leesburg 04 Posted November 23, 2020 I don't guys none of this looks legit to me. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted November 23, 2020 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I don't guys none of this looks legit to me. Modeled simulations of the atmosphere aren't totally real? 1 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eskimo Joe Posted November 23, 2020 I need my snow fix. Let's go with 6" to 10" cold powder that starts just before sunrise Christmas and ends right at sun down with a nice sunset. 5 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frd Posted November 23, 2020 As we exit November and head into early December. I like ! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
frd Posted November 23, 2020 As expected the weeklies have some major changes. ( for the better ) 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2020 2017 is the last December where it actually snowed here Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
losetoa6 Posted November 23, 2020 54 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I need my snow fix. Let's go with 6" to 10" cold powder that starts just before sunrise Christmas and ends right at sun down with a nice sunset. I'll take this Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted November 23, 2020 That wobbling loop de loop closed low with 2 different phases on the GFS is different. 2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nj2va Posted November 23, 2020 Just now, CAPE said: That wobbling loop de loop closed low with 2 different phases on the GFS is different. Surely we can expect an operational run of the model to get that right 2 weeks out too. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted November 24, 2020 Just now, nj2va said: Surely we can expect an operational run of the model to get that right 2 weeks out too. It's super impressive to look at h5 but for all its gyrations, it really never does much at the surface lol. 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BristowWx Posted November 24, 2020 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Surely we can expect an operational run of the model to get that right 2 weeks out too. Good point. I’m not sure how the op GFS or any model does with closed lows. Both the GFS and Euro had a closed low for the longest time for T-day in many locations in the east...until it didn’t just about 4 days ago. At least we are tracking something. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nj2va Posted November 24, 2020 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: It's super impressive to look at h5 but for all its gyrations, it really never does much at the surface lol. I know, it was pretty boring when it came to actual precip depiction. To Bristow’s point, fun to at least ‘track’ something even if its a more conducive pattern that may not translate into anything outside the mountains. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
losetoa6 Posted November 24, 2020 Pretty decent change near the 50/50 region in 2 runs . Have to see if this effects the day 7/8 system and beyond. Eps 1 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
clskinsfan Posted November 24, 2020 2 hours ago, CAPE said: It's super impressive to look at h5 but for all its gyrations, it really never does much at the surface lol. No way for it to tap the gulf. The one thing I like seeing is all of the blocking modelled up north. Hopefully that comes true. Blocking that severe is a pretty stable pattern. Although as modelled I would be worried about suppression. But I am always worried about something when it comes to snow around here. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Ji Posted November 24, 2020 All this discussion is for December but its in the November thread lol Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted November 24, 2020 Looks serviceable to me Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted November 24, 2020 hmmm... days 9 and 10 EURO OP h5 map Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CAPE Posted November 24, 2020 5 hours ago, Ji said: All this discussion is for December but its in the November thread lol Start a new thread. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
yoda Posted November 24, 2020 25 minutes ago, CAPE said: Start a new thread. Thread been give it has, yes yes Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Eskimo Joe Posted November 24, 2020 3 hours ago, yoda said: hmmm... days 9 and 10 EURO OP h5 mao Screams inland. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
North Balti Zen Posted November 24, 2020 Congrats Atlanta to Charleston? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
losetoa6 Posted November 24, 2020 Gfs with a phased 985 low Monday that comes directly over Baltimore . Off OC would be preferred and fun . That whole Gfs op run is nuts lol Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
