Northern Ohio Obs/Discussion Part 2

[dta1984]

16 minutes ago, NEOH said:

Dumping snow in South Russell right now. Noticed that CLE bumped snowfall totals... 

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow. Additional snow accumulations of 1
  to 1.5 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Ashtabula Inland, Ashtabula Lakeshore, Geauga, and Lake
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
  could impact holiday travel.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest lake effect snow will persist
  near the lakeshore this evening into Wednesday morning. Another
  period of heavy lake effect snow will arrive Wednesday afternoon
  and overnight, impacting the entire area. Snowfall rates may reach
  2 inches per hour at times Wednesday evening.

Hoping this band can hang out before shifting north.   Looks like tomorrow afternoon and overnight is our next shot, will be happy with the low end of that.  

[OHweather]

I could see that 12-18" panning out near the lakeshore in far NE OH, especially in northern Ashtabula County, but Geauga County won't get that much IMO. The downside of grouping multiple counties together in a warning. It just seems like there will be too much of a break after snow lifts out of there tonight, and I think stuff will progress through too quickly with the cold front tomorrow evening. There's definitely a shot Geauga County verifies a warning at some point (they haven't yet...) but the 12-18" feels inflated there. We'll see, as I've been wrong before. Nice band ongoing at the moment.