Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion

[SnowtoRain]

1.25", moderate snow, 31.6. Storm behaved pretty much as it was modeled to do. 

[SnowtoRain]

~2.0" in Easton. 4.0" for the year. Hoping for a nice 6 to 12" storm at some point this winter but can't complain with what has fallen in December. 

[Prestige Worldwide]

Winter wonderland in Lewes.  Maybe an inch or so right now- a beautiful Sunday morning 

[Lowershoresadness]

ground white 2nd time before Jan 1  Giggity

[SnowtoRain]

My 4 yr old is getting the wrong impression of winter on the Eastern Shore. Still has not lived through 5" of snow followed by driving rain that washes it all away in the same day.

[AlexD1990]

Snow squalls in Rehoboth. One moment, 0 visibility, the next, blazing sunshine

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[SnowtoRain]

23, snow dancing across the road in the wind, seems like the cold temps dried out the snow paste enough to make it blow

[csnavywx]

Some mood flakes and a dusting to start the morning. But my current focus is on the upcoming pattern that looks to offer some real chances, including a strong west-based -NAO pattern. The first chance appears to be this weekend with a southern slider that, at first glance, appears to be a miss to the south. However, the track is very close to the benchmark for our area and it would not take much of a north trend to produce here. Temps are marginal, but evaporative cooling and melting along the system's northern edge could help produce enough diabatic cooling to support a changeover to snow.

[SnowtoRain]

At this point rain would be a nice change of pace 

[csnavywx]

On 12/31/2025 at 8:01 AM, csnavywx said:

Some mood flakes and a dusting to start the morning. But my current focus is on the upcoming pattern that looks to offer some real chances, including a strong west-based -NAO pattern. The first chance appears to be this weekend with a southern slider that, at first glance, appears to be a miss to the south. However, the track is very close to the benchmark for our area and it would not take much of a north trend to produce here. Temps are marginal, but evaporative cooling and melting along the system's northern edge could help produce enough diabatic cooling to support a changeover to snow.

Well after this dud, we've got another shot this weekend. Finally a decent slider track. Boundary layer temps are super marginal and I expect we "waste" some liquid to cool the column via diabatic cooling. It's also during the middle of the day, but that's a little less of a showstopper in mid-Jan. The trough orientation isn't the best, so there's still a chance of a whiff, but there's at least some agreement between the RRFS, AIGFS and EC-AIFS on track now and it should be able to produce a decent band of accumulation on the northwest side.

[AlexD1990]

6 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

Well after this dud, we've got another shot this weekend. Finally a decent slider track. Boundary layer temps are super marginal and I expect we "waste" some liquid to cool the column via diabatic cooling. It's also during the middle of the day, but that's a little less of a showstopper in mid-Jan. The trough orientation isn't the best, so there's still a chance of a whiff, but there's at least some agreement between the RRFS, AIGFS and EC-AIFS on track now and it should be able to produce a decent band of accumulation on the northwest side.

Just to confirm/clarify, you are speaking of the Sunday(1/18) system?

[csnavywx]

Correct