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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion


PrinceFrederickWx
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Getting close to 3 inches in southwest St. Mary’s County now. Listening to Bay101.7fm out of Kilmarnock Virginia across the Potomac in the northern neck. They use AccuWeather and they said additional 4 to 8 inches tonight.:lol:

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That mesoband should be around for a few more hours. Slow mover as that H7 frontogen. zone gradually pivots overhead. Should cash in pretty hard for the areas that get it. It was producing a pretty solid 3/4"/hr for a while here. Looks like around 1"/hr under the core of it right now.

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46 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

Can only imagine what this sucker could've produced with a full phase.

Ah well -- we've got the next 3-4 weeks and hopefully a weak +ENSO/-AO year to play with next year.

It would have been nice, but like you said, maybe just maybe we can cash in one more time. It's definitely been a nice winter in these parts.

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15 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

Insanely sharp gradient here. 1.5" on north side of KNHK, 2.0 on the station itself and nearly 3" on the south side of the base and at my house. Bet Pt. Lookout to SBY ends up somewhere over 5"

The gradient is crazy. Still lightly snowing at my house with nothing in Rehoboth, maybe 4 miles as the crow flies.

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  • 2 weeks later...
  • 8 months later...

Getting pretty excited about this season, tbh. Pretty bullish start upstream and even though today is just cold rain, it's good to see a more southern coastal track light up so early on.

Leaning towards '13/'14 and '95/'96 for analogues atm. Current setup is weak -ENSO/strong (collapsing) -IOD, -AO/-NAO and -WPO favored, a rare early SSW and PV placement favored over the NH side of the hemisphere. Still digging around doing some research, but am leaning quite bullish.

Seasonal models have been screaming a tight gradient with plenty of cold air available to produce snow *for months* now, and so far it's panning out. Just need to keep the pedal to the metal on the cold and the SE ridge on the weak side.

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