TellicoWx
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Everything posted by TellicoWx
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Rates high enough for snow but hasn't filled DGZ enough. If it's only partially saturated then flake size will be smaller. Rates need a little more lift...should get that as the trough moves closer.
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As those heavier returns over middle TN move overhead...more reports of snow now popping up.
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That's pretty much what happened..think the exact interaction with the GL low kinda screwed enough with the whole setup to keep this from being an even bigger event as some of the GFS runs showed.
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If rates can fill in...wouldn't be surprised if @John1122 and central/north plateau can squeeze out another 2-4...poss. 6 if everything lines up right. 1-3...poss. 4 central valley NE TN. But that's taking HRRR/RAP at face value for soundings/qpf
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Need some higher rates to overcome that ex. NW corner AL under better returns reporting snow..while several reports in Mid TN under the week returns are freezing drizzle
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HRRR and RAP both redevelop precip over plateau and valley. They both show as snow, problem is the sounding is bone dry in the DGZ, so would actually fall as freezing rain/drizzle (0.2-0.3) QPF....definitely not what we need on top of the snow covered roads.
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About to switch to ice
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HRRR shows it getting to LaFollete, not sure if it gets that far. Whoever is just on north side of where it stalls is in for a good round of feathers if the moisture doesn't shut off first.
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Hrrr/NAM nailed WAA...missed on downslope tho, which I need now lol. Snow over, need to get back above freezing or going to have a freezing rain problem.
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If there is any moisture left on back side. Low riding up the state line.
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Yeah..knocking on Madisonville door now
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It just crossed over me..instantly sleet and freezing rain...temp didn't go up tho. 27.9
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Yep, soon as it crosses it flips. Goose feathers right before the change. Coker creek went up 11° and rain soon as it crossed.
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Yeah it's the change over line...easier to see in CC mode
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Gadsden EMA south of Chatt reporting .10" ice build up on power lines already from switching to freezing rain
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Just got out of the car from store 20 mins ago
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Temps still dropping slowly here, and the flakes aer wet. Instantly turning to ice when they hit the asphalt
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Goose Feathers now...adding up fast
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From my sister, car in front of her did a 360 and hit the ditch. Hwy 68 just outside Tellico. Roads are becoming almost impassable, wrecks everywhere.
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So far it has overestimated the downslope here
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Obs vs 0z HRRR currently 0z: 37 Actual: 26 Snow Acc: 0 Actual: 1"
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411 in Madisonville
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Starting to pick up here
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Zero melt on roads...turning white as well now
