PrinceFrederickWx Posted September 2, 2016 Author Share Posted September 2, 2016 Tropical Storm Warning up for St. Mary's County. It's a little confusing though because the LWX main page has the entire county under the warning, but the actual text product only mentions St. Mary's City. http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=lwx&wwa=tropical storm warning Quote HERMINE LOCAL WATCH/WARNING STATEMENT/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC AL092016 1113 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016 MDZ017-022315- /O.NEW.KLWX.TR.W.1009.160902T1513Z-000000T0000Z/ ST. MARYS- 1113 AM EDT FRI SEP 2 2016 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM WIND CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THIS AREA AND WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS * LOCATIONS AFFECTED - ST MARYS CITY * WIND - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND - PEAK WIND FORECAST: 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED - REMAIN BRACED AGAINST THE REASONABLE THREAT FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND OF 39 TO 57 MPH. - TO BE SAFE, EFFORTS SHOULD FULLY FOCUS ON AVOIDING INJURY. PROPERTIES REMAIN SUBJECT TO LIMITED WIND IMPACTS. - NOW IS THE TIME TO HIDE FROM THE WIND. FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY. REMAIN SHELTERED UNTIL THE HAZARDOUS WIND SUBSIDES. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: STILL UNFOLDING - POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM THE MAIN WIND EVENT ARE STILL UNFOLDING. - THE EXTENT OF REALIZED IMPACTS WILL DEPEND ON THE ACTUAL STRENGTH, DURATION, AND EXPOSURE OF THE WIND AS EXPERIENCED AT PARTICULAR LOCATIONS. * STORM SURGE - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: LOCALIZED STORM SURGE POSSIBLE - PEAK STORM SURGE INUNDATION: THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO 1 FEET ABOVE GROUND SOMEWHERE WITHIN SURGE PRONE AREAS - WINDOW OF CONCERN: EARLY SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY EVENING - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED - EMERGENCY PLANS SHOULD INCLUDE A REASONABLE THREAT FOR PEAK STORM SURGE FLOODING OF GREATER THAN 1 FOOT ABOVE GROUND. - TO BE SAFE, PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF LIMITED STORM SURGE FLOODING IMPACTS. EFFORTS SHOULD NOW BE BROUGHT TO COMPLETION BEFORE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE. - LOCALIZED INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. FOLLOW THE INSTRUCTIONS OF LOCAL OFFICIALS. CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION IF RECOMMENDED. LEAVE IMMEDIATELY IF EVACUATION ORDERS ARE ISSUED. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED INUNDATION WITH STORM SURGE FLOODING MAINLY ALONG IMMEDIATE TIDAL SHORELINES, AND IN LOW-LYING SPOTS. - SECTIONS OF NEAR-SHORE ROADS AND PARKING LOTS BECOME FLOODED. DRIVING CONDITIONS DANGEROUS IN PLACES WHERE SURGE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. - MODERATE SHORELINE EROSION. - MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE DAMAGE TO MARINAS, DOCKS, BOARDWALKS, AND PIERS. A FEW SMALL CRAFT BROKEN AWAY FROM MOORINGS. * FLOODING RAIN - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - PEAK RAINFALL AMOUNTS: ADDITIONAL AROUND 1 INCH - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: ELEVATED - EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS SHOULD INCLUDE A THREAT OF FLOODING. - BE SAFE AND REMAIN READY TO PROTECT AGAINST FLOODING RAIN IMPACTS. - IF FLOOD RELATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT, HEED RECOMMENDED ACTIONS. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LIMITED - LOCALIZED RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT A FEW EVACUATIONS. - RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY RISE WITH SWIFTER CURRENTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS, AND DITCHES MAY BECOME SWOLLEN AND OVERFLOW IN SPOTS. - FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER A FEW STRUCTURES, ESPECIALLY IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. A FEW PLACES WHERE RAPID PONDING OF WATER OCCURS AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEVERAL STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS BECOME NEAR-FULL AND BEGIN TO OVERFLOW. SOME BRIEF ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES. * TORNADO - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: - SITUATION IS UNFAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES - CURRENT THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY: NONE - EMERGENCY CONSIDERATIONS NEED NOT INCLUDE A THREAT FOR TORNADOES. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS MAY STILL OCCUR. - LITTLE TO NO PREPARATIONS NEEDED TO GUARD AGAINST TROPICAL TORNADOES. - ENSURE READINESS FOR THE NEXT TROPICAL TORNADO EVENT. - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: LITTLE TO NONE - LITTLE TO NO POTENTIAL IMPACTS FROM TORNADOES. * FOR MORE INFORMATION: - HTTP://READY.GOV/HURRICANES Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kas80 Posted September 3, 2016 Share Posted September 3, 2016 I am loving how cool it is this morning. A bit blustery (our gusts are about 20 right now) but so nice after the ridiculous heat this summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted September 3, 2016 Author Share Posted September 3, 2016 2 hours ago, kas80 said: I am loving how cool it is this morning. A bit blustery (our gusts are about 20 right now) but so nice after the ridiculous heat this summer. It's beautiful outside, I been out in it all morning. I love cool, cloudy, breezy days like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted September 3, 2016 Author Share Posted September 3, 2016 Also the clouds are moving really fast to the west which is fun to watch too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted September 28, 2016 Author Share Posted September 28, 2016 Who else got clobbered this morning? 3.25" so far. Posted this in the other thread but I'll post here too: Quote FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 923 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 MDC009-037-281715- /O.NEW.KLWX.FA.W.0063.160928T1323Z-160928T1715Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ST. MARYS MD-CALVERT MD- 923 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WARNING FOR URBAN AREAS AND SMALL STREAMS IN... ST. MARYS COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND... CALVERT COUNTY IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND... * UNTIL 115 PM EDT * AT 922 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN OVER THE AREA. THE RAIN WILL CAUSE FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW-LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND IN URBANIZED AREAS. 4 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE FALLEN IN THE PRINCE FREDERICK AREA...AND MORE HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING TO THE SOUTH OF THIS OVER CALVERT AND SAINT MARYS COUNTIES. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... LEXINGTON PARK...CHESAPEAKE RANCH ESTATES...LEONARDTOWN...PRINCE FREDERICK...FLAG HARBOR...CALVERT CLIFFS...HALLOWING POINT... CUCKOLD CREEK...GREENWELL STATE PARK...BREEZY POINT...SAINT LEONARD CREEK...SHERIDAN POINT...SAINT CLEMENTS BAY...TOWN CREEK...WICOMICO RIVER...WHITE POINT BEACH...CALIFORNIA...GOLDEN BEACH...LUSBY AND PATUXENT RIVER NAVAL AIR STATION. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kas80 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 We seemed to be spared a bit, huge breaks in the rain action each day. Our water levels were high but not any higher than the norm for a few days in a row of storminess. I was pretty impressed by some of the thunder though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted October 12, 2016 Share Posted October 12, 2016 rain/snow line set up this winter and.........................go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 8, 2016 Share Posted December 8, 2016 Ok fellas time to bring some mojo back to our area. Looking tough for coastal areas this early but together we shall overcome!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 I was wondering if our thread magic can do a President's Day snowstorm that bull's eyes us while shafting DC/Baltimore for the third year in a row hehehehe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted December 9, 2016 Share Posted December 9, 2016 Let's do this ! rain to snow, snow to snow, slop to rain, rain to slop, rain to rain, slop to slop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted December 9, 2016 Author Share Posted December 9, 2016 Haha I remember that scene! Planes Trains and Automobiles! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted December 28, 2016 Share Posted December 28, 2016 South East Non Producing Snow Counties Of The Mid Atlantic ASSEMBLE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 I saw a few snowflakes today for the first time this season. Looks like next weekend could be painful- i95 crew could get a nice snowstorm with a little mix, whereas we get a little mix then a bunch of rain. Oh well- in 6 months everyone will be coming here to our beaches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kas80 Posted December 30, 2016 Share Posted December 30, 2016 A few flurries right now in Dunkirk. Saw some late morning in Chesapeake Beach. I was way too excited for how few there are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted December 31, 2016 Share Posted December 31, 2016 Very encouraging GFS and CMC runs for us tonight. Long way to go and things will change frequently. I am just enjoying my digital snow tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 2, 2017 Share Posted January 2, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 2, 2017 Author Share Posted January 2, 2017 I say yes to the12z GFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Redmorninglight Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 I really feel that as models have depicted this storm threat so far, things are exactly where we'd want them at this point. I think this either totally washes out before it reaches the coast or bumps north like they almost always do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 not sure what to think yet. I never ever trust snow fall maps outside of 24 hours. It's near impossible to get big storm totals down here so close to the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 Yeah but suppressed storms like this is currently depicted are where we luck out....and wave 1 actually looks decent for us on the delmarva Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 17 hours ago, PrinceFrederickWx said: I say yes to the12z GFS! Let's hope it comes back! Being south and east of the city might do us well this go around. I really dont care that the models are suppressing the system they way they are even at this point. Ive seen so many time we are sitting pretty for several runs this far out, just to watch a northern trend and take us out of the jackpot zone 24-48 hrs prior to the event. I will not concede on this storm until Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 We are still in the game. I think 0z models will help paint a clearer picture lets shoot for the stars here. A region wide 4-7 (for us) would be sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 3, 2017 Share Posted January 3, 2017 my expectations are we may see some snow. that's all I know at this point. it should become clearer in the next few days. nothing would surprise me. we may get buried or see a few pity flakes. models are terrible when it comes to snow amounts down here. they are often way overdone or way underdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I actually have 1-3 inches listed on my noaa forecast for Thursday night/ early Friday morning. I would take that and run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prestige Worldwide Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Ugh- NAM and GFS both going in the wrong direction for us. Read that UKMET and CMC weren't good either. Hopefully tomorrow will trend better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 I'm hearing Euro might be good for some of us? I don't have access. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I'm hearing Euro might be good for some of us? I don't have access.5+ s&e of a Easton to dover lineSent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 I'm hearing Euro might be good for some of us? I don't have access.Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G891A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted January 4, 2017 Author Share Posted January 4, 2017 On 1/3/2017 at 9:01 AM, wdavis5784 said: Let's hope it comes back! Being south and east of the city might do us well this go around. I really dont care that the models are suppressing the system they way they are even at this point. Ive seen so many time we are sitting pretty for several runs this far out, just to watch a northern trend and take us out of the jackpot zone 24-48 hrs prior to the event. I will not concede on this storm until Thursday. I didn't realize you were in Prince Frederick too! For some reason I thought you were further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 4, 2017 Share Posted January 4, 2017 Just now, PrinceFrederickWx said: I didn't realize you were in Prince Frederick too! For some reason I thought you were further south. I am a Southern Maryland OG! LOL I am from Charlotte Hall originally, lived in King George for 6 years sold my house there this summer and moved back to SOMD. So yes I am just south of PF proper off of Sixes RD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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