next 

[eaglesin2011]

The VA/NC boarder especially near the mountains will do rather well … Southhill looks to be in a decent spot later today too for about 3 inches… some of the mountain areas may end up with more then VA Beach.

[wasnow215]

5 hours ago, overcautionisbad said:

Yes, he admitted that and that he's not sure why the models are all over the place. His theory is the cuts in funding for weather balloons

What's hilarious about this is his first guess and first call, both went against what most of the weather models were saying. For two days now most of them have had very very little snow except for a couple of model runs like the one nam run 6z yesterday. No weather model handles storms great outside of 72 hours. It's always been a rule of thumb. So then when he gets to his last call he basically caves and adds an inch or two to save face so it doesn't look like what the NWS is saying. He used to be really really good. Now he's just a political puppet and it affects his forecasting skills. 
 

[VBsurf]

We will see guys. I still think a moderate 2-6 event in VB especially southern vb. The NE wind direction currently keeps me fairly hopeful atm. If nothing else this has been fun to track. Thundersnow possible in our region later?? Even if its to our south is awesome.


.

[ldub23]

30 minutes ago, overcautionisbad said:

Issued at  645? WOW. I dont see how that  verifies. Maybe an inch in south NN

[jlewis1111]

27 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

What's hilarious about this is his first guess and first call, both went against what most of the weather models were saying. For two days now most of them have had very very little snow except for a couple of model runs like the one nam run 6z yesterday. No weather model handles storms great outside of 72 hours. It's always been a rule of thumb. So then when he gets to his last call he basically caves and adds an inch or two to save face so it doesn't look like what the NWS is saying. He used to be really really good. Now he's just a political puppet and it affects his forecasting skills. 
 

Yup he is totally a huge lib. Of course he will blame it on Trump. However all the other storms were fine. But now all of a sudden it has to do with closures of stations. DT is a complete lib woke tool

[ldub23]

34 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said:

Next 

The way models are trending there  may be  no next. Total waste of a  cold  pattern

[jlewis1111]

Just now, ldub23 said:

The way models are trending there  may be  no next. Total waste of a  cold  pattern

Well If you listen to DT we shouldnt look at any models as none are right due to Trump hahahahahaha

[Stormpc]

27 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

Issued at  645? WOW. I dont see how that  verifies. Maybe an inch in south NN

Not sure its a bust yet. Let it play out. Good returns streaming up eastern NC headed towards HR. Too bad this became a double barrel mess. No capture/consolidation of L's. 

Nowcast time and it looks like snow is on my doorstep. Let's enjoy whatever comes!

[ldub23]

I can report some stray snowflakes at  807am

[ldub23]

1 minute ago, Stormpc said:

Not sure its a bust yet. Let it play out. Good returns streaming up eastern NC headed towards HR. Too bad this became a double barrel mess. No capture/consolidation of L's. 

Newcast time and it looks like snow is on my doorstep. Let's enjoy whatever comes!

I think you will be the  big  winner  om this  one. Hope you  get at  least  6 inches.

[overcautionisbad]

5 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said:

Yup he is totally a huge lib. Of course he will blame it on Trump. However all the other storms were fine. But now all of a sudden it has to do with closures of stations. DT is a complete lib woke tool

You must be anti-science.....

I couldn't even keep a straight face typing that