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Northern Ohio Obs/Discussion Part 2


Trent
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Pretty impressed I got this much snow down here...was at a storm total of 5.2" when I measured earlier this morning. Have gotten at least another inch from squalls over the last hour! The HRRR is usually pretty bad with its placement of snow bands but I would say it performed best with this event. It was a few miles too far south (at one point it had me getting 18"), but did a really good job with showing the general area/evolution/organization of the banding that played out compared to the other models. 

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Probably a mistake to jinx this one but this is looking like an overperformer for here.  Already closing in on 2".  That band that went through Erie and Huron counties is delivering the goods.  Hopefully it holds together for you guys out east.  Nice to finally be on the scoreboard for the season.

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Snowy pattern! 6.8" was my LES total, though I never had more than 5" on the ground (the last 2" or so was very spread out) and it's been melting/compacting. Had 1.5" last night, with 1.3" falling with the leading band around 8:30 PM. Not much snow, but it dumped with that band and roads were trash for a couple of hours. A little LES for the snowbelt tonight (not expecting much for MBY), and then another light-moderate synoptic snow Monday night into early Tuesday. I don't expect that one to steadily trend down as we get closer like with what happened to last night's snow in most of OH. 

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48 minutes ago, OHweather said:

Snowy pattern! 6.8" was my LES total, though I never had more than 5" on the ground (the last 2" or so was very spread out) and it's been melting/compacting. Had 1.5" last night, with 1.3" falling with the leading band around 8:30 PM. Not much snow, but it dumped with that band and roads were trash for a couple of hours. A little LES for the snowbelt tonight (not expecting much for MBY), and then another light-moderate synoptic snow Monday night into early Tuesday. I don't expect that one to steadily trend down as we get closer like with what happened to last night's snow in most of OH. 

You do, or "don't" expect Monday nights to trend down???

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9 minutes ago, dta1984 said:

Looks like another shot (or several) at some snow mid week through this weekend.  Hopefully any rain we get on Wednesday will be minimal before it gets cold again.  

Shame to be on the warm side of the low. Hopefully it continues to trend further south as we get closer. Definitely more chances for snow as we get into the weekend. 

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5 hours ago, NEOH said:

Definitely an active weather pattern with some dynamic systems moving through...lots of temperature swings and wind with frequent snow chances. I don't know if this pattern offers a great chance for a lot of snow at once, more nickels and dimes than anything else...perhaps lake effect Friday into the weekend can be somewhat heavier somewhere. 

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9 hours ago, NEOH said:

12z high res models are pretty snowy for the higher elevations east of the city. Wonder how long we can hang on to snow tomorrow before changing to rain. 

Recent guidance still holding onto snow for several hours into the morning across much of NE Ohio. It will not be that cold and the lower elevations will probably have to deal with lower ratios/more melting and a bit more rain mixing in, but I think those of you over 1000 or so feet could easily get a quick few inches of snow. Tried to finagle a bit more snow in the forecast this afternoon, but couldn’t really get enough to expand the advisory into OH without throwing the forecast completely out of collaboration. That said, it would not surprise me if someone in Geauga ends up getting 4” or so through Wednesday morning, but it’ll likely be quite terrain dependent. 
 

Am becoming a little more intrigued by the LES potential in a WNW flow the second half of this weekend…will be curious how it looks as details become a little clearer in the coming days. 

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2 hours ago, dta1984 said:

34 and rain snow mix so far this morning.   Roads just slushy.  

It was RN/SN mix earlier this morning now its primarily snow. Not much accumulation with temps above freezing but the roads are slushy. 

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