winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 sry i posted wrong panel, someone corrected me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 gfs at 06z still has storm albeit a bit off the coast, but im not complaining this far out.... Um, thats 12/12 06z. Its 12/13 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Um, thats 12/12 06z. Its 12/13 now. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/AVN_6z/avnloop.html This is todays. Huge hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 http://www.meteo.psu...6z/avnloop.html This is todays. Huge hit Yes it is, LI has precip issues verbatim, but that a very irrelevant detail ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Great Gfs yes... Euro no. I'd like the opposite thank you. Hopefully euro is doing it's SW Bias thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Really pummels NYC again. Wow! Deepens and stalls as a 975 mb off the NJ coast, S of LI and New England. Wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Great Gfs yes... Euro no. I'd like the opposite thank you. Hopefully euro is doing it's SW Bias thing HUH? its too far SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlsnowman24 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Better than last nights run if possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ptb127 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Ji - much better then last night for my area... closer to the coast by about 50 miles meaning more inland snows but still no precip issues for I-95... hopefully it stays here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 Um, thats 12/12 06z. Its 12/13 now. oops my bad lol i clicked wrong one sry, but someone put up the right one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 HUH? its too far SE. lol i think he meant a SE bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2010 Author Share Posted December 13, 2010 if you go through the lopp after it hits coast, it looks like a slow mover.. IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Great Gfs yes... Euro no. I'd like the opposite thank you. Hopefully euro is doing it's SW Bias thing You think 24 runs of the GFS and 12 runs of the the Euro are going to show the exact same thing? You really need a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Hard freeze again in Houston, but I want to really vicariously live winter again via another nationally televised Patriots game. Anyone have the KMA or anything? 6Z ensemble a tad too far offshore, but the variance suggests some members still favor a happy storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Yea.... Things are going to change many times. People just need to relax and enjoy tracking it..... I'm in western Pa, and even if this misses me this would be cool to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Some 6Z ensembles are obviously happy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
opengeo Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 Some 6Z ensembles are obviously happy... But many more are unhappy than are happy. Especially, as compared with 0z. Keep that in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 We just want some moisture across the Southern Plains from the short wave as we are bone dry and in an extreme drought. You EC folks can have the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 NOT getting it Srain.... not in the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 NOT getting it Srain.... not in the pattern I hope you are wrong, but probably not the way we're going this season... HGX: THERE ARE SOME HINTS OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA SOME TIME ON FRIDAY OR SATURDAY THAT COULD GIVE US SOME RAIN. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY AND GIVE THE MODELS A LITTLE MORE TIME TO COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE STRENGTH AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 This is an unusual potential noreaster setup and it will be highly sensitive to initial conditions. The timing of the phase of the upper tropospheric disturbance and the northern stream trough will make a huge difference between a self developing low and potential negative tilt noreaster and a weakly developing system well off the coast. I expect the flip-flops between guidance to be significant for the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2010 Share Posted December 13, 2010 This looks like such an usual 500mb map for a MECS. Or is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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